Stats in the Wild

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Category: NFL

  • A rules question about Super Bowl squares

    I just came across the article “A Statistician Shares How To Pick Your Super Bowl Pool Like A Champ” at businessinsider.com.  The author of the article, Jill Krasny, asked edgehogs.com statistician, William Briggs, for some advice: “You want to pick the scores that are most likely to happen, and look at historical information about how…

  • A Tale of Two Bradys: It was the best of his games; it was the worst of his games

    Here is an article I wrote for Significance Magazine about Tom Brady and the Super Bowl called “A Tale of Two Bradys: It was the best of his games; it was the worst of his games.” Go Pats. Cheers.  

  • Super Bowl Squares

    I received an email this morning from a friend: “Is there any sort of a statistical breakdown for which are the best numbers to have in a Super Bowl squares pool (for entertainment purposes only)?” Now, if my friend were going to use this information to gamble, it would be highly unethical.  However, since he clearly stated…

  • NFL Conference Championship Games

    I didn’t post picks form last weekend, but I would have chosen New England, Baltimore, New Orleans, and Green Bay for a record of 2-2 this past week. -I’m going to quote myself and re-post this point (from here) because it seems very relevant: “Last year there were 2 teams that averaged over 23 points…

  • Tebow Mania and Passer Rating

    Now that the college season is over, football fans can concentrate on what really matters: Tebow-mania!  Timmy Terrific has led the Denver Broncos to the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.  The Broncos, who started the season 1-4, turned their season around by winning 7 of their last 11 games, many in dramatic fashion,…

  • Stats In the Wild Card Weekend – SITW’s picks

    Games start in a few hours minutes, and I wanted to post my picks before the games started.  So here they are. Some Notes: -My preseason pick for the Super Bowl base on numbers was New England over Atlanta.  That’s not crazy at all right now.  My Super Bowl pick based on my gut was…

  • NFL Rankings – After Week 17

    Rankings updated as of 1/1/2012; Records updated as of  1/1/2012; CHFF rankings as of 12/28/2011 AFC NFC Playoff team Division Champ Eliminated from Playoffs  Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank New England 1 – 13-3 3 Pittsburgh 2 ↑ 12-4 1 Green Bay 3 ↓ 15-1 6 Baltimore 4 – 12-4 5 Atlanta 5 – 10-6…

  • NFL Rankings – After week 17 (using only games from 2011 season)

    These are the NFL rankings using only data from the 2011 season.  My NFL rankings all season have used games from 2010 in my rankings.  I wanted to see how they would look if I dropped the 2010 data points. Rankings updated as of 1/1/2012; Records updated as of  1/1/2012; CHFF rankings as of 12/28/2011.…

  • NFL Rankings After week 16

    Rankings updated as of 12/22/2011; Records updated as of 6:22pm 12/24/2011; CHFF rankings as of 12/28/2011 AFC NFC Clinched Playoff Berth Divison Leader Division Champ Eliminated from Playoffs  Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank New England 1 – 12-3 3 Green Bay 2 – 14-1 1 Pittsburgh 3 – 11-4 6 Baltimore 4 – 11-4 5 Atlanta…

  • NFL Chernoff faces

    Here are some Chernoff faces through week 16 of the 2011 NFL season.  From the graph there seems to be two classes of elite NFL teams: 1) tall skinny faces with brownish hair and 2) short, wider faces with green hair. The first group represents teams with mainly passing offenses who score a lot of…