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NFL Playoff Probabilities and Team Rankings
September 9, 2016
Team
WinDivison
MakePlayoffs
MakeSuperBowl
WinSuperBowl
ARI
3.0
48.9
3.0
0.9
ATL
3.9
10.2
1.5
0.7
BAL
13.9
35.3
3.4
0.7
BUF
4.2
13.3
1.8
0.6
CAR
79.5
87.5
15.4
9.2
CHI
1.7
12.5
1.4
0.4
CIN
44.1
71.3
11.0
4.7
CLE
0.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
DAL
42.8
46.8
4.3
1.1
DEN
76.8
95.9
25.4
12.8
DET
8.3
47.5
4.7
2.4
GB
84.7
97.2
24.6
13.7
HOU
54.1
57.2
7.7
2.4
IND
42.0
44.5
5.3
0.8
JAC
0.9
1.0
0.1
0.0
KC
19.0
67.6
8.1
3.2
MIA
1.3
5.1
0.7
0.5
MIN
5.3
37.8
3.2
1.7
NE
90.3
94.1
20.9
9.8
NO
16.4
35.8
3.8
1.5
NYG
22.6
24.4
2.6
0.6
NYJ
4.2
14.1
1.6
0.5
OAK
0.1
1.3
0.0
0.0
PHI
29.6
33.4
3.4
1.3
PIT
41.9
69.0
11.9
5.6
SD
4.1
26.8
2.0
0.7
SEA
96.8
99.9
30.5
23.6
SF
0.2
9.1
0.9
0.5
LA
0.0
2.4
0.0
0.0
TB
0.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
TEN
3.0
3.1
0.1
0.0
WAS
5.0
6.0
0.5
0.1
Team
Retro
Prosp
PredMargin
Change
W
L
17
SEA
50
87
5.722
9
CAR
54
72
2.402
0
1
3
DEN
58
71
3.583
1
0
24
NE
46
70
3.708
2
GB
59
66
3.474
6
KC
56
62
1.717
7
PIT
55
59
1.776
15
CIN
50
58
2.073
19
HOU
47
57
-0.140
14
SF
51
56
-0.540
4
NYJ
57
55
-0.107
21
BUF
47
54
-0.371
20
DET
47
53
0.318
28
MIN
44
53
0.071
12
NO
53
53
0.646
32
BAL
40
52
0.139
1
ARI
60
50
1.334
27
SD
45
48
-0.350
23
CHI
46
45
-1.328
5
WAS
57
43
-2.130
31
DAL
42
43
-0.486
10
PHI
53
42
-0.273
13
ATL
53
41
-0.704
8
STL
54
41
-1.449
26
MIA
45
39
-1.063
18
TB
49
38
-2.566
16
IND
50
36
-0.699
25
NYG
46
35
-1.196
29
OAK
43
34
-2.595
11
CLE
53
32
-2.849
30
TEN
42
25
-3.776
22
JAC
46
23
-4.341
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