What time does the Superbowl start? (and predictions)
6:30.
I’ve previously released my Super Bowl pick here, but I’ve also decided to release my forecast for the box score of the game and some visualizations of the distributions of team scoring, totals, and margin of victory as a preview for what I’m going to try to do in the 2013 season.
So, here is my predicted box score of the game:
| Team | Score | First Downs | Rushing Yards | Passing Yards | Total Yards | Turnovers |
| 49ers | 23.3 | 19.5 | 149.2 | 201.8 | 351.0 | 1.48 |
| Ravens | 20.2 | 18.4 | 108.1 | 223.3 | 331.4 | 1.59 |
Some selected probabilities:
| Team | Win | Cover (4.5) | Cover (3.5) | Win 10 or more | Overtime | Over/Under (47) |
| 49ers | 63.2% | 43.5% | 48.3% | 24.5% | 4.9% | O 29.5% |
| Ravens | 36.8% | 56.5% | 51.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | U 66.2% |
Cheers.
Posted on February 2, 2013, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.
Stats in the Wild 
Leave a comment
Comments 0