What time does the Superbowl start? (and predictions)


I’ve previously released my Super Bowl pick here, but I’ve also decided to release my forecast for the box score of the game and some visualizations of the distributions of team scoring, totals, and margin of victory as a preview for what I’m going to try to do in the 2013 season.

So, here is my predicted box score of the game:

Team Score First Downs Rushing Yards Passing Yards Total Yards Turnovers
49ers 23.3 19.5 149.2 201.8 351.0 1.48
Ravens 20.2 18.4 108.1 223.3 331.4 1.59

Some selected probabilities:

Team Win Cover (4.5) Cover (3.5) Win 10 or more Overtime  Over/Under (47)
49ers 63.2% 43.5% 48.3% 24.5% 4.9% O 29.5%
Ravens 36.8% 56.5% 51.7% 8.5% 4.9% U 66.2%

MOV TotalSF rav



Posted on February 2, 2013, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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