Category Archives: College Football

What it means to be a college football coach

From a Deadspin Article:

Being a Division I college football coach is hard. You get paid millions of dollars, you get to bully your post-adolescent free labor into doing whatever you want them to do, and you get painted as a demigod by football-obsessed towns and campuses. It’s a tough gig.

Cheers.

NCAA Football Rankings – 10/1/2012

 
Teams records
1 ALABAMA 5-0
2 TEXAS 4-0
3 TEXAS TECH 4-0
4 KANSAS STATE 4-0
5 OREGON 5-0
6 WEST VIRGINIA 4-0
7 LSU 5-0
8 SO CAROLINA 5-0
9 GEORGIA 5-0
10 TCU 4-0
11 FLORIDA 4-0
12 FLORIDA STATE 5-0
13 OREGON STATE 3-0
14 NOTRE DAME 4-0
15 STANFORD 3-1
16 IOWA STATE 3-1
17 ARIZONA STATE 4-1
18 BAYLOR 3-1
19 TEXAS A&M 3-1
20 OKLAHOMA 2-1
21 MISS STATE 4-0
22 USC 3-1
23 UCLA 4-1
24 OKLAHOMA STATE 2-2
25 OHIO STATE 5-0
26 NORTHWESTERN 5-0
27 ARIZONA 3-2
28 CLEMSON 4-1
29 NEBRASKA 4-1
30 LOUISVILLE 5-0
31 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-1
32 WASHINGTON 3-1
33 CINCINNATI 3-0
34 TENNESSEE 3-2
35 LOUISIANA TECH 4-0
36 IOWA 3-2
37 MISSOURI 3-2
38 PURDUE 3-1
39 MICHIGAN STATE 3-2
40 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3-1
41 PENN STATE 3-2
42 BYU 3-2
43 UTAH STATE 4-1
44 NEVADA 4-1
45 OLE MISS 3-2
46 DUKE 4-1
47 MICHIGAN 2-2
48 RUTGERS 4-0
49 WISCONSIN 3-2
50 NORTH CAROLINA 3-2
51 SAN JOSE ST 4-1
52 FRESNO STATE 3-2
53 MINNESOTA 4-1
54 KANSAS 1-3
55 VIRGINIA TECH 3-2
56 WESTERN KY 4-1
57 PITTSBURGH 2-2
58 UTAH 2-2
59 AUBURN 1-3
60 MARYLAND 2-2
61 BOISE STATE 3-1
62 GEORGIA TECH 2-3
63 NC STATE 3-2
64 OHIO U 5-0
65 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-0
66 KENTUCKY 1-4
67 TOLEDO 4-1
68 LOUISIANA 3-1
69 WASHINGTON ST 2-3
70 NORTHERN ILL 4-1
71 INDIANA 2-2
72 CONNECTICUT 3-2
73 WAKE FOREST 3-2
74 TROY 3-2
75 CALIFORNIA 1-4
76 ULM 2-2
77 VANDERBILT 1-3
78 SYRACUSE 1-3
79 TULSA 4-1
80 SO FLORIDA 2-3
81 ARKANSAS 1-4
82 TEXAS STATE 2-2
83 BALL STATE 3-2
84 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-3
85 WYOMING 1-3
86 ILLINOIS 2-3
87 VIRGINIA 2-3
88 NEW MEXICO 2-3
89 NORTH TEXAS 2-3
90 AIR FORCE 2-2
91 SAN DIEGO ST 2-3
92 UCF 2-2
93 TEMPLE 1-2
94 COLORADO 1-4
95 UNLV 1-4
96 KENT STATE 3-1
97 ARKANSAS STATE 2-3
98 EAST CAROLINA 3-2
99 MIAMI-OHIO 3-2
100 MARSHALL 2-3
101 FLA ATLANTIC 1-4
102 COLORADO STATE 1-4
103 HOUSTON 1-3
104 NAVY 1-3
105 WESTERN MICH 2-3
106 BOWLING GREEN 2-3
107 SMU 1-3
108 BUFFALO 1-3
109 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-4
110 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-4
111 FIU 1-4
112 IDAHO 0-5
113 CENTRAL MICH 2-2
114 HAWAII 1-3
115 EASTERN MICH 0-4
116 ARMY 0-4
117 UAB 0-4
118 RICE 1-4
119 SOUTHERN MISS 0-4
120 NEW MEXICO ST 1-4
121 MEMPHIS 0-4
122 AKRON 1-4
123 TULANE 0-4
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-5

 

NCAA College Football Rankings – September 24, 2012

 
Ranking Team
1 TEXAS
2 KANSAS STATE
3 TEXAS TECH
4 ALABAMA
5 OREGON
6 LSU
7 TCU
8 WEST VIRGINIA
9 STANFORD
10 IOWA STATE
11 FLORIDA
12 GEORGIA
13 NOTRE DAME
14 BAYLOR
15 SO CAROLINA
16 FLORIDA STATE
17 OKLAHOMA
18 OREGON STATE
19 USC
20 ARIZONA STATE
21 MISS STATE
22 OKLAHOMA STATE
23 OHIO STATE
24 ARIZONA
25 UCLA
26 NORTHWESTERN
27 TEXAS A&M
28 MINNESOTA
29 TENNESSEE
30 MICHIGAN STATE
31 LOUISVILLE
32 CLEMSON
33 OLE MISS
34 NEBRASKA
35 WISCONSIN
36 MIAMI-FLORIDA
37 LOUISIANA TECH
38 CINCINNATI
39 RUTGERS
40 WASHINGTON
41 PURDUE
42 GEORGIA TECH
43 MICHIGAN
44 NEVADA
45 SAN JOSE ST
46 UTAH STATE
47 DUKE
48 VIRGINIA TECH
49 MISSOURI
50 NC STATE
51 BYU
52 PENN STATE
53 INDIANA
54 KANSAS
55 IOWA
56 FRESNO STATE
57 PITTSBURGH
58 WASHINGTON ST
59 MARYLAND
60 OHIO U
61 NORTH CAROLINA
62 KENTUCKY
63 BOISE STATE
64 WAKE FOREST
65 UTAH
66 MIDDLE TENNESSEE
67 AUBURN
68 CALIFORNIA
69 ILLINOIS
70 BOSTON COLLEGE
71 ARKANSAS
72 CONNECTICUT
73 SO FLORIDA
74 TEXAS STATE
75 BALL STATE
76 SYRACUSE
77 TOLEDO
78 TX-SAN ANTONIO
79 SAN DIEGO ST
80 WESTERN KY
81 TULSA
82 VIRGINIA
83 NEW MEXICO
84 VANDERBILT
85 UCF
86 UNLV
87 COLORADO
88 WYOMING
89 NORTHERN ILL
90 LOUISIANA
91 TROY
92 ULM
93 COLORADO STATE
94 TEMPLE
95 WESTERN MICH
96 AIR FORCE
97 ARKANSAS STATE
98 KENT STATE
99 MARSHALL
100 CENTRAL MICH
101 IDAHO
102 TEXAS-EL PASO
103 NORTH TEXAS
104 HAWAII
105 NAVY
106 MIAMI-OHIO
107 FLA ATLANTIC
108 FIU
109 SOUTH ALABAMA
110 BUFFALO
111 EAST CAROLINA
112 BOWLING GREEN
113 SMU
114 RICE
115 NEW MEXICO ST
116 EASTERN MICH
117 ARMY
118 UAB
119 HOUSTON
120 AKRON
121 SOUTHERN MISS
122 TULANE
123 MEMPHIS
124 MASSACHUSETTS

StatsInTheWild picks all 35 bowl games

I’ve picked all 35 bowl games based on my rankings.  I’ll post my running record as the games are played.  (Also, check out my final regular season rankings here.)

And which games am I looking forward to this year?  My number one pick for bowl entertainment is the Fight Hunger bowl.  This monstrosity of a “bowl game” will feature a UCLA team with a losing record who had to petition the NCAA to even be allowed to play in a bowl game and an Illinois team on a 6 game losing streak.  These are the kind of match-ups that I live for.

Record: 21-14
=Correct Pick; =Incorrect Pick

Bowl Predicted Winner Outcome
New Mexico Wyoming
Famous Idaho Potato Ohio
New Orleans San Diego State
St.Petersburg Marshall
Poinsetta TCU
Las Vegas Boise State
Hawaii Southern Miss ✓ 
Independence Missouri
Little Caesars Purdue  
Belk Louisville ✗ 
Military  Toledo ✓ 
Holiday Texas  
Champs Sports Notre Dame ✗ 
Alamo Baylor
Armed Forces Tulsa
Pinstripe Iowa State
Music City Miss State
Insight Oklahoma ✓ 
Texas Texas A&M
Sun Georgia Tech ✗ 
Liberty Cincy
Fight Hunger UCLA ✗  
Chick-fil-A Auburn  
Ticketcity Houston
Outback Georgia ✗ 
Capital One South Carolina ✓ 
Gator Florida ✓ 
Rose Oregon ✓  
Fiesta Oklahoma State ✓   
Sugar Virginia Tech ✗ 
Orange Clemson   
Cotton Kansas State
Compass  SMU ✓   
Godaddy.com Arkansas State ✗ 
BCS Championship LSU ✗ 

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 12/4/2011

Rankings as of 12/04/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

The BCS explained:  It used to be that a national champion in college football was determined solely by human polls.  However, human polls are suspect because you are asking each voter to process the results of hundreds of college football games from teams all across the country and form a well thought out, reasoned ranking of the top 25 teams, which is clearly impossible; It’s too much data for a human to handle.  That’s why the BCS introduced the computer rankings which could, without personal bias, crunch the numbers and produce a ranking taking all games into account equally.  The computer rankings, on the average, do a very reasonable job of ranking the teams.   Ultimately, however, the non-human polls, a computational exercise in futility, are simply ignored, as they are overwhelmed by the human polls, and the BCS gets what it wants while it hides behind the computer polls to offer a whiff of legitimacy to the absolute garbage it spews out.

BCS Bowl Team

ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 13-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 11-1 3
Kansas State 3 ↑↑ 10-2 8
Alabama 4 11-1
Oklahoma 5 ↓↓ 9-3 14 
Baylor 6 9-3 12
Stanford 7 11-1 4
Oregon 8 ↑↑↑ 11-2 5
Arkansas 9 10-2 6
South Carolina 10 10-2 9
USC 11 10-2
Georgia 12 10-3 16
Virginia Tech 13 11-2 11
Boise State 14 ↑↑↑ 11-1 7
Michigan 15 10-2 13
Wisconsin 16 ↑↑ 11-2 10
Texas 17 ↓↓↓ 7-5 24
Clemson 18 ↑↑↑↑ 10-3 15
Nebraska 19 9-3 20
Houston 20 ↓↓↓↓↓ 12-1 19
Missouri 21 7-5
TCU 22 ↑↑↑↑↑ 10-2 18
Michigan State 23 ↓↓↓ 10-3 17
Penn State 24 9-3 22
Texas A&M 25 6-6

And finally, representing the Big East/Big Least: West Virginia

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/27/2011

Rankings as of 11/27/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

Some people were not thrilled about my rankings last week when I still had Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  For example, one guy critically criticized me by saying: “I’m impressed! You spell very well and your paragraph structure is spot in. That us amazing since it is apparent that you are fucking retarded.”  He will be happy to know that I now have LSU ranked number 1.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 1 12-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 -1 10-1
Oklahoma 3 1 9-2
Alabama 4 1 11-1
Kansas State 5 -2 9-2
Stanford 6 3 11-1
Baylor 7 0 8-3
Arkansas 8 -2 10-2
South Carolina 9 1 10-2
USC 10 2 10-2
Oregon 11 0 10-2
Georgia 12 2 10-2
Virginia Tech 13 -5 11-1
Texas 14 -1 7-4
Houston 15 0 12-0
Michigan 16 2 10-2
Boise State 17 4 10-1
Nebraska 18 5 9-3
Wisconsin 19 10-2
Michigan State 20 4 10-2
Missouri 21 1 7-5
Clemson 22 -6 9-3
Iowa State 23 -6 6-5
Texas A&M 24 -4 6-6
Penn State 25 -6 9-3

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

Defending my rankings

Ok.  So I’m not sure I can defend my rankings, but I am going to try.  Even after losing to Iowa State, I still have Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  Let me try to explain what I think it going on.

The Big 12 won a lot of their non-conference games at the beginning of the season, so I’ve had them ranked as the best conference for most of the way.  What this means is that since most of the teams are ranked so high in the Big 12, that a loss to one of those really good teams doesn’t hurt that much

Ok State won it’s first three games easily over Louisiana-Lafayette, Arizona, and Tulsa.  Then they had to play 9 straight conference games in the toughest conference in the country.  Their only real weak game in conference play is Kansas.  They’ve beat Texas A&M, Texas, Kansas State, Missouri, Texas Tech, and Baylor before falling to Iowa State.  That’s impressive.  According to my rankings, all 6 of these teams are top 25.  And their one loss is to a team that I had ranked at 22 before they beat Ok State (I have Iowa State at 17 now).  They also beat Tulsa, who I have ranked 29th.

LSU’s conference wins are against Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Alabama.  (Georgia and South Carolina are noticeably absent from LSU’s schedule.)  The first 6 teams have a combined record of 29-38.  Then they have that big win over Alabama.

Their non-conference games were against Oregon, West Virginia, Northwestern State, and Western Kentucky.  The Oregon win is impressive, but the other three games are jokes.  West Virginia is currently third in the Big “We still really get an automatic BCS berth?” East, and LSU shouldn’t even be allowed to schedule games against Northwestern State and Western Kentucky.  As I see it, LSU has three wins over top 25 teams (Alabama, Oregon, and Auburn).

In review, I have Ok State at 6-1 against top 25 teams and LSU at 3-0.  My ranking system rewards teams for playing tough games and Oklahoma State has had one of the toughest schedules in the country this season week in and week out, while LSU the occasional tough opponent.  From top to bottom the Big 12 is much deeper than the SEC.

So that’s my attempt at a defense.  I guess I’ll have to wait until the bowl game results to see if I am right.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/20/2011

Rankings as of 11/20/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

(I’ve made a few small corrections from my original post; I found a mistake in the data.  For instance, Michigan State is now in the top 25 at number 24.)

Ok.  I know.  This isn’t going to look good, but…….I still have Oklahoma State ranked 1 even after their loss to Iowa State.  (A defense of my rankings) They nearly survived the Big 12 gauntlet undefeated, which would have been a most impressive feat.  I’m not sure I can defend this, but since none of the BCS rankings have to defend their methodology then neither should I.

Big movers this week include Baylor, Virginia Tech, and Stanford who are all up 4 spots to 7, 8, and 9, respectively.  The biggest move up this week is Iowa State, who jumps 5 spots to 17.

Clemson falls 8 spots after its loss to North Carolina State and they end up 16. Likewise, Nebraska falls 7 spots to number 23 after losing to Michigan.

Cheers.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 10-1 4
LSU 2 0 11-0 1
Kansas State 3 1 9-2 11
Oklahoma 4 -1 8-2 9
Alabama 5 0 10-1 2
Arkansas 6 0 10-1 3
Baylor 7 4 7-3 18
Virginia Tech 8 4 10-1 5
Stanford 9 4 10-1 6
South Carolina 10 -1 9-2 12
Oregon 11 -4 9-2 10
USC 12 2 9-2 NR
Texas 13 -3 6-4 25
Georgia 14 1 9-2 13
Houston 15 2 11-0 8
Clemson 16 -8 9-2 17
Iowa State 17 5 6-4 NR
Michigan 18 0 9-2 15
Penn State 19 0 9-2 19
Texas A&M 20 0 6-5 NR
Boise State 21 2 9-1 7
Missouri 22 2 6-5 NR
Nebraska 23 -7 8-3 21
Michigan State 24 1 9-2 14
Auburn 25 -4 7-4 24

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/13/2011

Rankings as of 11/13/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

No changes at the top.  I’ve still got Oklahoma State number 1, as I have all season.  LSU comes in at number 2 and Oklahoma at number 3.  Texas falls 4 spots after failing to score a touchdown in their loss to Missouri.  Oregon jumps to 7 after it’s victory over previously undefeated Stanford, who falls to 13.

The two biggest movers upward were Nebraska and Michigan.  Nebraska defeated Penn State to climb 8 spots to 16 and Michigan beat a rapidly fading Illinois team to climb 7 spots to 18.

Texas A&M and Auburn both fell 6 spots to 20 and 21, respectively.  Texas A&M lost in 4 OT to Kansas State while Auburn fell to Georgia.  Missouri and Michigan State squeak their way into the top 25 at 24 and 25, respectively, as Texas Tech and Georgia Tech drop out.

By conference, I have 8 Big 12 teams in the top 25 and 6 SEC teams.  The Big 10 has 4 teams, the Pac 12 gets 3, and the ACC has 2.  Mountain West and Conference USA have one team each.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 10-0 2
LSU 2 0 10-0 1
Oklahoma 3 0 8-1 5
Kansas State 4 1 8-2 13
Alabama 5 -1 9-1 3
Arkansas 6 1 9-1 6
Oregon 7 2 9-1 4
Clemson 8 2 9-1 7
South Carolina 9 2 8-2 12
Texas 10 -4 6-3 23
Baylor 11 2 6-3 22
Virginia Tech 12 0 9-1 8
Stanford 13 -5 9-1 9
USC 14 4 8-2 NR
Georgia 15 2 8-2 14
Nebraska 16 8 8-2 16
Houston 17 2 10-0 11
Michigan 18 7 8-2 18
Penn State 19 -3 8-2 21
Texas A&M 20 -6 6-3 NR
Auburn 21 -6 6-4 24
Iowa State 22 -1 5-4 NR
Boise State 23 -3 8-1 10
Missouri 24 2 5-5 NR
Michigan State 25 3 8-2 15

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

Wisconsin Badgers

Let’s get something straight right now.  Wisconsin is not a top 25 football team.  4 out of the 6 BCS computer polls have them outside of the top 25 and the other two polls have them at 24 and 16.  The clowns (meant with the utmost respect) who vote in the human polls have the Badgers ranked at 14 in both polls.  Let’s take a look at why the computers are right:

Wisconsin is 7-2 overall and 3-2 in the perennially (wildly) over-rated Big 10 (the conference with the worst division names in all of sports).  Wisconsin won its first 6 games over UNLV, Oregon State, Northern Illinois, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Indiana.  While Nebraska is a very impressive win, the 6 other teams they have beaten are currently 2-6 (MWC), 2-7 (PAC12), 6-3 (MAC), 5-4 (FCS-Great West), 1-9 (Big 10), 4-5 (Big 10).  I’m not impressed by any of those wins.  The three other games Wisconsin has played (Nebraska (7-2) , Michigan State (7-2), and Ohio State(6-3)), they have 1 win.  The W-L record of the their 7 victories is 27-36.  And if you remove Nebraska (which, as mentioned before, is actually an impressive win) there W-L for opponents in victories is 20-34.

Jeff Sagarin has Wisconsin’s strength of schedule ranked at 87.  The only BCS top 25 teams with weaker schedules that that are Houston (112), who plays in Conference USA, and Cincinnati (95) who plays in the Big “We still seriously get an automatic BCS bid?” East, (which sent a 4 loss UConn team to the Fiesta Bowl last year).  (“Most of the attention before the game focused on Oklahoma’s poor performance in past BCS games as well as Connecticut’s difficulties in selling tickets“.)

So, please Harris poll voters, I implore you to stop voting for teams like Wisconsin who don’t deserve to be in the top 25.  (And while you’re at it, stop voting for Cincinnati, too.)

Cheers.

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