Category Archives: Sports

NFL Predictions – Week 7

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 64-40

ATS: 57-47

O/U: 56-46

Week 7 (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 7

Thursday @8:05pm

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers win 28-20

Pick: 49ers -7.5

O/U: Over 37.5

Sunday @1pm

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills

Prediction: Bills win 23-22

Pick: Titans +3.5

O/U: Under 45.5

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Vikings win 25-23

Pick: Cardinals +5.5

O/U:  Over 40.5

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Colts win 23-17

Pick: Colts -3

O/U: Under 44.5

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans

Prediction: Ravens win 26-24

Pick: Ravens +6.5

O/U: Over 48

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams

Prediction: Packers win 30-17

Pick: Packers -5.5

O/U: Over 45

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

Prediction: Cowboys win 25-21

Pick:  Cowboys -2

O/U: Over 45.5

Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Prediction: Giants win 28-22

Pick: Redskins +6.5

O/U: Over 49.5

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction: Saints win 32-20

Pick: Saints -2.5

O/U: Over 49

Sunday @4:25pm

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Prediction: Patriots win 35-20

Pick: Patriots -10.5

O/U: Over 47

Sunday @4:25pm

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders

Prediction: Raiders win 21-16

Pick: Raiders -4

O/U: Under 43

Sunday @8:30pm

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Steelers win 24-23

Pick: Bengals +2.5

O/U: Over 46

Monday @8:40pm

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Prediction: Bears win 28-26

Pick: Lions +5.5

O/U: Over 47.5

Cheers.

NFL Rankings – 10/17/2012

StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of October 17, 2012 at 12:34pm.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Points Diff
Chicago 1 ↑1 4-1 6 1 8 +78
San Francisco 2 ↓1 4-2 5 6 3 +58
Atlanta 3 ↑4 6-0 1 2 25 +58
Houston 4 ↓1 5-1 2 4 21 +58
NY Giants 5 ↑7 4-2 3 3 17 +64
Arizona 6 ↓1 4-2 11 12 1 +13
Seattle 7 ↑2 4-2 9 5 5 +17
Minnesota 8 ↓4 4-2 10 11 7 +29
New England 9 ↓3 3-3 7 8 10 +51
Green Bay 10 ↑1 3-3 8 7 6 +19
Baltimore 11 ↓1 5-1 4 9 26 +43
St. Louis 12 ↓4 3-3 20 10 2 -1
Washington 13 ↑9 3-3 15 17 13 +5
Detroit 14 ↓1 2-3 19 19 4 -11
Miami 15 ↓1 3-3 17 14 16 +3
Denver 16 ↑2 3-3 12 13 31 +32
NY Jets 17 3-3 23 18 12 -8
Dallas 18 ↓2 2-3 18 15 9 -25
Tampa Bay 19 ↑6 2-3 22 24 23 +19
Philadelphia 20 3-3 13 20 11 -22
Cincinnati 21 ↓2 3-3 21 21 28 -14
Buffalo 22 ↑2 3-3 25 16 15 -55
San Diego 23 ↓2 3-3 16 27 32 +11
Pittsburgh 24 ↓1 2-3 14 23 27 +1
Carolina 25 ↑3 1-4 28 28 19 -33
New Orleans 26 ↑1 1-4 24 31 20 -13
Indianapolis 27 ↓12 2-3 26 22 22 -45
Jacksonville 28 ↓2 1-4 31 29 18 -73
Cleveland 29 ↑3 1-5 30 26 24 -29
Tennessee 30 ↓1 2-4 27 25 14 -90
Oakland 31 ↓1 1-4 29 30 30 -61
Kansas City 32 ↓1 1-5 32 32 29 -79

Best

Best undefeated team: Atlanta

Best 5 win team: Houston

Best 4 win team: Chicago

Best 3 win team: New England

Best 2 win team: Detroit

Best 1 win team: Carolina

Worst

Worst 5 win team: Baltimore

Worst 4 win team: Minnesota

Worst 3 win team: San Diego

Worst 2 win team: Tennessee

Worst 1 win team: Kansas City

Worst team in the league: Kansas City

Most

Most under-rated team: (#12) St. Louis (ESPN has them 20)

Most over-rated team: (#24) Pittsburgh (ESPN has them 14)

Cheers.

NFL Graph Theory

So far this year:

New England beat Tennessee; Tennessee beat Detroit; Detroit beat Philadelphia, Philadelphia beat the NY Giants; the Giants beat Carolina; Carolina beat New Orleans; New Orleans beat San Diego; San Diego beat Oakland; Oakland beat Pittsburgh; Pittsburgh beat the NY Jets beat Indianapolis; Indianapolis beat Minnesota; Minnesota beat San Francisco; SAn Francisco beat Green Bay; Green Bay beat Chicago; Chicago beat St. Louis; and St. Louis beat Arizona; who beat the Patriots.

Here’s a directed graph of the entire NFL so far this year with the cycle I described about highlighted in think black edges.  Node size is proportional to the number of team wins, and the colored groups are the divisions.

Cheers.

NCAA Football Rankings – 10/14/2012

 
Rank Team Record
1 ALABAMA 6-0
2 OKLAHOMA 4-1
3 KANSAS STATE 6-0
4 TEXAS TECH 5-1
5 OREGON 6-0
6 NOTRE DAME 6-0
7 FLORIDA 6-0
8 SO CAROLINA 6-1
9 OREGON STATE 5-0
10 TCU 5-1
11 TEXAS A&M 5-1
12 IOWA STATE 4-2
13 TEXAS 4-2
14 LSU 6-1
15 WEST VIRGINIA 5-1
16 MISS STATE 6-0
17 OHIO STATE 7-0
18 USC 5-1
19 FLORIDA STATE 6-1
20 ARIZONA STATE 5-1
21 STANFORD 4-2
22 OKLAHOMA STATE 3-2
23 GEORGIA 5-1
24 BAYLOR 3-2
25 RUTGERS 6-0
26 LOUISVILLE 6-0
27 MICHIGAN 4-2
28 CINCINNATI 5-0
29 UCLA 5-2
30 ARIZONA 3-3
31 WISCONSIN 5-2
32 CLEMSON 5-1
33 PENN STATE 4-2
34 NORTHWESTERN 6-1
35 IOWA 4-2
36 NORTH CAROLINA 5-2
37 NEVADA 6-1
38 CALIFORNIA 3-4
39 LOUISIANA TECH 5-1
40 OLE MISS 4-3
41 NEBRASKA 4-2
42 MICHIGAN STATE 4-3
43 ARKANSAS 3-4
44 UTAH STATE 5-2
45 BOISE STATE 5-1
46 ULM 4-2
47 MARYLAND 4-2
48 WASHINGTON 3-3
49 TENNESSEE 3-3
50 WESTERN KY 5-1
51 NORTHERN ILL 6-1
52 TULSA 6-1
53 BYU 4-3
54 FRESNO STATE 4-3
55 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-3
56 VIRGINIA TECH 4-3
57 MISSOURI 3-4
58 TOLEDO 6-1
59 DUKE 5-2
60 LOUISIANA 4-1
61 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 4-2
62 OHIO U 7-0
63 KANSAS 1-5
64 MINNESOTA 4-2
65 TEMPLE 3-2
66 PITTSBURGH 2-4
67 NC STATE 4-2
68 SAN JOSE ST 4-2
69 PURDUE 3-3
70 NEW MEXICO 4-3
71 UTAH 2-4
72 UCF 4-2
73 SAN DIEGO ST 4-3
74 SYRACUSE 2-4
75 KENTUCKY 1-6
76 TEXAS STATE 3-3
77 AUBURN 1-5
78 WAKE FOREST 3-3
79 TROY 3-3
80 VANDERBILT 2-4
81 INDIANA 2-4
82 GEORGIA TECH 2-4
83 KENT STATE 5-1
84 CONNECTICUT 3-4
85 HOUSTON 3-3
86 SO FLORIDA 2-4
87 WASHINGTON ST 2-5
88 ARKANSAS STATE 4-3
89 BALL STATE 4-3
90 NAVY 3-3
91 WYOMING 1-5
92 AIR FORCE 3-3
93 EAST CAROLINA 4-3
94 BOWLING GREEN 4-3
95 ILLINOIS 2-5
96 SMU 2-4
97 NORTH TEXAS 2-4
98 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-1
99 COLORADO 1-5
100 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-5
101 VIRGINIA 2-5
102 UNLV 1-6
103 MARSHALL 2-4
104 WESTERN MICH 3-4
105 RICE 2-5
106 FLA ATLANTIC 1-5
107 ARMY 1-5
108 IDAHO 1-6
109 MIAMI-OHIO 3-4
110 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-6
111 FIU 1-6
112 UAB 1-5
113 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-5
114 COLORADO STATE 1-6
115 TULANE 1-5
116 BUFFALO 1-5
117 CENTRAL MICH 2-4
118 MEMPHIS 1-5
119 HAWAII 1-5
120 SOUTHERN MISS 0-6
121 EASTERN MICH 0-6
122 NEW MEXICO ST 1-5
123 AKRON 1-6
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-6

Week 5 QB Performances Reviewed Via RIPPEN

An explanation of RIPPEN

Alex Smith led the way in quarterback performances this week with an astonishing RIPPEN just over 43, and Blaine Gabbert continues to dwell at the bottom of all of my tables with a RIPPEN just above 3.

RIPPEN rankings for week 5 performances:

Player Team RIPPEN QB rating
Smith, A. SF 43.014 156.2
Tannehill, R. MIA 34.387 92.3
Brady, T. NE 28.045 104.6
Rivers, P. SD 26.194 96.7
Cutler, J. CHI 24.361 88.8
Brees, D. NO 22.586 110.4
Wilson, R. SEA 21.676 82.2
Rodgers, A. GB 19.363 103.5
Ryan, M. ATL 19.293 89.0
Schaub, M. TEX 19.174 71.9
Weeden, B. CLE 17.863 84.3
Griffin, III, R. WAS 17.237 82.9
Manning, P. DEN 17.206 116.2
Luck, A. IND 15.959 81.0
Ponder, C. MIN 15.934 87.6
Manning, E. NYG 15.532 103.3
Flacco, J. BAL 13.647 55.6
Sanchez, M. NYJ 12.100 54.5
Vick, M. PHI 11.185 104.2
Kolb, K. ARI 10.787 72.7
Roethlisberger, B. PIT 8.572 80.1
Bradford, S. STL 8.025 69.7
Newton, C. CAR 7.107 56.8
Cassel, M. KC 5.758 38.1
Dalton. A. CIN 5.575 63.5
Hasselbeck, M. TEN 5.386 69.9
Fitzpatrick, R. BUF 4.217 57.5
Gabbert, B. JAX 3.096 37.7

Looking at RIPPEN based on the whole season, Tom Brady is ranked number 1 with a RIPPEN of 27.304, which is essentially the same as RGIII’s RIPPEN of 27.279.  The top five is rounded out by Payton Manning, Alex Smith, and Matt Ryan.  My RIPPEN top five is the exact same top five as sorted by season QB rating, but in a different order.  QB rating has the top five guys ranked Smith, Ryan, Brady, Manning, RGIII.

The bottom five according to RIPPEN are Weeden, Kolb, Cassel, Gabbert, and, dead last, Matt Hasselbeck.  QB rating has three of these quarterbacks in the bottom five (Weeden, Cassel, and Gabbert), but by QB rating Sanchez and Tannehill are also in the bottom five.  I have Tannehill 19th and Sanchez 25th out of 32 quarterbacks.

As for most over and under rated quarterbacks, I regressed QB rating as a function of RIPPEN and, as expected, they are highly related.  (QB rating is approximately 58 + 1.63*RIPPEN).  However, there are some large deviations.  The most under-rated quarterback based on QB rating is Cam Newton.  His QB rating is only 80.9, but, based on RIPPEN, we’d expect him to have a QB rating about 16 points higher around 97.  Other under-rated quarterbacks include Ryan Tannehill who is about 14 points lower than expected and Mark Sanchez who is about 11 points lower than expected.  (But don’t get me wrong here, I still think Sanchez is a terrible quarterback.  I just don’t think he is the 30th best quarterback in the league, I think he’s 25th.)

The most over-rated QB based on passer rating is Kevin Kolb.  Based on his passer rating, he is ranked 16th among quarterbacks, but RIPPEN has him ranking 29th.  Based on his RIPPEN, his expected QB rating is 75.3 about 14 points lower than it actually is.  This is likely do to the weight that passer rating gives to touchdown passes.  The next two most over-rated QB’s are Ben Roethlisberger and Eli Manning.  Roethlisberger has a QB rating about 11 points higher than we would expect and Manning is about 10 points higher than expected.

Season RIPPEN rankings through five weeks of games:

Player Team RIPPEN QB rating
Brady, T. NE 27.304 102.8
Griffin, III, R. WAS 27.279 101.0
Manning, P. DEN 26.905 101.2
Smith, A. SF 25.630 108.7
Ryan, M. ATL 24.263 106.1
Newton, C. CAR 23.978 80.9
Schaub, M. HOU 23.689 99.2
Ponder, C. MIN 20.393 95.5
Rodgers, A. GB 19.697 97.0
Rivers, P. SD 19.654 93.1
Roethlisberger, B. PIT 19.131 100.6
Dalton, A. CIN 19.091 92.9
Brees, D. NO 18.720 90.7
Cutler, J. CHI 18.243 78.7
Stafford, M. DET 17.664 81.6
Manning, E. NYG 16.843 96.0
Luck, A. IND 16.770 77.1
Flacco, J. BAL 16.380 89.9
Tannehill, R. MIA 16.245 70.4
Romo, T. DAL 15.928 78.5
Vick, M. PHI 15.780 77.8
Bradford, S. STL 14.544 78.6
Palmer, C. OAK 13.065 86.0
Freeman, J. TB 12.533 75.3
Sanchez, M. NYJ 11.917 66.6
Wilson, R. SEA 10.782 75.2
Fitzpatrick, R. BUF 10.761 84.2
Weeden, B. CLE 10.465 64.5
Kolb, K. ARI 10.417 89.7
Cassel, M. KC 8.357 66.2
Gabbert, B. JAX 6.678 73.3
Hasselbeck, M. TEN 5.606 73.6

And finally, below is a plot of estimated outcome percentages that are used in calculating RIPPEN.  If you look at Peyton Manning in the upper right corner of the plot you can see that starting from his own 20 yard line and only throwing passes in a simulated world, hell score a touchdown about 32% of the time and convert a field goal about 16% of the time.  So he’d score on around 48% of drives. Compare this with Blaine Gabbert who will score a touchdown on about 6% of drives and get a filed goal about 9% of drives.  This means that 85% of Gabbert drives, in the simulated RIPPEN world, end in either a punt, an interception, or a missed field goal.

Cheers.

NFL Rankings – 10/9/2012

StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of October 9, 2012 at 12:34pm.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Points Diff
San Francisco 1 ↑2 4-1 3 2 6 +81
Chicago 2 ↑2 4-1 6 3 8 +78
Houston 3 ↓1 5-0 1 1 15 +76
Minnesota 4 ↑1 4-1 8 6 7 +41
Arizona 5 ↓4 4-1 9 5 2 +16
New England 6 ↑1 3-2 5 7 11 +52
Atlanta 7 ↓1 5-0 2 4 28 +55
St. Louis 8 ↑3 3-2 18 8 3 +2
Seattle 9 3-2 16 10 4 +16
Baltimore 10 ↓2 4-1 4 9 25 +41
Green Bay 11 ↓1 2-3 12 15 5 +1
NY Giants 12 3-2 7 22 20 +41
Detroit 13 ↑3 1-3 20 20 1 -14
Miami 14 ↑5 2-3 19 11 13 0
Indianapolis 15 ↑9 2-2 22 17 16 -19
Dallas 16 ↑6 2-2 13 19 18 -23
NY Jets 17 ↑1 2-3 25 13 9 -34
Denver 18 ↓4 2-3 17 12 26 +21
Cincinnati 19 ↓4 3-2 15 14 27 -4
Philadelphia 20 ↓3 3-2 11 16 19 -19
San Diego 21 ↓8 3-2 14 21 32 +22
Washington 22 ↓2 2-3 21 23 17 -7
Pittsburgh 23 2-2 10 18 29 +4
Buffalo 24 ↓3 2-3 27 25 14 -58
Tampa Bay 25 ↑1 1-3 23 31 23 -9
Jacksonville 26 ↓1 1-4 31 24 12 -73
New Orleans 27 ↑3 1-4 24 29 22 -13
Carolina 28 ↓1 1-4 26 30 21 -33
Tennessee 29 ↓1 1-4 28 26 10 -93
Oakland 30 ↑2 1-3 29 27 31 -58
Kansas City 31 1-4 30 28 30 -51
Cleveland 32 ↓3 0-5 32 32 24 -39

Best

Best undefeated team: Houston

Best 4 win team: San Francisco

Best 3 win team: New England

Best 2 win team: Green Bay

Best 1 win team: Detroit

Worst

Worst undefeated team: Atlanta

Worst 4 win team: Baltimore

Worst 3 win team: San Diego

Worst 2 win team: Buffalo

Worst 1 win team: Kansas City

Worst team in the league: Cleveland

Most

Most under-rated team: St. Louis (ESPN has them 18)

Most over-rated team: Pittsburgh (ESPN has them 10)

Cheers.

NCAA Football Rankings – 10/7/2012

 
Rank Team Record
1 OREGON 6-0
2 KANSAS STATE 5-0
3 ALABAMA 5-0
4 SO CAROLINA 6-0
5 WEST VIRGINIA 5-0
6 TEXAS 4-1
7 FLORIDA 5-0
8 NOTRE DAME 5-0
9 OKLAHOMA 3-1
10 IOWA STATE 4-1
11 STANFORD 4-1
12 TEXAS TECH 4-1
13 OREGON STATE 4-0
14 LSU 5-1
15 TEXAS A&M 4-1
16 OHIO STATE 6-0
17 BAYLOR 3-1
18 USC 4-1
19 MISS STATE 5-0
20 TCU 4-1
21 GEORGIA 5-1
22 ARIZONA STATE 4-1
23 FLORIDA STATE 5-1
24 OKLAHOMA STATE 2-2
25 CINCINNATI 4-0
26 ARIZONA 3-3
27 CLEMSON 5-1
28 LOUISVILLE 5-0
29 RUTGERS 5-0
30 PENN STATE 4-2
31 MICHIGAN 3-2
32 LOUISIANA TECH 5-0
33 MICHIGAN STATE 4-2
34 UCLA 4-2
35 NORTHWESTERN 5-1
36 TENNESSEE 3-2
37 IOWA 3-2
38 NEVADA 5-1
39 FRESNO STATE 4-2
40 DUKE 5-1
41 WISCONSIN 4-2
42 NORTH CAROLINA 4-2
43 BYU 4-2
44 WASHINGTON 3-2
45 NEBRASKA 4-2
46 CALIFORNIA 2-4
47 MISSOURI 3-3
48 SAN JOSE ST 4-1
49 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-2
50 OLE MISS 3-3
51 MARYLAND 3-2
52 BOISE STATE 4-1
53 MINNESOTA 4-1
54 UTAH STATE 4-2
55 TOLEDO 5-1
56 PURDUE 3-2
57 ULM 3-2
58 ARKANSAS 2-4
59 NORTHERN ILL 5-1
60 WESTERN KY 4-1
61 OHIO U 6-0
62 PITTSBURGH 2-3
63 LOUISIANA 4-1
64 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3-2
65 NC STATE 4-2
66 TULSA 5-1
67 KANSAS 1-4
68 KENTUCKY 1-5
69 UTAH 2-3
70 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-0
71 SYRACUSE 2-3
72 VIRGINIA TECH 3-3
73 TEMPLE 2-2
74 VANDERBILT 2-3
75 WASHINGTON ST 2-4
76 SAN DIEGO ST 3-3
77 TROY 3-2
78 AUBURN 1-4
79 WAKE FOREST 3-3
80 CONNECTICUT 3-3
81 NEW MEXICO 3-3
82 UCF 3-2
83 INDIANA 2-3
84 GEORGIA TECH 2-4
85 KENT STATE 4-1
86 WYOMING 1-4
87 ILLINOIS 2-4
88 SO FLORIDA 2-4
89 COLORADO 1-4
90 ARKANSAS STATE 3-3
91 BALL STATE 3-3
92 TEXAS STATE 2-3
93 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-4
94 AIR FORCE 2-3
95 NAVY 2-3
96 SMU 2-3
97 VIRGINIA 2-4
98 HOUSTON 2-3
99 WESTERN MICH 3-3
100 NORTH TEXAS 2-4
101 UNLV 1-5
102 BOWLING GREEN 3-3
103 EAST CAROLINA 3-3
104 MIAMI-OHIO 3-3
105 IDAHO 1-5
106 ARMY 1-4
107 FLA ATLANTIC 1-4
108 MARSHALL 2-4
109 COLORADO STATE 1-5
110 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-4
111 UAB 1-4
112 BUFFALO 1-4
113 MEMPHIS 1-4
114 CENTRAL MICH 2-3
115 FIU 1-5
116 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-5
117 HAWAII 1-4
118 EASTERN MICH 0-5
119 RICE 1-5
120 SOUTHERN MISS 0-5
121 NEW MEXICO ST 1-5
122 TULANE 0-5
123 AKRON 1-5
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-6

Final Regular Season MLB Rankings – 10/4/2012

StatsInTheWild MLB rankings as of October 4, 2012 at 8:15am.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Run Diff
NYY 1 95-67 6 2 5 +136
Tampa Bay 2 ↑1 90-72 9 4 7 +120
Texas 3 ↓1 93-69 2 5 11 +101
Oakland 4 ↑2 94-68 8 1 24 +99
LA Angels 5 89-73 10 6 6 +68
Washington 6 ↓2 98-64 1 7 23 +137
Atlanta 7 ↑1 94-68 4 8 22 +100
Baltimore 8 ↓1 93-69 7 3 4 +7
Detroit 9 88-74 12 9 13 +56
Cincinnati 10 97-65 3 11 29 +81
Chi WSox 11 85-77 13 12 14 +72
St. Louis 12 ↑1 88-74 11 14 28 +117
SF 13 ↓1 94-68 5 10 26 +69
LA Dodgers 14 ↑4 86-76 14 15 24 +40
Seattle 15 ↓1 75-87 20 13 3 -32
Toronto 16 ↑1 73-89 22 17 1 -68
Arizona 17 ↓2 81-81 16 19 25 +46
Boston 18 ↓2 69-93 24 22 2 -72
Milwaukee 19 83-79 15 18 30 +43
Philadelphia 20 81-81 17 16 18 +4
Pittsburgh 21 ↑2
79-83 18 24 27 -23
NY Mets 22 74-88 23 23 16 -59
Kansas City 23 ↓2 72-90 21 20 212 -70
San Diego 24 76-86 19 21 21 -59
Minnesota 25 66-96 26 25 10 -131
Cleveland 26 ↑1 68-94 27 26 9 -178
Miami 27 ↓2 69-93 25 27 15 -115
Colorado 28 64-98 28 28 17 -132
Chi Cubs 29 61-101 29 29 20 -146
Houston 30 55-107 30 30 19 -211

Past Rankings:

9/25/2012

9/18/2012

8/20/2012

8/14/2012

8/6/2012

7/23/2012

7/9/2012

7/2/2012

6/25/2012

6/19/2012

6/9/2012

5/28/2012

5/23/2012

5/14/2012

5/7/2012

4/30/2012

4/23/2012

4/16/2012

4/13/2012

Cheers.

NFL Predictions – Week 5

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 47-31 

ATS: 44-33 

O/U: 45-32

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 4

Thursday @8:25pm

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams

Prediction: Cardinals win 22-15

Pick: Cardinals -1.5

O/U: Under 39

Sunday @1pm

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins

Prediction: Falcons win 26-19

Pick: Falcons -3

O/U: Under 50

Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers

Prediction: Eagles win 27-24

Pick: Eagles +3.5

O/U:  Over 44.5 

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Packers win 29-19

Pick: Packers -7

O/U: Under 48

Cleveland Browns at New York Giants

Prediction: Giants win 24-17

Pick: Browns +10.5

O/U: Under 44

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Dolphins win 23-21

Pick: Dolphins +4.5

O/U: Under 44.5

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction: Ravens win 26-18

Pick:  Ravens -4.5

O/U: Under 46.5

Sunday @4:05pm

Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers

Prediction: Panthers win 25-21

Pick: Panthers -3

O/U: Over 44

Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction: Bears win 24-15

Pick: Bears -4.5

O/U: Under 40.5

Sunday @4:25pm

Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Vikings win 23-22

Pick: Titans +5.5

O/U: Over 43.5

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots

Prediction: Patriots win 32-20

Pick: Patriots -7

O/U: Over 51.5

Buffalo Bills at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers win 24-23

Pick: Bills +9.5

O/U: Over 44

Sunday @8:30pm

San Diego Chargers at New Orleans Saints

Prediction: Saints win 32-27

Pick: Saints -3

O/U: Over 54

Monday @8:35pm

Houston Texans at New York Jets

Prediction: Texans win 26-21

Pick: Jets +9.5

O/U: Over 41

Cheers.

Week 4 QB performances reviewed via RIPPEN

An explanation of RIPPEN

All I have to say is that Romo threw 5 interceptions and Sanchez still had a worse game this week than Romo.  That’s astonishingly bad.

RIPPEN rankings for week 4 performances:

Player Team RIPPEN QB rating
Cutler, J. CHI 45.991 140.1
Griffin, III, R.  WAS 41.929 102.4
Newton, C. CAR 33.071 119.3
Manning, P. DEN 33.046 130.0
Vick, M. PHI 29.562 99.4
Brady, T.  NE 29.519 120.1
Rivers, P. SD 29.445 115.4
Brees, D. NO 28.395 109.0
Schaub, M. HOU 28.292 115.5
Ryan, M. ATL 24.571 107.2
Tannehill, R. MIA 22.815 86.5
Stafford, M. DET 22.177 77.2
Smith, A. SF 22.025 78.1
Rodgers, A. GB 20.369 119.9
Freeman, J. TB 18.074 83.2
Bradford, S. STL 17.914 63.3
Dalton, A. CIN 17.006 96.7
Hasselbeck, M. TEN 16.055 84.2
Kolb, K. ARI 13.856 84.0
Palmer, C. OAK 13.676 73.4
Flacco, J. BAL 13.406 83.2
Fitzpatrick, R. BUF 13.169 81.1
Weeden, B. CLE 12.929 59.8
Manning, E. NYG 9.841 86.3
Romo, T. DAL 9.81 60.1
Cassel, M. KC 8.920 60.7
Ponder, C. MIN 6.323 71.2
Gabbert, B. JAX 4.669 78.8
Wilson, R. SEA 3.200 45.8
Sanchez, M.  NYJ 2.152 39.9

Cheers.