I have two rankings systems “Prosp” and “Retro”. “Prosp” is based on 5 years of data with a very steep weighting curve. “Retro” is based entirely on the current season and strength of schedule.
Rank |
Team |
Prosp |
Retro |
PredMargin |
Change |
W |
L |
1 |
DAL |
57 |
70 |
0.483 |
|
8 |
1 |
2 |
ATL |
52 |
64 |
0.184 |
|
6 |
4 |
3 |
DEN |
60 |
63 |
2.378 |
|
7 |
3 |
4 |
KC |
54 |
61 |
1.235 |
|
7 |
2 |
5 |
OAK |
47 |
61 |
-1.149 |
|
7 |
2 |
6 |
PHI |
53 |
61 |
0.090 |
|
5 |
4 |
7 |
WAS |
51 |
60 |
-1.115 |
|
5.5 |
3.5 |
8 |
NE |
62 |
60 |
3.001 |
|
7 |
2 |
9 |
SEA |
69 |
57 |
3.706 |
|
6.5 |
2.5 |
10 |
SD |
50 |
53 |
-0.570 |
|
4 |
6 |
11 |
NYG |
41 |
53 |
-0.445 |
|
6 |
3 |
12 |
BUF |
56 |
52 |
0.014 |
|
4 |
5 |
13 |
MIN |
50 |
52 |
0.325 |
|
5 |
4 |
14 |
HOU |
52 |
51 |
0.041 |
|
6 |
3 |
15 |
NO |
57 |
51 |
0.535 |
|
4 |
5 |
16 |
TEN |
39 |
51 |
-2.308 |
|
5 |
5 |
17 |
ARI |
54 |
51 |
1.969 |
|
4.5 |
4.5 |
18 |
IND |
42 |
49 |
-0.563 |
|
4 |
5 |
19 |
DET |
49 |
49 |
-0.375 |
|
5 |
4 |
20 |
MIA |
41 |
48 |
-1.226 |
|
5 |
4 |
21 |
LA |
38 |
48 |
-1.753 |
|
4 |
5 |
22 |
BAL |
51 |
48 |
0.080 |
|
5 |
4 |
23 |
GB |
58 |
47 |
2.642 |
|
4 |
5 |
24 |
CAR |
63 |
46 |
2.444 |
|
3 |
6 |
25 |
PIT |
57 |
46 |
1.651 |
|
4 |
5 |
26 |
CIN |
55 |
43 |
1.658 |
|
3.5 |
5.5 |
27 |
TB |
42 |
43 |
-1.795 |
|
4 |
5 |
28 |
NYJ |
49 |
38 |
-0.413 |
|
3 |
7 |
29 |
JAC |
32 |
37 |
-3.212 |
|
2 |
7 |
30 |
CHI |
46 |
37 |
-1.674 |
|
2 |
7 |
31 |
CLE |
34 |
27 |
-3.594 |
|
0 |
10 |
32 |
SF |
42 |
26 |
-2.246 |
|
1 |
8 |
|
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