Using data from the 2012-2013 NCAA basketball season, I’ve ranked all of the division 1 teams in two ways.  First, I have build a retrospective model for the season ranking all of the teams based on what they have actually accomplished so far this season.  These rankings give weight to individuals games based on margin of victory and weight strength of schedule a little bit more heavily than most models.  I used these rankings to create a tournament bracket by taking the highest rated team from each conference plus the next 37 highest rated teams as at large bids.  Once this bracket was created, I used my prospective rankings to predict the games.  The results are here.

I’m sure everyone out there will let me know what I got wrong.  

Cheers.