Category: Sports

  • I went the the Cubs game today against the Dodgers.  I got to see Clayton Kershaw pitch (Awesome) and watch the Cubs get destroyed (Expected).  It was 14-3 going into the 9th inning and some people were joking that a touchdown would get the Cubs right back in the game.  (The Cubs “rallied” for two…

  • Week 1 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Green Bay at Seattle Prediction: Seahawks 24-21 (57.9%) Pick: Packers +6 (59.1%) Total: Over 45 New Orleans at Atlanta Prediction: New Orleans 25-24 (51.3%) Pick: Saints +1 (54.2%) Total: Under 52 Buffalo at Chicago Prediction: Chicago 24-19 (64.3%) Pick: Bills +6.5 (53.9%) Total: Under 48.5 Washington at Houston Prediction: Texans 24-20…

  • Over the past year, I’ve been involved in a project with Ben Baumer (buy his book!)  and Shane Jensen in developing an open source, completely transparent version of the (rather opaque) baseball statistic Wins Above Replacement that we’re calling  openWAR.  We presented our preliminary results this past summer in a talk at JSM and this…

  • Overall Records SU: (1-0) ATS: (0-1) O/U: (1-0) Week 1 (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U) September 5, 2013 – 8:30pm Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Prediction: Broncos win 24-23 Pick: Ravens +8.5 OU: Over 47.5 September 8, 2013 – 1pm New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Prediction: Patriots win 38-21 Pick: Patriots -7 OU:…

  • StatsInTheWild MLB rankings as of August 30, 2013 at 2pm.  SOS=strength of schedule Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Run Diff Detroit 1 – 78-56 2 3 14 +159 Boston 2 – 80-56 6 2 10 +133 St. Louis  3 – 78-56 4 5 25 +146 Atlanta 4 ↑1 81-52 3 1 19 +131…

  • Updated August 30, 2013 at 12:34am Total Prevention is a measure of runs prevented weighted by the number of batters they have faced (Higher is better). Yearly Expected ER  is approximately the expected number of runs that a team would allow is that pitcher pitched every inning of every game for a team (Lower is…

  • August 29, 2013 Akron at Central Florida Prediction: Central Florida 38-20 Illinois State at Ball State Prediction: Ball State 34-24 Kentucky at Western Kentucky Prediction: Western Kentucky 25-23 Liberty at Kent State Prediction: Kent State 28-21 North Carolina at South Carolina Prediction: South Carolina 24-22 Rutgers at Fresno State Prediction: Rutgers 21-20 Sacramento State at San…

  • Updated June 27, 2013 at 12:34am Total Prevention is a measure of runs prevented weighted by the number of batters they have faced (Higher is better). Yearly Expected ER  is approximately the expected number of runs that a team would allow is that pitcher pitched every inning of every game for a team (Lower is…

  • StatsInTheWild MLB rankings as of June 26, 2012 at 2pm.  SOS=strength of schedule Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Run Diff St. Louis 1 – 48-29 1 2 25 +114 Boston 2 ↑1 46-33 2 1 6 +76 Detroit 3 ↑3 42-33 3 4 16 +76 Pittsburgh 4 ↑1 47-30 7 3 21 +34…