Category: Uncategorized
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Right now, Romney is leading by over 1.5 million votes in the popular vote and is up by 17 in the electoral college, and he has virtually no chance to win the election.
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Google is doing a great job displaying these results.
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Silver’s predictions for each state are made in terms of probabilities. So, sometimes he’ll get those right and other he’ll get wrong totally based on random chance. But how much should we expect from him? Should we expect him to get every single one of his predictions correct? Let’s assume that the probabilities he reports…
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Merlin Miller is currently beating Roseanne Barr in presidential voting.
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We have moved the state of Ohio into the ‘lean’ category for Obama. – CBS
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Google has a really nice results page set-up. Here are the results as of 7:27pm on election night: Cheers.
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From Natalia Cecire’s blog: Nate Silver’s models can tell us how likely it is that Obama will “win” (the game). They can’t, and absolutely do not aim to, explain, say, the role of race in the election. And they cannot give definitive predictions either, only probabilities: that’s the point. Statistics always pulls back from the claims…
