Tag Archives: NCAA

March Madness Projections Updated – March 5, 2013

Full Rankings

Projected Seeds

Number 1 Seeds: Gonzaga, Indiana, Michigan, Duke

Last 4 in: Boise State, Wichita State, Virginia, Stanford

Last 4 out: California, La Salle, Arizona State, Baylor

Full Tournament Projection

Screen Shot 2013-03-05 at 3.47.29 PMCheers.

 

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NCAA Football Rankings – 11/4/2012

 
Rank Team Record
1 ALABAMA 9-0
2 OREGON 9-0
3 KANSAS STATE 9-0
4 NOTRE DAME 9-0
5 FLORIDA 8-1
6 OKLAHOMA 6-2
7 OREGON STATE 7-1
8 TEXAS A&M 7-2
9 OHIO STATE 10-0
10 FLORIDA STATE 8-1
11 STANFORD 7-2
12 GEORGIA 8-1
13 LSU 7-2
14 SO CAROLINA 7-2
15 TEXAS 7-2
16 CLEMSON 8-1
17 USC 6-3
18 OKLAHOMA STATE 5-3
19 UCLA 7-2
20 TEXAS TECH 6-3
21 NEBRASKA 7-2
22 ARIZONA 5-4
23 MISS STATE 7-2
24 LOUISVILLE 9-0
25 ARIZONA STATE 5-4

Full Rankings

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BCS: Why bother with the computers?

The BCS is either unbelievably brilliant or completely idiotic.  They use computer rankings to legitimize themselves, while at the same time, completely ignoring the computer rankings.

Louisiana Tech is a perfect example of this.  Currently, Louisiana Tech is 25th in the BCS standings in spite of the fact that exactly ZERO computer polls have them in the top 25.  They crack the BCS standings by coming in at 23 and 24 in the USA Today and Harris polls, respectively.  The polls outweigh the computers in such a way that they practically don’t matter.

Another good example of this is Florida State who currently sits at 9 in the BCS rankings.  Five of the six rankings have the Seminoles in the top 25 with ranks of 12, 18, 21, 22, and 25, while Sagarin leaves them out entirely.  Their average computer rank is 21.  In both polls, however, they are currently ranked 7th.  And thanks to the way the BCS performs the weighting the average of 7, 7, and 21 is 9. That’s BCS math for you.

The weighting for the BCS is one-third each for the two polls and one-third for the computer rankings.  However, if you look at the top 13 in both BCS polls, they are exactly the same.  This has the effect of essentially using only one poll but giving it two-thirds weight and giving the computers only one-third.  Voters can simply get together and vote in such a way that renders the computers meaningless.  Only one of the six computer rankings, Richard Billingsley, has Alabama ranked number 1, and yet they are nearly a unanimous number one in the voting.  Some more solid BCS math for you.

Whoever set up the BCS either had no idea what they were doing, tried to set-up a fair, rational system of ranking incorporating human voters and computers, and failed spectacularly, or knew exactly what they were doing, incorporated computers to make themselves look legitimate, and was wildly successful in maintaining the status quo.  Sometimes it’s hard to tell the difference between genius and insanity.

Cheers.

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NCAA Football Rankings – 10/28/2012

 
Rank Team Record
1 ALABAMA 8-0
2 OREGON 8-0
3 KANSAS STATE 8-0
4 NOTRE DAME 8-0
5 OKLAHOMA 5-2
6 FLORIDA 7-1
7 OREGON STATE 6-1
8 LSU 7-1
9 OHIO STATE 9-0
10 TEXAS A&M 6-2
11 STANFORD 6-2
12 FLORIDA STATE 8-1
13 OKLAHOMA STATE 5-2
14 TEXAS TECH 6-2
15 ARIZONA 5-3
16 USC 6-2
17 SO CAROLINA 7-2
18 TEXAS 6-2
19 GEORGIA 7-1
20 MISS STATE 7-1
21 IOWA STATE 5-3
22 CLEMSON 7-1
23 ARIZONA STATE 5-3
24 TCU 5-3
25 NEBRASKA 6-2

Full Rankings

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NCAA Football Rankings – 10/21/2012

 
 Rank Team Records
1 KANSAS STATE 7-0
2 ALABAMA 7-0
3 OKLAHOMA 5-1
4 OREGON 7-0
5 FLORIDA 7-0
6 TEXAS TECH 6-1
7 NOTRE DAME 7-0
8 OREGON STATE 6-0
9 LSU 7-1
10 MISS STATE 7-0
11 TEXAS 5-2
12 TEXAS A&M 5-2
13 STANFORD 5-2
14 USC 6-1
15 OKLAHOMA STATE 4-2
16 FLORIDA STATE 7-1
17 OHIO STATE 8-0
18 TCU 5-2
19 SO CAROLINA 6-2
20 ARIZONA 4-3
21 IOWA STATE 4-3
22 WEST VIRGINIA 5-2
23 RUTGERS 7-0
24 ARIZONA STATE 5-2
25 GEORGIA 6-1
26 WISCONSIN 6-2
27 CLEMSON 6-1
28 MICHIGAN 5-2
29 PENN STATE 5-2
30 LOUISVILLE 7-0
31 BAYLOR 3-3
32 UCLA 5-2
33 OLE MISS 4-3
34 LOUISIANA TECH 6-1
35 NEBRASKA 5-2
36 NORTHWESTERN 6-2
37 ARKANSAS 3-4
38 CINCINNATI 5-1
39 UTAH STATE 6-2
40 NEVADA 6-2
41 CALIFORNIA 3-5
42 BOISE STATE 6-1
43 NORTH CAROLINA 5-3
44 FRESNO STATE 5-3
45 MICHIGAN STATE 4-4
46 TOLEDO 7-1
47 ULM 5-2
48 TULSA 7-1
49 NORTHERN ILL 7-1
50 TENNESSEE 3-4
51 IOWA 4-3
52 DUKE 6-2
53 BYU 4-4
54 WASHINGTON 3-4
55 MISSOURI 3-4
56 WESTERN KY 5-2
57 SAN JOSE ST 5-2
58 OHIO U 7-0
59 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-4
60 MARYLAND 4-3
61 VIRGINIA TECH 4-4
62 SYRACUSE 3-4
63 NC STATE 5-2
64 PITTSBURGH 3-4
65 LOUISIANA 4-2
66 PURDUE 3-4
67 UCF 5-2
68 KANSAS 1-6
69 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 4-3
70 SAN DIEGO ST 5-3
71 VANDERBILT 3-4
72 WAKE FOREST 4-3
73 KENT STATE 6-1
74 MINNESOTA 4-3
75 GEORGIA TECH 3-4
76 UTAH 2-5
77 KENTUCKY 1-7
78 NEW MEXICO 4-4
79 TEMPLE 3-3
80 TROY 4-3
81 BALL STATE 5-3
82 AUBURN 1-6
83 TEXAS STATE 3-3
84 NAVY 4-3
85 WASHINGTON ST 2-5
86 SMU 3-4
87 ARKANSAS STATE 4-3
88 AIR FORCE 4-3
89 INDIANA 2-5
90 SO FLORIDA 2-5
91 BOWLING GREEN 5-3
92 NORTH TEXAS 3-4
93 EAST CAROLINA 5-3
94 ILLINOIS 2-5
95 HOUSTON 3-4
96 CONNECTICUT 3-5
97 MARSHALL 3-4
98 WYOMING 1-6
99 COLORADO 1-6
100 VIRGINIA 2-6
101 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-6
102 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-2
103 UNLV 1-7
104 TEXAS-EL PASO 2-6
105 WESTERN MICH 3-5
106 RICE 2-6
107 MIAMI-OHIO 3-4
108 SOUTH ALABAMA 2-5
109 FLA ATLANTIC 1-6
110 EASTERN MICH 1-6
111 COLORADO STATE 1-6
112 ARMY 1-6
113 FIU 1-7
114 IDAHO 1-7
115 HAWAII 1-5
116 TULANE 1-6
117 UAB 1-6
118 CENTRAL MICH 2-5
119 BUFFALO 1-6
120 MEMPHIS 1-6
121 SOUTHERN MISS 0-7
122 NEW MEXICO ST 1-6
123 AKRON 1-7
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-7

 

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NCAAB Rankings – 1/2/2012

Rankings as of 2:31pm on 1/2/2012.  Sagarin ratings as of 1/1/2012.  AP rankings as of 1/2/2012.

Previous rankings are here.

Pittsburgh, Oklahoma, and Miss St. fall out of the top 25 and New Mexico, North Carolina, and Purdue are in the top 25 this week.  The Mountain West conference has 3 teams in my top 25.  That is the same number as the ACC, Pac-12 and SEC COMBINED.  I’ve even given the MWC there own color (purple).  I considered giving them red since the Pac-12 wasn’t using it at all, but I think purple is a more fitting color for the MWC (think purple mountains majesty).

Breakdown by conference: 2, 6, 9, 4, 0, 1, 3

ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC MWC Other

Team Rank Change Record AP Sagarin
Syracuse 1 ↑1 15-0 1 1
Baylor 2 ↑2 13-0 4 6
Indiana 3 ↓2 13-1 12 4
Michigan St. 4 ↑5 13-2 10 8
Duke 5 ↑7 12-1 5 5
Ohio St. 6 ↓3 13-2 6 3
UConn 7 ↑10 12-1 8 26
Michigan 8 ↑8 12-2 16 41
Missouri 9 ↑4 13-0 7 11
Illinois 10 ↓3 12-3 11 47
Northwestern 11 ↓3 11-3 - 51
Marquette 12 ↓1 12-2 20 19
Wisconsin 13 ↓3 12-3 18 15
Georgetown 14 ↑11 12-1 9 10
Seton Hall 15 ↓1 12-2 38 28
UNLV 16 ↑3 15-2 17 12
Kansas State 17 ↓2 11-1 23 18
Purdue 18 NR 12-3 33 27
Kentucky 19 ↑4 13-1 2 2
North Carolina 20 NR 13-2 3 7
Minnesota 21 ↓16 12-3 - 50
Louisville 22 ↓16 12-2 11 13
San Diego St.  23 ↓5 12-2 24 38
Kansas 24 - 10-3 14 9
New Mexico 25 NR 12-2 34 31

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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NFL Rankings Christmas Edition – 12/22/2011

Rankings updated as of 12/22/2011; Records updated as of 6:22pm 12/24/2011

AFC NFC

Clinched Playoff Berth

Divison Leader Division Champ

Eliminated from Playoffs

 Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank
New England 1 12-3 3
Green Bay 2 13-1 1
Pittsburgh 3 - 11-4 7
Baltimore 4 - 11-4 6
Atlanta 5 - 9-5 8
New Orleans 6 11-3 2
NY Jets 7 8-7 11
Chicago 8 - 7-7 23
San Francisco 9 ↑↑ 11-3 4
NY Giants 10 ↓↓ 8-7 14
Detroit 11 9-5 9
Philadelphia 12 - 6-8 17
San Diego 13 ↑↑ 7-7 13
Tampa Bay 14 4-11 29
Kansas City 15 ↑↑ 6-9 25
Houston 16 ↓↓ 10-5 5
Oakland 17 8-7 16
Seattle 18 ↑↑↑ 7-7 18
Miami 19 5-10 20
Dallas 20 ↑↑ 8-6 10
Cincinnati 21 9-6 12
Tennessee 22 ↓↓↓ 8-7 22
Denver 23 - 8-6 15
Buffalo 24 - 6-9 26
Arizona 25 ↑↑↑↑ 7-8 19
Cleveland 26 4-11 27
Jacksonville 27 4-11 28
Indianapolis 28 - 2-13 32
Washington 29 5-10 24
Minnesota 30 ↓↓↓ 3-12 30
St. Louis 31 - 2-13 31
Carolina 32 - 6-9 21

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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An arbitrary ranking of NCAA college basketball teams – 12/11/2011

Rankings as of noon on 12/11/2011 .

 Team Rank Change Record AP (12/12/11)
Indiana 1 0 9-0 18
Illinois 2 0 10-0 19
Syracuse 3 0 10-0 1
Minnesota 4 0 10-1
Marquette 5 0 9-0 11
Northwestern 6 0 7-1  40
Ohio State 7 0 8-1 2
Missouri 8 0 9-0 10
Duke 9 0 9-1 7
Louisville 10 0 9-0 4
Baylor 11 0 7-0 6
Northern Iowa 12 0 9-1 35
Purdue 13 0 9-2
Michigan State 14 0 8-2 21
Wisconsin 15 0 8-2 14
Pittsburgh 16 0 9-1 15
Seton Hall 17 0 8-1
Kansas 18 0 7-2 12
Xavier 19 0 8-0 8
San Diego State 20 0 9-2 28
Connecticut 21 0 8-1 9
Oklahoma 22 0 7-1
Ole Miss 23 0 8-1
Michigan 24 0 7-2 20
Saint Louis 25 0 9-1 32

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 12/4/2011

Rankings as of 12/04/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

The BCS explained:  It used to be that a national champion in college football was determined solely by human polls.  However, human polls are suspect because you are asking each voter to process the results of hundreds of college football games from teams all across the country and form a well thought out, reasoned ranking of the top 25 teams, which is clearly impossible; It’s too much data for a human to handle.  That’s why the BCS introduced the computer rankings which could, without personal bias, crunch the numbers and produce a ranking taking all games into account equally.  The computer rankings, on the average, do a very reasonable job of ranking the teams.   Ultimately, however, the non-human polls, a computational exercise in futility, are simply ignored, as they are overwhelmed by the human polls, and the BCS gets what it wants while it hides behind the computer polls to offer a whiff of legitimacy to the absolute garbage it spews out.

BCS Bowl Team

ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 - 13-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 - 11-1 3
Kansas State 3 ↑↑ 10-2 8
Alabama 4 11-1
Oklahoma 5 ↓↓ 9-3 14 
Baylor 6 9-3 12
Stanford 7 11-1 4
Oregon 8 ↑↑↑ 11-2 5
Arkansas 9 10-2 6
South Carolina 10 10-2 9
USC 11 10-2
Georgia 12 - 10-3 16
Virginia Tech 13 - 11-2 11
Boise State 14 ↑↑↑ 11-1 7
Michigan 15 10-2 13
Wisconsin 16 ↑↑ 11-2 10
Texas 17 ↓↓↓ 7-5 24
Clemson 18 ↑↑↑↑ 10-3 15
Nebraska 19 9-3 20
Houston 20 ↓↓↓↓↓ 12-1 19
Missouri 21 - 7-5
TCU 22 ↑↑↑↑↑ 10-2 18
Michigan State 23 ↓↓↓ 10-3 17
Penn State 24 9-3 22
Texas A&M 25 6-6

And finally, representing the Big East/Big Least: West Virginia

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/27/2011

Rankings as of 11/27/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

Some people were not thrilled about my rankings last week when I still had Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  For example, one guy critically criticized me by saying: “I’m impressed! You spell very well and your paragraph structure is spot in. That us amazing since it is apparent that you are fucking retarded.”  He will be happy to know that I now have LSU ranked number 1.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 1 12-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 -1 10-1
Oklahoma 3 1 9-2
Alabama 4 1 11-1
Kansas State 5 -2 9-2
Stanford 6 3 11-1
Baylor 7 0 8-3
Arkansas 8 -2 10-2
South Carolina 9 1 10-2
USC 10 2 10-2
Oregon 11 0 10-2
Georgia 12 2 10-2
Virginia Tech 13 -5 11-1
Texas 14 -1 7-4
Houston 15 0 12-0
Michigan 16 2 10-2
Boise State 17 4 10-1
Nebraska 18 5 9-3
Wisconsin 19 10-2
Michigan State 20 4 10-2
Missouri 21 1 7-5
Clemson 22 -6 9-3
Iowa State 23 -6 6-5
Texas A&M 24 -4 6-6
Penn State 25 -6 9-3

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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