Total +5.59 Units Win totals (+3.91 units) Buccaneers – Under 7 (+125) Rams – Under 7.5 (+135) Patriots – Over 10.5 (-130)  Chiefs – Under 8.5 (-150) Jets – Under 7 (+130) Jaguars – Under 4.5 (+150) Colts – Under 9.5 (+100) Texans – Over 7.5 (-145) Broncos – Over 11.5 (+105) Browns – Under…

The Atlantic has an article posted on its site today entitled “By 2025, the Definition of ‘Privacy’ Will Have Changed“.  This got me thinking again (and I’ve thought about it quite a bit) about just what is a reasonable definition of privacy?  My two major conclusions to that question are that 1) it’s very complicated and…

Total (weeks 1-16) – SU: 158-81-1 ATS: 121-114-5 O/U: 129-109-2  Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0 Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0 Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0 Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0 Week 6…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: Tonight’s Panthers/Capitals game lasted an improbable 20 rounds, with the teams recording the following round by round outcomes (X for misses, 0 for goals) Washington: X X X O X X O X X O O X X X X X O X X X Florida: X X X O X…

Originally posted on God plays dice: Erica Klarreich at Quanta on large prime gaps. What makes Paris look like Paris? Math-inspired Christmas ornaments (sadly, I don’t have a tree). Nathan Yau at FlowingData has a list of data-ish physical gift things. From the archives of the MAA, video of David Blackwell on predicting at random…

Total (weeks 1-15) – SU: 150-73-1 ATS: 111-108-5 O/U: 120-102-2  Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0 Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0 Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0 Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0 Week 6…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: One of the topics undersold during the arguments of which four NCAA football teams deserved a spot in the college football playoff was the effect of voter bias on decision making. Specifically, literature has found NCAA football poll voters to be biased in a few ways. Bias #1- Associated Press (AP) poll voters are…

So the Big XII is pissed.  (And probably rightly so).  As I’ve said before, if the committee was trying to pick the best 4 teams in college football, they failed miserably.  TCU and Baylor, both one loss tams, are both better than Ohio State, imho.  Further, there are several multi-loss teams that are better than…

There are 36 bowl games with lines.  5 of them have spreads of 9.5 or greater.  2 of those five are the national semi-finals.  If the goal is to get the 4 best teams into a playoff, then this committee has failed miserably.  But I guess that’s sort of what I expect out of the…

Total (weeks 1-14) – SU: 139-68-1 ATS: 105-100-1 O/U: 110-96-2  Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0 Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0 Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0 Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0 Week 6…