Category Archives: NCAA College Football

NCAA Football Picks – Week 1

Aug 29

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August 29, 2013

Akron at Central Florida

Prediction: Central Florida 38-20

Illinois State at Ball State

Prediction: Ball State 34-24

Kentucky at Western Kentucky

Prediction: Western Kentucky 25-23

Liberty at Kent State

Prediction: Kent State 28-21

North Carolina at South Carolina

Prediction: South Carolina 24-22

Rutgers at Fresno State

Prediction: Rutgers 21-20

Sacramento State at San Jose State

Prediction: San Jose State 35-19

Samford at Georgia State

Prediction: Georgia State 26-23

USC at Hawaii

Prediction: USC 36-13

Southern Utah at South Alabama

Prediction: South Alabama 27-21

Towson at UConn

Prediction: UConn 24-17

Tulsa at Bowling Green

Prediction: Tulsa 27-17

Utah State at Utah

Prediction: Utah State 24-19

Western Carolina at Middle Tennessee State

Prediction: Middle Tennessee State 36-21

August 30, 2013

Southern at Houston

Prediction: Houston 42-23

Texas Tech at SMU

Prediction: Texas Tech 30-23

August 31, 2013

UAB at Troy

Prediction: Troy 38-29

Austin Peay at Tennessee

Prediction: Tennessee 47-16

Boise State at Washington

Boise State 23-16

BYU at Virginia

Prediction: BYU 26-14

Buffalo at Ohio State

Prediction: Ohio State 34-14

Central Michigan at Michigan

Prediction: Michigan 35-19

Eastern Illinois at San Diego State

Prediction: San Diego State 40-17

Eastern Washington at Oregon State

Prediction: Oregon State 33-16

Elon at Georgia Tech

Prediction: Georgia Tech 44-14

FIU at Maryland

Prediction: Maryland 23-20

Georgia at Clemson

Prediction: Georgia 28-27

Howard at Eastern Michigan

Prediction: Eastern Michigan 27-25

Idaho at North Texas

Prediction: North Texas 34-22

Indiana at Indiana State

Prediction: Indiana 35-24

Jackson State at Tulane

Prediction: Jackson State 29-27

Louisiana Tech at NC State

Prediction: Louisiana Tech 37-33

Louisiana-Lafayette at Arkansas

Prediction: Arkansas 33-27

Louisiana-Monroe at Oklahoma

Prediction: Oklahoma 38-20

LSU at TCU

Prediction: TCU 17-16

Massachusetts at Wisconsin

Prediction: Wisconsin wins 43-7

McNeese State at South Florida

Prediction: South Florida 31-23

Mississippi at Vanderbilt

Prediction: Vanderbilt 24-23

Mississippi State at Oklahoma

Prediction: Oklahoma State 34-21

Morgan State at Army

Prediction: Army 54-17

Murray State at Missouri

Prediction: Missouri 40-10

Nevada at UCLA

Prediction: MUCL 37-33

UNLV at Minnesota

Prediction: Minnesota 30-19

New Mexico State at Texas

Prediction: Texas 41-13

Nicholls State at Oregon

Prediction: Oregon 58-10

North Carolina Central at Duke

Prediction: Duke 38-20

North Dakota State at Kansas State

Prediction: Kansas State 17-14

Northern Arizona at Arizona

Prediction: Arizona 43-19

Northern Illinois at Iowa

Prediction: Northern Illinois 23-19

Northern Iowa at Iowa State

Prediction: Iowa State 27-19

Northwestern at California

Prediction: Northwestern 31-23

Oklahoma State at Mississippi State

Prediction: Oklahoma State 34-33

Penn State at Syracuse

Prediction: Penn State 27-22

Presbyterian at Wake Forest

Prediction: Wake Forest 34-12

Purdue at Cincinnati

Prediction: Cincinnati 30-23

Rice at Texas A&M

Prediction: Texas A&M 48-20

Southern Illinois at Illinois

Prediction: Illinois 27-19

Temple at Notre Dame

Prediction: Notre Dame 30-12

Texas State at Southern Mississippi

Prediction: Southern Mississippi 28-27

Texas-San Antonio at New Mexico

Prediction: New Mexico 30-28

Toledo at Florida

Prediction: Florida 31-14

Villanova at Boston College

Prediction: Boston College 27-21

Virginia Tech at Alabama

Prediction: Alabama 26-9

Washington State at Auburn

Prediction: Auburn 28-19

Western Michigan at Michigan State

Prediction: Michigan State 28-17

William & Mary at West Virginia

West Virginia 35-17

Wofford at Baylor

Prediction: Baylor 45-27

Wyoming at Nebraska

Prediction: Nebraska 40-17

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NCAA Football Rankings – 10/14/2012

Oct 14

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Rank Team Record
1 ALABAMA 6-0
2 OKLAHOMA 4-1
3 KANSAS STATE 6-0
4 TEXAS TECH 5-1
5 OREGON 6-0
6 NOTRE DAME 6-0
7 FLORIDA 6-0
8 SO CAROLINA 6-1
9 OREGON STATE 5-0
10 TCU 5-1
11 TEXAS A&M 5-1
12 IOWA STATE 4-2
13 TEXAS 4-2
14 LSU 6-1
15 WEST VIRGINIA 5-1
16 MISS STATE 6-0
17 OHIO STATE 7-0
18 USC 5-1
19 FLORIDA STATE 6-1
20 ARIZONA STATE 5-1
21 STANFORD 4-2
22 OKLAHOMA STATE 3-2
23 GEORGIA 5-1
24 BAYLOR 3-2
25 RUTGERS 6-0
26 LOUISVILLE 6-0
27 MICHIGAN 4-2
28 CINCINNATI 5-0
29 UCLA 5-2
30 ARIZONA 3-3
31 WISCONSIN 5-2
32 CLEMSON 5-1
33 PENN STATE 4-2
34 NORTHWESTERN 6-1
35 IOWA 4-2
36 NORTH CAROLINA 5-2
37 NEVADA 6-1
38 CALIFORNIA 3-4
39 LOUISIANA TECH 5-1
40 OLE MISS 4-3
41 NEBRASKA 4-2
42 MICHIGAN STATE 4-3
43 ARKANSAS 3-4
44 UTAH STATE 5-2
45 BOISE STATE 5-1
46 ULM 4-2
47 MARYLAND 4-2
48 WASHINGTON 3-3
49 TENNESSEE 3-3
50 WESTERN KY 5-1
51 NORTHERN ILL 6-1
52 TULSA 6-1
53 BYU 4-3
54 FRESNO STATE 4-3
55 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-3
56 VIRGINIA TECH 4-3
57 MISSOURI 3-4
58 TOLEDO 6-1
59 DUKE 5-2
60 LOUISIANA 4-1
61 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 4-2
62 OHIO U 7-0
63 KANSAS 1-5
64 MINNESOTA 4-2
65 TEMPLE 3-2
66 PITTSBURGH 2-4
67 NC STATE 4-2
68 SAN JOSE ST 4-2
69 PURDUE 3-3
70 NEW MEXICO 4-3
71 UTAH 2-4
72 UCF 4-2
73 SAN DIEGO ST 4-3
74 SYRACUSE 2-4
75 KENTUCKY 1-6
76 TEXAS STATE 3-3
77 AUBURN 1-5
78 WAKE FOREST 3-3
79 TROY 3-3
80 VANDERBILT 2-4
81 INDIANA 2-4
82 GEORGIA TECH 2-4
83 KENT STATE 5-1
84 CONNECTICUT 3-4
85 HOUSTON 3-3
86 SO FLORIDA 2-4
87 WASHINGTON ST 2-5
88 ARKANSAS STATE 4-3
89 BALL STATE 4-3
90 NAVY 3-3
91 WYOMING 1-5
92 AIR FORCE 3-3
93 EAST CAROLINA 4-3
94 BOWLING GREEN 4-3
95 ILLINOIS 2-5
96 SMU 2-4
97 NORTH TEXAS 2-4
98 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-1
99 COLORADO 1-5
100 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-5
101 VIRGINIA 2-5
102 UNLV 1-6
103 MARSHALL 2-4
104 WESTERN MICH 3-4
105 RICE 2-5
106 FLA ATLANTIC 1-5
107 ARMY 1-5
108 IDAHO 1-6
109 MIAMI-OHIO 3-4
110 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-6
111 FIU 1-6
112 UAB 1-5
113 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-5
114 COLORADO STATE 1-6
115 TULANE 1-5
116 BUFFALO 1-5
117 CENTRAL MICH 2-4
118 MEMPHIS 1-5
119 HAWAII 1-5
120 SOUTHERN MISS 0-6
121 EASTERN MICH 0-6
122 NEW MEXICO ST 1-5
123 AKRON 1-6
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-6

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NCAA Football Rankings – 10/7/2012

Oct 7

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Rank Team Record
1 OREGON 6-0
2 KANSAS STATE 5-0
3 ALABAMA 5-0
4 SO CAROLINA 6-0
5 WEST VIRGINIA 5-0
6 TEXAS 4-1
7 FLORIDA 5-0
8 NOTRE DAME 5-0
9 OKLAHOMA 3-1
10 IOWA STATE 4-1
11 STANFORD 4-1
12 TEXAS TECH 4-1
13 OREGON STATE 4-0
14 LSU 5-1
15 TEXAS A&M 4-1
16 OHIO STATE 6-0
17 BAYLOR 3-1
18 USC 4-1
19 MISS STATE 5-0
20 TCU 4-1
21 GEORGIA 5-1
22 ARIZONA STATE 4-1
23 FLORIDA STATE 5-1
24 OKLAHOMA STATE 2-2
25 CINCINNATI 4-0
26 ARIZONA 3-3
27 CLEMSON 5-1
28 LOUISVILLE 5-0
29 RUTGERS 5-0
30 PENN STATE 4-2
31 MICHIGAN 3-2
32 LOUISIANA TECH 5-0
33 MICHIGAN STATE 4-2
34 UCLA 4-2
35 NORTHWESTERN 5-1
36 TENNESSEE 3-2
37 IOWA 3-2
38 NEVADA 5-1
39 FRESNO STATE 4-2
40 DUKE 5-1
41 WISCONSIN 4-2
42 NORTH CAROLINA 4-2
43 BYU 4-2
44 WASHINGTON 3-2
45 NEBRASKA 4-2
46 CALIFORNIA 2-4
47 MISSOURI 3-3
48 SAN JOSE ST 4-1
49 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-2
50 OLE MISS 3-3
51 MARYLAND 3-2
52 BOISE STATE 4-1
53 MINNESOTA 4-1
54 UTAH STATE 4-2
55 TOLEDO 5-1
56 PURDUE 3-2
57 ULM 3-2
58 ARKANSAS 2-4
59 NORTHERN ILL 5-1
60 WESTERN KY 4-1
61 OHIO U 6-0
62 PITTSBURGH 2-3
63 LOUISIANA 4-1
64 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3-2
65 NC STATE 4-2
66 TULSA 5-1
67 KANSAS 1-4
68 KENTUCKY 1-5
69 UTAH 2-3
70 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-0
71 SYRACUSE 2-3
72 VIRGINIA TECH 3-3
73 TEMPLE 2-2
74 VANDERBILT 2-3
75 WASHINGTON ST 2-4
76 SAN DIEGO ST 3-3
77 TROY 3-2
78 AUBURN 1-4
79 WAKE FOREST 3-3
80 CONNECTICUT 3-3
81 NEW MEXICO 3-3
82 UCF 3-2
83 INDIANA 2-3
84 GEORGIA TECH 2-4
85 KENT STATE 4-1
86 WYOMING 1-4
87 ILLINOIS 2-4
88 SO FLORIDA 2-4
89 COLORADO 1-4
90 ARKANSAS STATE 3-3
91 BALL STATE 3-3
92 TEXAS STATE 2-3
93 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-4
94 AIR FORCE 2-3
95 NAVY 2-3
96 SMU 2-3
97 VIRGINIA 2-4
98 HOUSTON 2-3
99 WESTERN MICH 3-3
100 NORTH TEXAS 2-4
101 UNLV 1-5
102 BOWLING GREEN 3-3
103 EAST CAROLINA 3-3
104 MIAMI-OHIO 3-3
105 IDAHO 1-5
106 ARMY 1-4
107 FLA ATLANTIC 1-4
108 MARSHALL 2-4
109 COLORADO STATE 1-5
110 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-4
111 UAB 1-4
112 BUFFALO 1-4
113 MEMPHIS 1-4
114 CENTRAL MICH 2-3
115 FIU 1-5
116 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-5
117 HAWAII 1-4
118 EASTERN MICH 0-5
119 RICE 1-5
120 SOUTHERN MISS 0-5
121 NEW MEXICO ST 1-5
122 TULANE 0-5
123 AKRON 1-5
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-6

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NCAA Football Rankings – 10/1/2012

Oct 1

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Teams records
1 ALABAMA 5-0
2 TEXAS 4-0
3 TEXAS TECH 4-0
4 KANSAS STATE 4-0
5 OREGON 5-0
6 WEST VIRGINIA 4-0
7 LSU 5-0
8 SO CAROLINA 5-0
9 GEORGIA 5-0
10 TCU 4-0
11 FLORIDA 4-0
12 FLORIDA STATE 5-0
13 OREGON STATE 3-0
14 NOTRE DAME 4-0
15 STANFORD 3-1
16 IOWA STATE 3-1
17 ARIZONA STATE 4-1
18 BAYLOR 3-1
19 TEXAS A&M 3-1
20 OKLAHOMA 2-1
21 MISS STATE 4-0
22 USC 3-1
23 UCLA 4-1
24 OKLAHOMA STATE 2-2
25 OHIO STATE 5-0
26 NORTHWESTERN 5-0
27 ARIZONA 3-2
28 CLEMSON 4-1
29 NEBRASKA 4-1
30 LOUISVILLE 5-0
31 MIAMI-FLORIDA 4-1
32 WASHINGTON 3-1
33 CINCINNATI 3-0
34 TENNESSEE 3-2
35 LOUISIANA TECH 4-0
36 IOWA 3-2
37 MISSOURI 3-2
38 PURDUE 3-1
39 MICHIGAN STATE 3-2
40 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3-1
41 PENN STATE 3-2
42 BYU 3-2
43 UTAH STATE 4-1
44 NEVADA 4-1
45 OLE MISS 3-2
46 DUKE 4-1
47 MICHIGAN 2-2
48 RUTGERS 4-0
49 WISCONSIN 3-2
50 NORTH CAROLINA 3-2
51 SAN JOSE ST 4-1
52 FRESNO STATE 3-2
53 MINNESOTA 4-1
54 KANSAS 1-3
55 VIRGINIA TECH 3-2
56 WESTERN KY 4-1
57 PITTSBURGH 2-2
58 UTAH 2-2
59 AUBURN 1-3
60 MARYLAND 2-2
61 BOISE STATE 3-1
62 GEORGIA TECH 2-3
63 NC STATE 3-2
64 OHIO U 5-0
65 TX-SAN ANTONIO 5-0
66 KENTUCKY 1-4
67 TOLEDO 4-1
68 LOUISIANA 3-1
69 WASHINGTON ST 2-3
70 NORTHERN ILL 4-1
71 INDIANA 2-2
72 CONNECTICUT 3-2
73 WAKE FOREST 3-2
74 TROY 3-2
75 CALIFORNIA 1-4
76 ULM 2-2
77 VANDERBILT 1-3
78 SYRACUSE 1-3
79 TULSA 4-1
80 SO FLORIDA 2-3
81 ARKANSAS 1-4
82 TEXAS STATE 2-2
83 BALL STATE 3-2
84 BOSTON COLLEGE 1-3
85 WYOMING 1-3
86 ILLINOIS 2-3
87 VIRGINIA 2-3
88 NEW MEXICO 2-3
89 NORTH TEXAS 2-3
90 AIR FORCE 2-2
91 SAN DIEGO ST 2-3
92 UCF 2-2
93 TEMPLE 1-2
94 COLORADO 1-4
95 UNLV 1-4
96 KENT STATE 3-1
97 ARKANSAS STATE 2-3
98 EAST CAROLINA 3-2
99 MIAMI-OHIO 3-2
100 MARSHALL 2-3
101 FLA ATLANTIC 1-4
102 COLORADO STATE 1-4
103 HOUSTON 1-3
104 NAVY 1-3
105 WESTERN MICH 2-3
106 BOWLING GREEN 2-3
107 SMU 1-3
108 BUFFALO 1-3
109 TEXAS-EL PASO 1-4
110 SOUTH ALABAMA 1-4
111 FIU 1-4
112 IDAHO 0-5
113 CENTRAL MICH 2-2
114 HAWAII 1-3
115 EASTERN MICH 0-4
116 ARMY 0-4
117 UAB 0-4
118 RICE 1-4
119 SOUTHERN MISS 0-4
120 NEW MEXICO ST 1-4
121 MEMPHIS 0-4
122 AKRON 1-4
123 TULANE 0-4
124 MASSACHUSETTS 0-5

 

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NCAA Football Rankings – 9/17/2012

Sep 17

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NCAA Football Rankings after week 3 as of 9/17/2012 at 6:13am

 

Rank

Team

Record
1 TEXAS  3-0
2 TEXAS TECH  3-0
3 KANSAS STATE  3-0
4 ALABAMA  3-0
5 LSU  3-0
6 IOWA STATE  3-0
7 ARIZONA  3-0
8 STANFORD  3-0
9 OKLAHOMA  2-0
10 TCU  2-0
11 WEST VIRGINIA  2-0
12 BAYLOR  2-0
13 GEORGIA  3-0
14 SO CAROLINA  3-0
15 NOTRE DAME  3-0
16 OREGON  3-0
17 FLORIDA  3-0
18 OKLAHOMA STATE  2-1
19 UCLA  3-0
20 USC  2-1
21 MISS STATE  3-0
22 OREGON STATE  1-0
23 OHIO STATE  3-0
24 ARIZONA STATE  2-1
25 NORTHWESTERN  3-0
26 FLORIDA STATE  3-0
27 CLEMSON  3-0
28 TEXAS A&M  1-1
29 NEBRASKA  2-1
30 LOUISVILLE  3-0
31 CINCINNATI  2-0
32 MICHIGAN  2-1
33 MISSOURI  2-1
34 KANSAS  1-2
35 GEORGIA TECH  2-1
36 WASHINGTON  2-1
37 TENNESSEE  2-1
38 MINNESOTA  3-0
39 OLE MISS  2-1
40 BYU  2-1
41 MICHIGAN STATE  2-1
42 UTAH  2-1
43 RUTGERS  3-0
44 PURDUE  2-1
45 MARYLAND  2-1
46 WISCONSIN  2-1
47 NC STATE  2-1
48 IOWA  2-1
49 CONNECTICUT  2-1
50 WASHINGTON ST  2-1
51 KENTUCKY  1-2
52 MIAMI-FLORIDA  2-1
53 LOUISIANA TECH  2-0
54 INDIANA  2-1
55 FRESNO STATE  2-1
56 SAN JOSE ST  2-1
57 PITTSBURGH  1-2
58 CALIFORNIA  1-2
59 ILLINOIS  2-1
60 MIDDLE TENNESSEE  2-1
61 OHIO U  3-0
62 AUBURN  1-2
63 UTAH STATE  2-1
64 PENN STATE  1-2
65 ARKANSAS  1-2
66 SYRACUSE  1-2
67 DUKE  2-1
68 SO FLORIDA  2-1
69 NEVADA  2-1
70 VANDERBILT  1-2
71 VIRGINIA TECH  2-1
72 SAN DIEGO ST  2-1
73 BOISE STATE  1-1
74 TOLEDO  2-1
75 UCF  2-1
76 TEMPLE  1-1
77 TX-SAN ANTONIO  3-0
78 VIRGINIA  2-1
79 TULSA  2-1
80 BOSTON COLLEGE  1-2
81 TEXAS STATE  1-1
82 WAKE FOREST  2-1
83 NORTH CAROLINA  1-2
84 ULM  1-1
85 COLORADO  0-3
86 BALL STATE  2-1
87 LOUISIANA  2-1
88 COLORADO STATE  1-2
89 WESTERN KY  2-1
90 WYOMING  0-3
91 UNLV  0-3
92 HAWAII  1-1
93 NEW MEXICO  1-2
94 AIR FORCE  1-1
95 TEXAS-EL PASO  1-2
96 NORTH TEXAS  1-2
97 BUFFALO  1-1
98 TROY  1-2
99 NORTHERN ILL  2-1
100 EAST CAROLINA  2-1
101 ARKANSAS STATE  1-2
102 IDAHO  0-3
103 BOWLING GREEN  1-2
104 SOUTH ALABAMA  1-2
105 FLA ATLANTIC  1-2
106 MARSHALL  1-2
107 RICE  1-2
108 FIU  1-2
109 NEW MEXICO ST  1-2
110 SMU  1-2
111 WESTERN MICH  1-2
112 NAVY  0-2
113 KENT STATE  1-1
114 ARMY  0-2
115 CENTRAL MICH  1-1
116 SOUTHERN MISS  0-2
117 UAB  0-2
118 EASTERN MICH  0-3
119 MEMPHIS  0-3
120 TULANE  0-2
121 HOUSTON  0-3
122 MIAMI-OHIO  1-2
123 AKRON  1-2
124 MASSACHUSETTS  0-3

Cheers.

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StatsInTheWild picks all 35 bowl games

Dec 17

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I’ve picked all 35 bowl games based on my rankings.  I’ll post my running record as the games are played.  (Also, check out my final regular season rankings here.)

And which games am I looking forward to this year?  My number one pick for bowl entertainment is the Fight Hunger bowl.  This monstrosity of a “bowl game” will feature a UCLA team with a losing record who had to petition the NCAA to even be allowed to play in a bowl game and an Illinois team on a 6 game losing streak.  These are the kind of match-ups that I live for.

Record: 21-14
✓=Correct Pick; ✗=Incorrect Pick

Bowl Predicted Winner Outcome
New Mexico Wyoming ✗
Famous Idaho Potato Ohio ✓
New Orleans San Diego State ✗
St.Petersburg Marshall ✓
Poinsetta TCU ✓
Las Vegas Boise State ✓
Hawaii Southern Miss ✓ 
Independence Missouri ✓
Little Caesars Purdue ✓ 
Belk Louisville ✗ 
Military  Toledo ✓ 
Holiday Texas ✓ 
Champs Sports Notre Dame ✗ 
Alamo Baylor ✓
Armed Forces Tulsa ✗
Pinstripe Iowa State ✗
Music City Miss State ✓
Insight Oklahoma ✓ 
Texas Texas A&M ✓
Sun Georgia Tech ✗ 
Liberty Cincy ✓
Fight Hunger UCLA ✗  
Chick-fil-A Auburn ✓ 
Ticketcity Houston ✓
Outback Georgia ✗ 
Capital One South Carolina ✓ 
Gator Florida ✓ 
Rose Oregon ✓  
Fiesta Oklahoma State ✓   
Sugar Virginia Tech ✗ 
Orange Clemson ✗  
Cotton Kansas State ✗
Compass  SMU ✓   
Godaddy.com Arkansas State ✗ 
BCS Championship LSU ✗ 

Cheers.

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Defending my rankings

Nov 20

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Ok.  So I’m not sure I can defend my rankings, but I am going to try.  Even after losing to Iowa State, I still have Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  Let me try to explain what I think it going on.

The Big 12 won a lot of their non-conference games at the beginning of the season, so I’ve had them ranked as the best conference for most of the way.  What this means is that since most of the teams are ranked so high in the Big 12, that a loss to one of those really good teams doesn’t hurt that much

Ok State won it’s first three games easily over Louisiana-Lafayette, Arizona, and Tulsa.  Then they had to play 9 straight conference games in the toughest conference in the country.  Their only real weak game in conference play is Kansas.  They’ve beat Texas A&M, Texas, Kansas State, Missouri, Texas Tech, and Baylor before falling to Iowa State.  That’s impressive.  According to my rankings, all 6 of these teams are top 25.  And their one loss is to a team that I had ranked at 22 before they beat Ok State (I have Iowa State at 17 now).  They also beat Tulsa, who I have ranked 29th.

LSU’s conference wins are against Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Alabama.  (Georgia and South Carolina are noticeably absent from LSU’s schedule.)  The first 6 teams have a combined record of 29-38.  Then they have that big win over Alabama.

Their non-conference games were against Oregon, West Virginia, Northwestern State, and Western Kentucky.  The Oregon win is impressive, but the other three games are jokes.  West Virginia is currently third in the Big “We still really get an automatic BCS berth?” East, and LSU shouldn’t even be allowed to schedule games against Northwestern State and Western Kentucky.  As I see it, LSU has three wins over top 25 teams (Alabama, Oregon, and Auburn).

In review, I have Ok State at 6-1 against top 25 teams and LSU at 3-0.  My ranking system rewards teams for playing tough games and Oklahoma State has had one of the toughest schedules in the country this season week in and week out, while LSU the occasional tough opponent.  From top to bottom the Big 12 is much deeper than the SEC.

So that’s my attempt at a defense.  I guess I’ll have to wait until the bowl game results to see if I am right.

Cheers.

Posted in BCS, College, College Football, Football, NCAA College Football, Sports

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One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/13/2011

Nov 13

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Rankings as of 11/13/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

No changes at the top.  I’ve still got Oklahoma State number 1, as I have all season.  LSU comes in at number 2 and Oklahoma at number 3.  Texas falls 4 spots after failing to score a touchdown in their loss to Missouri.  Oregon jumps to 7 after it’s victory over previously undefeated Stanford, who falls to 13.

The two biggest movers upward were Nebraska and Michigan.  Nebraska defeated Penn State to climb 8 spots to 16 and Michigan beat a rapidly fading Illinois team to climb 7 spots to 18.

Texas A&M and Auburn both fell 6 spots to 20 and 21, respectively.  Texas A&M lost in 4 OT to Kansas State while Auburn fell to Georgia.  Missouri and Michigan State squeak their way into the top 25 at 24 and 25, respectively, as Texas Tech and Georgia Tech drop out.

By conference, I have 8 Big 12 teams in the top 25 and 6 SEC teams.  The Big 10 has 4 teams, the Pac 12 gets 3, and the ACC has 2.  Mountain West and Conference USA have one team each.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 10-0 2
LSU 2 0 10-0 1
Oklahoma 3 0 8-1 5
Kansas State 4 1 8-2 13
Alabama 5 -1 9-1 3
Arkansas 6 1 9-1 6
Oregon 7 2 9-1 4
Clemson 8 2 9-1 7
South Carolina 9 2 8-2 12
Texas 10 -4 6-3 23
Baylor 11 2 6-3 22
Virginia Tech 12 0 9-1 8
Stanford 13 -5 9-1 9
USC 14 4 8-2 NR
Georgia 15 2 8-2 14
Nebraska 16 8 8-2 16
Houston 17 2 10-0 11
Michigan 18 7 8-2 18
Penn State 19 -3 8-2 21
Texas A&M 20 -6 6-3 NR
Auburn 21 -6 6-4 24
Iowa State 22 -1 5-4 NR
Boise State 23 -3 8-1 10
Missouri 24 2 5-5 NR
Michigan State 25 3 8-2 15

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

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Wisconsin Badgers

Nov 8

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Let’s get something straight right now.  Wisconsin is not a top 25 football team.  4 out of the 6 BCS computer polls have them outside of the top 25 and the other two polls have them at 24 and 16.  The clowns (meant with the utmost respect) who vote in the human polls have the Badgers ranked at 14 in both polls.  Let’s take a look at why the computers are right:

Wisconsin is 7-2 overall and 3-2 in the perennially (wildly) over-rated Big 10 (the conference with the worst division names in all of sports).  Wisconsin won its first 6 games over UNLV, Oregon State, Northern Illinois, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Indiana.  While Nebraska is a very impressive win, the 6 other teams they have beaten are currently 2-6 (MWC), 2-7 (PAC12), 6-3 (MAC), 5-4 (FCS-Great West), 1-9 (Big 10), 4-5 (Big 10).  I’m not impressed by any of those wins.  The three other games Wisconsin has played (Nebraska (7-2) , Michigan State (7-2), and Ohio State(6-3)), they have 1 win.  The W-L record of the their 7 victories is 27-36.  And if you remove Nebraska (which, as mentioned before, is actually an impressive win) there W-L for opponents in victories is 20-34.

Jeff Sagarin has Wisconsin’s strength of schedule ranked at 87.  The only BCS top 25 teams with weaker schedules that that are Houston (112), who plays in Conference USA, and Cincinnati (95) who plays in the Big “We still seriously get an automatic BCS bid?” East, (which sent a 4 loss UConn team to the Fiesta Bowl last year).  (“Most of the attention before the game focused on Oklahoma’s poor performance in past BCS games as well as Connecticut’s difficulties in selling tickets“.)

So, please Harris poll voters, I implore you to stop voting for teams like Wisconsin who don’t deserve to be in the top 25.  (And while you’re at it, stop voting for Cincinnati, too.)

Cheers.

Posted in BCS, College, College Football, Football, NCAA College Football

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1 vs 2

Nov 6

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Alabama hosted LSU yesterday in what was billed as number 1 versus number 2.  This is a great way to market a football game, but it completely ignores reality.  6 out of 7 BCS computer polls, which the BCS itself has selected to rank college football teams, had Oklahoma State ranked number 1 heading into the LSU-Alabama game, and the lone dissenting system had Oklahoma State ranked number 2.  That means there were 0 computer rankings that had LSU-Alabama as a 1 vs 2 game.  I guess it’s just harder to market a 2 vs 3 game.

Cheers.

Posted in BCS, College, College Football, Football, NCAA College Football, Sports

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