On March 26 Slate posted an article by Tim Requarth entitled “Please, Let’s Stop the Epidemic of Armchair Epidemiology” (which I should mention, convinced me to stop posting my COVID-19 analysis on this very blog).  One of the posts mentioned in the Slate piece was this piece by Abe Stanway on March 14 called “Real…

I recently wrote a blog post explaining just how full of shit Clay Travis is about Corona virus.  On March 18, he wrote an article (which I won’t link to here because I’m not giving him clicks) where he said: Loss of life will be in the thousands, at most, and not the tens of…

Personally, I think Clay Travis is kind of a dipshit.  But he’s not really causing any harm by being a dip shit sports writer.  No matter what his takes are on SEC football, they aren’t life or death, and he’s easy enough to ignore (which I usually do). But recently he wrote a piece downplaying…

I’m continuing to marvel at just how well an exponential model fits the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus.  The plot below shows the real number of confirmed cases (on a log10 scale) for Italy, US, Spain, and France to the left of the black vertical line.  It’s nearly perfectly linear!  To the right of…

Ok.  So Coronavirus.  On February 1, I tweeted something to the effect of “Why are we panicking about this, the seasonal flu kills X number of people per year”.  Whoops!  Let’s look at the data and see just how  wrong I was and how much of a dip shit I am. I went and got…

So Lisa Goldberg gave a talk at Loyola Chicago on Monday afternoon about the hot hand in basketball where she presented a paper where she shows that there is no statistical evidence that the hot hand exists.  While we didn’t film her talk, this numerphile video is basically the same as what she presented on…

Here is the distribution of the last digits of the final scores of NFL games all-time: And here is the distribution for recent games, which I believe I defined as since 2000. Go bears. Cheers.

6:30pm Eastern Time

Prediction: 49ers , 26-25 Spread: 49ers +1 OU: Under 52.5

This game is bonkers…………