Kaggle March Madness Update – March 26, 2024

I thought I finally understood the scoring for this contest, but I can’t reproduce my score on the leaderboard. So I have no idea. But I’m at 141 after the first weekend. Unlikely to cash, looking to just finish top 100.

Sweet Sixteen probabilities for women: (Men’s Sweet Sixteen probabilities are here):

South Carolina: 91.9% (100% in aggressive bracket)
Indiana: 5.83% (0% in aggressive bracket)

Oregon St: 50.1%
Notre Dame: 41.9%

Gonzaga: 21.3%
Texas: 56.8%

NC State: 27.9%
Stanford: 65.4%

USC: 60.1%
Baylor: 12.2%

Duke: 5.1%
UConn: 47.2%

Colorado: 17.1%
Iowa: 56.6%

LSU: 34.0%
UCLA: 57.2%

Cheers.

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