NFL Picks -Week 1
Carolina at Denver
Prediction: Broncos 23-20 (58%)
Pick: Broncos +3
Total: Over 40.5
New England at Arizona
Total: Over 44 PUSH
Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Prediction: Falcons 25-21 (60.1%)
Pick: Falcons -2.5
Total: Under 47
Buffalo at Baltimore
Prediction: Ravens 22-20 (56.2%)
Pick: Bills +3
Total: Under 44.5
NY Giants at Dallas
Prediction: Cowboys 24-22 (56.8%)
Pick: Dallas +1 PUSH
Total: Under 47.5
Chicago at Houston
Prediction: Texans 23-20 (58%)
Pick: Bears +5.5
Total: Over 42.5
Detroit at Indianapolis
Prediction: Colts 23-22 (51.8%)
Pick: Lions +3
Total: Under 50.5
Green Bay at Jacksonville
Prediction: Packers 26-19 (67%)
Pick: Packers -3.5
Total: Under 47.5
San Diego at Kansas City
Prediction: Chiefs 24-20 (60.5%
Pick: Chargers +6.5
Total: Under 46
Oakland at New Orleans
Prediction: Saints 27-22 (63.8%)
Pick: Saints -3
Total: Under 50.5
Cincinnati at NY Jets
Prediction: Bengals 21-20 (51.5%)
Pick: Bengals -1
Total: Under 42
Cleveland at Philadelphia
Prediction: Eagles 26-22
Pick: Eagles -3.5
Total: Over 41
Miami at Seattle
Prediction: Seahawks 25-17
Pick: Dolphins +10.5
Total: Under 44
Minnesota at Tennessee
Prediction: Vikings 21-19
Pick: Titans +2.5
Total: Under 40
Pittsburgh at Washington
Prediction: Steelers 25-22 (56.4%)
Pick: Steelers -2.5
Total: Under 50
Los Angeles (nee St. Louis) at San Francisco
Prediction: 49ers 21-18 (57.3%)
Pick: 49ers +2.5
Total: Under 43
Posted on September 8, 2016, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.
Stats in the Wild 
Curious: what adjustment, if any, to your totals model did you make as a result of the new touchback location (25 yd. line) rule?
I.e., by what pct. do you think average total pts. per game will rise this year due to the rule change?