Nate Silvers talk: A summary of his points

Nate Silver just finished his talk, and he’s currently taking questions via the twitter hashtag #jsm2013.  Here is a summary of the points of Nate Silver’s talk (thanks to Miles Ott (@Miles_Ott) for most of these):

1. Stats aren’t just numbers

2. Data requires context

3. Correlation does not equal causation

4. Mean is tops 

5. Human intuition often errs with numbers

6. Make forecasts including uncertainty

7. Know thy priors

8. The word complex isn’t always a compliment

9. Insiderism in an enemy of scientific objectivity

10. Making predictions improves accountability, though apparently there’s no betting in the newsroom

Cheers.

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Posted on August 5, 2013, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

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