NFL Picks -Week 1

2015 Record
My record 2016:
Total (weeks 1-16) – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1
Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1

Carolina at Denver

Prediction: Broncos 23-20 (58%)

Pick: Broncos +3 

Total: Over 40.5

New England at Arizona

Prediction: Patriots 24-23 (52%)Pick: Patriots +9

Total: Over 44 PUSH

Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Prediction: Falcons 25-21 (60.1%)

Pick: Falcons -2.5

Total: Under 47

Buffalo at Baltimore

Prediction: Ravens 22-20 (56.2%)

Pick: Bills +3

Total: Under 44.5

NY Giants at Dallas

Prediction: Cowboys 24-22 (56.8%)

Pick: Dallas +1 PUSH

Total: Under 47.5 

Chicago at Houston

Prediction: Texans 23-20 (58%)

Pick: Bears +5.5

Total: Over 42.5

Detroit at Indianapolis

Prediction: Colts 23-22 (51.8%)

Pick: Lions +3

Total: Under 50.5

Green Bay at Jacksonville

Prediction: Packers 26-19 (67%)

Pick: Packers -3.5

Total: Under 47.5

San Diego at Kansas City

Prediction: Chiefs 24-20 (60.5%

Pick: Chargers +6.5

Total: Under 46

Oakland at New Orleans

Prediction: Saints 27-22 (63.8%)

Pick: Saints -3

Total: Under 50.5

Cincinnati at NY Jets

Prediction: Bengals 21-20 (51.5%)

Pick: Bengals -1

Total: Under 42 

Cleveland at Philadelphia

Prediction: Eagles 26-22

Pick: Eagles -3.5

Total: Over 41

Miami at Seattle

Prediction: Seahawks 25-17

Pick: Dolphins +10.5

Total: Under 44

Minnesota at Tennessee

Prediction: Vikings 21-19

Pick: Titans +2.5

Total: Under 40

Pittsburgh at Washington

Prediction: Steelers 25-22 (56.4%)

Pick: Steelers -2.5

Total: Under 50

Los Angeles (nee St. Louis) at San Francisco

Prediction: 49ers 21-18 (57.3%)

Pick: 49ers +2.5

Total: Under 43

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Posted on September 8, 2016, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

  1. Curious: what adjustment, if any, to your totals model did you make as a result of the new touchback location (25 yd. line) rule?
    I.e., by what pct. do you think average total pts. per game will rise this year due to the rule change?

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