NFL Picks – Week 8

Total (weeks 1-7) – SU: 73-32-1 (68.9%)  ATS: 53-51-2 (50.9%, -3.1 Units)  O/U: 59-46-1 (56.1%, +8.4 Units)

Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0

Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0

Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0

Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0

Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0

Week 6 – SU: 11-3-1 ATS: 8-7-0  O/U: 6-9-1

Week 7 – SU: 11-4-0 ATS: 7-8-0  O/U: 8-7-0

San Diego at Denver

Prediction: Broncos 28-22 (68.3%)

Pick: Chargers +8 (53.8%)

Total: Under 52.5

Philadelphia at Arizona

Prediction: Cardinals 23-22 (51.9%)

Pick: Eagles +2.5 (55.2%)

Total: Under 48.5

Detroit at Atlanta

Prediction: Falcons 24-23 (55.1%)

Pick: Falcons +4 (66.0%)

Total: Under 47 

Seattle at Carolina

Prediction: Seahawks 22-21 (53.1%)

Pick: Panthers +5 (61.0%)

Total:  Under 45

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Prediction: Bengals 23-20 (58.6%) 

Pick: Bengals -1 (55.7%)

Total: Under 46

Oakland at Cleveland

Prediction: Browns 24-19 (63.1%)

Pick: Raiders +7 (56.6%)

Total: Under 44

Miami at Jacksonville

Prediction: Dolphins 22-19 (58.8%)

Pick: Jaguars +5.5 (56.8%)

Total: Under 43.5

St. Louis at Kansas City

Prediction: Chiefs 23-19 (61.9%)

Pick: Rams +7 (57.8%)

Total: Under 44

Chicago at New England

Prediction: Patriots 27-22 (65.1%)

Pick: Bears +6.5 (53.0%)

Total:  Under 50.5

Green Bay at New Orleans

Prediction: Saints 27-25 (57.5%)

Pick: Saints -1 (54.6%)

Total: Under 56

Buffalo at NY Jets

Prediction: Jets 21-20 (53.6%)

Pick: Bills +3 (55.0%)

Total: Under 41

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

Prediction: Steelers 24-22 (56.0%)

Pick: Steelers +3.5 (65.6%)

Total: Under 49

Minnesota at Tampa Bay

Prediction: Buccaneers 22-20 (55.8%)

Pick: Vikings +3 (52.7%)

Total: Under 42 

Houston at Tennessee

Prediction: Texans 22-21 (51.0%)

Pick: Titans +1.5 (53.2%) 

Total: Under 43.5

Washington at Dallas

Prediction: Cowboys 25-21 (60.8%)

Pick: Washington Football Team +10 (67%)

Total: Under 50.5

 

NCAA Football Top 25 – October 21, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Standings

Updated October 21, 2014

 
Teams records
1 MISS STATE 6-0
2 OLE MISS 7-0
3 ALABAMA 6-1
4 AUBURN 5-1
5 GEORGIA 6-1
6 TCU 5-1
7 OKLAHOMA 5-2
8 OREGON 6-1
9 FLORIDA STATE 7-0
10 UCLA 5-2
11 NOTRE DAME 6-1
12 KANSAS STATE 5-1
13 LSU 6-2
14 ARIZONA 5-1
15 UTAH 5-1
16 LOUISVILLE 6-2
17 WEST VIRGINIA 5-2
18 TEXAS A&M 5-3
19 NEBRASKA 6-1
20 USC 5-2
21 CLEMSON 5-2
22 MARSHALL 7-0
23 OHIO STATE 5-1
24 BAYLOR 6-1
25 ARKANSAS 3-4

 Full Rankings

Does Good Pitching Beat Good Hitting in the Playoffs?

Originally posted on Exploring Baseball Data with R:

With all the excitement surrounding playoff baseball this time of year, lots of people are talking about our favorite game. If your Twitter feed is like mine, then you’re seeing a lot of talk about what is going on in these games, but also a lot of criticism of the narratives promulgated by the mainstream media. Today, I’d like to explore one of the most popular narratives that comes up during playoff time: the notion that “good pitching beats good hitting in the playoffs.”

This argument was particularly germane to this year’s American League Championship Series, which pitted the offensively-challenged Kansas City Royals against the slugging Baltimore Orioles. As has been noted by many, the Royals ranked last in the AL in home runs this year, while the Orioles ranked first. Even by more sabermetric standards, the Orioles (4th in OPS+) were clearly a superior offensive team to…

View original 1,654 more words

NFL Picks – Week 7

Total (weeks 1-6) – SU: 73-32-1 (68.9%)  ATS: 53-51-2 (50.9%, -3.1 Units)  O/U: 59-46-1 (56.1%, +8.4 Units)

Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0

Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0

Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0

Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0

Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0

Week 6 – SU: 11-3-1 ATS: 8-7-0  O/U: 6-9-1

Week 7 – SU: 11-4-0 ATS: 7-8-0  O/U: 8-7-0

NY Jets at New England

Prediction: Patriots 27-19 (72.7%)

Pick: Jets +10 (54.4%)

Total: Over 45.5

Atlanta at Baltimore

Prediction: Ravens 24-21 (57.4%)

Pick: Falcons +7 (62.3%)

Total: Under 49.5

Minnesota at Buffalo

Prediction: Bills 23-20 (58.4%)

Pick: Vikings +5.5 (57.15%)

Total: Over 42.5

Miami at Chicago

Prediction: Bears 24-20 (62.2%)

Pick: Bears -4 (51.0%)

Total: Under 49

NY Giants at Dallas

Prediction: Cowboys 24-21 (58.4%)

Pick: Giants +6.5 (60.0%)

Total: Under 48.5

San Francisco at Denver

Prediction: Broncos 24-21(58.8%)

Pick: 49ers +6.5 (59.5%)

Total: Under 51.5

New Orleans at Detroit

Prediction: Lions 25-24 (50.3%)

Pick: Saints +3  (58.17%)

Total: Over 48.5

Carolina at Green Bay

Prediction: Packers 26-22 (61.2%)

Pick: Panthers +7 (58.5%)

Total: Under 49

Cincinnati at Indianapolis

Prediction: Colts 24-23 (51.6%)

Pick: Bengals +3.5 (58.3%)

Total: Under 49.5

Cleveland at Jacksonville

Prediction: Browns 22-20 (56.4%)

Pick: Jaguars +6 (72.3%)

Total:  Under 45

Arizona at Oakland

Prediction: Cardinals 22-20 (54.0%)

Pick: Raiders +4 (57.4%)

Total: Under 44

Kansas City at San Diego

Prediction: Chargers 24-20 (59.4%)

Pick: Chiefs +4 (51.9%)

Total: Under 45.5

Seattle at St. Louis

Prediction: Seahawks 23-19 (61.0%)

Pick: Rams +7 (58.8%)

Total: Under 43.5

Tennessee at Washington

Prediction: Washington Football Team 24-21 (59.4%)

Pick: Titans +6 (57.6%)

Total:  Under 46.5

Houston at Pittsburgh

Prediction: Steelers 23-21 (55.8%)

Pick: Texans +3.5 (54.11%)

Total: Under 45

NCAA Top 25 – 10/13/2014

2014 NCAA Football Standings

Updated October 12, 2014

 
Teams records
1 MISS STATE 6-0
2 OLE MISS 6-0
3 AUBURN 5-1
4 OKLAHOMA 5-1
5 GEORGIA 5-1
6 ALABAMA 5-1
7 FLORIDA STATE 6-0
8 OREGON 5-1
9 TEXAS A&M 5-2
10 TCU 4-1
11 NOTRE DAME 6-0
12 BAYLOR 6-0
13 UCLA 4-2
14 LOUISVILLE 5-2
15 KANSAS STATE 4-1
16 OKLAHOMA STATE 5-1
17 ARIZONA 5-1
18 STANFORD 4-2
19 UTAH 4-1
20 TENNESSEE 3-3
21 NEBRASKA 5-1
22 USC 4-2
23 WASHINGTON 5-1
24 LSU 5-2
25 ARKANSAS 3-3

Full Rankings 

NFL Picks – Week 6

Total (weeks 1-6) – SU: 62-28-1  ATS: 46-43-2  O/U: 51-39-1 

Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0

Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0

Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0

Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0

Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0

Week 6 – SU: 11-3-1 ATS: 8-7-0  O/U: 6-9-1

Indianapolis at Houston

Prediction: Texans 24-21 (59.1%)

Pick: Texans +3 (67.2%)

Total: Under 46

Washington at Arizona

Prediction: Cardinals 22-21 (53.4%)

Pick: Washington Football Team +3.5 (56.5%)

Total: Under 45.5

Green Bay at Miami

Prediction: Packers 23-22 (54.1%)

Pick: Dolphins +3.5 (55.9%)

Total: Under 49.5

Chicago at Atlanta

Prediction: Falcons 25-24 (53.0%)

Pick: Bears +3 (55.5%)

Total: Under 54

New England at Buffalo

Prediction: Patriots 25-22 (58.9%)

Pick: Patriots -3 (50.4%)

Total: Over 45

Carolina at Cincinnati

Prediction: Bengals 23-20 (56.1%) (PUSH)

Pick: Panthers +7 (63.5%)

Total: Under 45

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

Prediction: Browns 22-21 (50.0%)

Pick: Steelers +2.5 (57.1%)

Total: Under 47

Detroit at Minnesota

Prediction: Lions 23-22 (52.7%)

Pick: Vikings +2 (53.0%)

Total: Over 44

Denver at NY Jets

Prediction: Broncos 24-21 (60.5%)

Pick: Jets +9 (64.7%)

Total: Under 48 (PUSH)

San Diego at Oakland

Prediction: Chargers 23-21 (55.4%)

Pick: Raiders +7.5 (65.6%)

Total: Over 43.5

Dallas at Seattle

Prediction: Seahawks 25-20 (65.5%)

Pick: Cowboys +8 (56.8%)

Total: Under 47.5

Baltimore at Tampa Bay

Prediction: Ravens 21-20 (51.7%)

Pick: Buccaneers +3.5 (58.2%)

Total: Under 43.5

Jacksonville at Tennessee

Prediction: Titans 24-17 (69.5%)

Pick: Titans -6 (58.2%)

Total: Under 44

NY Giants at Philadelphia

Prediction: Eagles 25-21 (59.9%)

Pick: Eagles -2.5 (52.89%)

Total: Under 50.5

San Francisco at St. Louis

Prediction: 49ers 23-19 (60.9%)

Pick: 49ers -3.5 (51.0%)

Total: Under 44

 

NCAA Football Rankings – 10/7/2014

 
Ranks Teams Records
1 AUBURN 5-0
2 MISS STATE 5-0
3 OLE MISS 5-0
4 OKLAHOMA 4-1
5 ALABAMA 4-1
6 UCLA 4-1
7 TCU 4-0
8 TEXAS A&M 5-1
9 GEORGIA 4-1
10 LOUISVILLE 5-1
11 FLORIDA STATE 5-0
12 NOTRE DAME 5-0
13 ARIZONA 5-0
14 BAYLOR 5-0
15 KANSAS STATE 4-1
16 OREGON 4-1
17 UTAH 4-1
18 ARKANSAS 3-2
19 OKLAHOMA STATE 4-1
20 NEBRASKA 5-1
21 STANFORD 3-2
22 USC 3-2
23 GEORGIA TECH 5-0
24 LSU 4-2
25 TENNESSEE 2-3

Full Rankings