Well, I’ve gone up in the rankings every scoring update. From 233rd to 170th to currently in 126th. Just about top 15%. That’s positive. And with the new scoring system, there is a ton of room to move up (and DOWN) very quickly.

Probabilities for women’s games today (remember these are pre-tournament probabilities that these teams would reach the Sweet Sixteen, NOT single game win probabilities):

Notre Dame: 79.33%

Ole Miss: 17.45%

NC State: 78.33%

Tennessee: 20.37%

Syracuse: 18.67%

UConn: 76.76%

Oklahoma: 26.11%

Indiana: 69.29%

West Virginia: 11.69%

Iowa: 83.15%

Creighton: 9.48%

UCLA: 85.15%

Kansas: 9.57%

USC: 85.8%

Utah: 40.58%

Gonzaga: 55.04%

And here are my probabilities for the men’s games next Thursday and Friday:

Thursday

Clemson: 7.75%

Arizona: 26.47%

San Diego St: 6.04% (0% in my aggressive bracket)

UConn: 71.53% (100% in my aggressive bracket)

Alabama: 21.37%

North Carolina: 51.43%

Illinois: 27.09%

Iowa St: 46.87%

Friday

NC State: 4.52%

Marquette: 38.57%

Gonzaga: 6.86%

Purdue: 69.26%

Duke: 12.87%

Houston: 69.82%

Creighton: 21.28%

Tennessee: 44.22%

In my aggressive bracket I have South Carolina and UConn winning the men’s and women’s titles with probability 100%. If that happens I pick up 0 loss for all those games in all 6 rounds. And 0 loss in the finals would be absolutely massive in reducing my score as it would be a full 1/6th of my score with 0 loss. So let’s go UConn and South Carolina!

Cheers.