Here is a fun plot that I made showing number of wins vs probability (according to fivethirtyeight.com). The 7-6 Bears, who just beat the 6-7 Cowboys last night, are probably going to miss the playoffs. The, let me repeat this, 6-7 Cowboys are probably going to HOST a home playoff game. I love it. What I’m really rooting for though is for Washington to win the NFC East, get a home playoff game, and get blown out by 80. That’s what I want for Christmas. Thought what I really want to see someday is a team get a home playoff game with a 3-13 record! It’s theoretically possible!

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