Some NCAATournament Thoughts

Who is going to win this thing?

Kentucky.

Teams not named Kentucky most likely to win

Wisconsin

Arizona

Duke

Virginia

Gonzaga

Villanova

Best Double Digit Seeds

Ohio State

Texas

BYU

Indiana

Davidson

Upset watch

Purdue (9) over Cincinnati

Texas (11)  over Butler

UCLA (11) over SMU

Someone (11) over Xavier

Someone (11) over Providence

Ohio State (10) over VCU

Buffalo (12) over Virginia

Valparaiso (13) over Maryland

Georgia State (14) over Baylor

Bold Predictions

All four 11 seeds win in round one.

Utah to the final 4.

Notre Dame lose in the first round.

Most likely Final 4

Kentucky

Wisconsin

Duke

Virginia

Stretch Final 4

Kansas

Arizona

Oklahoma

Iowa State

Crazy Final 4

Texas

Ohio State

Michigan State

Utah

Best X seed

1 – Kentucky

2 – Arizona

3 – Oklahoma

4 – North Carolina

5 – Utah

6 – SMU

7 – Wichita State

8 – San Diego State

9 – Oklahoma State

10 – Ohio State

11 – Texas

12 – Buffalo

13 – Harvard

14 – Georgia State

15 – New Mexico State

16 – Coastal Carolina

Worst X seed

1 – Villanova

2 – Kansas

3 – Notre Dame

4 – Georgetown

5 – Northern Iowa

6 – Butler

7 – VCU

8 – Cincinnati

9 – St. John’s

10 – Georgia

11 – Boise State

12 – Wofford

13 – Eastern Washington

14 – Albany NY

15 – Texas Southern

16 – Hampton

Some bets

Northeastern +13

Lafayette +23

Harvard +11

Utah -6.5

Arkansas -7.5

Georgetown -7

Louisville -8.5

Oklahoma State +1.5

Oklahoma -13

To win

Ohio State +10000

Texas +10000

Utah +6000

Oklahoma +6500

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Posted on March 17, 2015, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

  1. Random question: is this information you post here as well as the bracket you posted on your twitter just your own personal opinions from watching games or is it based on the model you created and have used in Kaggle?

    • The bracket I posted on Twitter is almost entirely based on our kaggle entry, though I made a few personal changes. Note though that the bracket I posted isn’t going to win any big pools. It’s too close to consensus. The stuff in the blog post was also based mostly on data that was used in our kaggle entry, though some of the stuff is entirely my opinion (e.g. all 4 11 seeds will win first round games…That’s not based on data.).

      Cheers.

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