Some NCAATournament Thoughts
Who is going to win this thing?
Kentucky.
Teams not named Kentucky most likely to win
Wisconsin
Arizona
Duke
Virginia
Gonzaga
Villanova
Best Double Digit Seeds
Ohio State
Texas
BYU
Indiana
Davidson
Upset watch
Purdue (9) over Cincinnati
Texas (11) over Butler
UCLA (11) over SMU
Someone (11) over Xavier
Someone (11) over Providence
Ohio State (10) over VCU
Buffalo (12) over Virginia
Valparaiso (13) over Maryland
Georgia State (14) over Baylor
Bold Predictions
All four 11 seeds win in round one.
Utah to the final 4.
Notre Dame lose in the first round.
Most likely Final 4
Kentucky
Wisconsin
Duke
Virginia
Stretch Final 4
Kansas
Arizona
Oklahoma
Iowa State
Crazy Final 4
Texas
Ohio State
Michigan State
Utah
Best X seed
1 – Kentucky
2 – Arizona
3 – Oklahoma
4 – North Carolina
5 – Utah
6 – SMU
7 – Wichita State
8 – San Diego State
9 – Oklahoma State
10 – Ohio State
11 – Texas
12 – Buffalo
13 – Harvard
14 – Georgia State
15 – New Mexico State
16 – Coastal Carolina
Worst X seed
1 – Villanova
2 – Kansas
3 – Notre Dame
4 – Georgetown
5 – Northern Iowa
6 – Butler
7 – VCU
8 – Cincinnati
9 – St. John’s
10 – Georgia
11 – Boise State
12 – Wofford
13 – Eastern Washington
14 – Albany NY
15 – Texas Southern
16 – Hampton
Some bets
Northeastern +13
Lafayette +23
Harvard +11
Utah -6.5
Arkansas -7.5
Georgetown -7
Louisville -8.5
Oklahoma State +1.5
Oklahoma -13
To win
Ohio State +10000
Texas +10000
Utah +6000
Oklahoma +6500
Posted on March 17, 2015, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.
Stats in the Wild 
Random question: is this information you post here as well as the bracket you posted on your twitter just your own personal opinions from watching games or is it based on the model you created and have used in Kaggle?
The bracket I posted on Twitter is almost entirely based on our kaggle entry, though I made a few personal changes. Note though that the bracket I posted isn’t going to win any big pools. It’s too close to consensus. The stuff in the blog post was also based mostly on data that was used in our kaggle entry, though some of the stuff is entirely my opinion (e.g. all 4 11 seeds will win first round games…That’s not based on data.).
Cheers.
Thank you very much for your quick reply and good luck this year!