Stats in the Wild

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  • Republican Presidential Candidates and Google Auto-Complete – 12/29/2011

    Auto-complete terms for republican candidates for 12/28/2011.  I searched for these after signing out of google and then I “disabled customizations based on search activity” so my search history would not interfere with the auto-completes.

    Here is a plot based on the google auto-complete search data.

    And here is the complete data for Romney, Perry, Cain, Paul and Gingrich.

    “Mitt Romney” “Rick Perry” “Herman Cain” “Ron Paul” “Newt Gingrich”
    wiki gay wiki 2012 scandal
    bio drunk 999 wiki affair
     net worth wiki pokemon polls bio
     political views new hampshire sexual harassment on gay marriage gay marriage
     for president issues quotes quotes issues
    economic plan  debate  net worth  issues  wives 
     racist bad lip reading  abortion  abortion  polls website 
    evolution hunting lodge  scandal  news  website 
     abortion speech  Libya  ron paul  quotes 
     taxes video  smoking ad  debate  books 

    Bachmann, Santorum, and Hunstman.

    “Michele Bachmann” “Rick Santorum”  “John Huntsman” 
     quotes gay  daughters 
     hot wiki  net worth 
     newsweek scandal  sr 
     corndog for president  jr 
     bio quotes  political views 
     jimmy fallon fetus  issues 
     husband on the issues  chinese 
     crazy biography  twitter 
     hpv evolution  abortion 
    twitter twitter  polls 

    Cheers!

  • NFL Chernoff faces

    Here are some Chernoff faces through week 16 of the 2011 NFL season.  From the graph there seems to be two classes of elite NFL teams: 1) tall skinny faces with brownish hair and 2) short, wider faces with green hair.

    The first group represents teams with mainly passing offenses who score a lot of points, but also get a lot of points scored against them.  These teams are Detroit, New England, New Orleans, and Green Bay.

    The other group relies more heavily on running offenses and a stingy defense to earn their wins.  These teams are Houston, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and San Francisco.

    If you look at the 2010 Chernoff faces from last year at the end of the season, you’ll notice that Green Bay has moved from being a team that won with great defense to a team that is now winning with a highly productive offense.  You should also notice that the two super bowl teams from last year, Pittsburgh and Green Bay, are located in the area of the graph that I defined as group 2.

    Finally, one of the things I find most amazing about both of these graphs from 2010 and 2011 is that they demonstrate very clearly just how many penalties the Raiders are committing.  You’d think they would try to improve upon this from one year to the next, but I guess it’s just part of their “style” where, here, “style” means being one of the worst franchises of the decade.

    Cheers.

     

  • NCAA Basketball Rankings – 12/25/2011

    Rankings as of 2:31pm on 12/25/2011.  Sagarin ratings as of 12/26/2011.  AP rankings as of 12/26/2011.

    Previous rankings are here.

    Kentucky and Georgetown are added to the top 25, while Northern Iowa and Purdue drop out.  Also, I still have no Pac 12 teams in my top 25.

    ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

    Team Rank Change Record AP Sagarin
    Indiana 1 – 12-0 13 5
    Syracuse 2 ↑1 13-0 1 1
    Ohio St. 3 ↑4 12-1 2 3
    Baylor 4 ↑5 12-0 6 6
    Minnesota 5 ↓3 12-1 – 51
    Louisville 6 ↑5 12-0 4 11
    Illinois 7 ↓2 11-2 27 54
    Northwestern 8 ↓4 10-2 – 45 
    Michigan St. 9 ↑4 11-2 16 13
    Wisconsin 10 ↓2 11-2 11 4
    Marquette 11 ↓5 11-1 14 8
    Duke 12 – 10-1 7 9
    Missouri 13 ↓3 12-0 8 10
    Seton Hall 14 – 11-1 11 39
    Kansas St. 15 ↑4 10-1 26 21
    Michigan 16 ↓1 10-2 18 49
    UConn 17 ↑6 10-1 8 23
    San Diego St. 18 ↑7 11-2 25 42
    UNLV 19 ↑5 13-2 19 12
    Oklahoma 20 ↓4 9-1 – 47
    Miss St. 21 – 12-1 15 53
    Pittsburgh 22 ↓5 11-2 22  61
    Kentucky 23 NR 11-1 3 2
    Kansas 24 ↓6 8-3 17 15
    Georgetown 25 NR 10-1 12 16

    BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

    Cheers.

  • NFL Rankings Christmas Edition – 12/22/2011

    Rankings updated as of 12/22/2011; Records updated as of 6:22pm 12/24/2011

    AFC NFC

    Clinched Playoff Berth

    Divison Leader Division Champ

    Eliminated from Playoffs

     Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank
    New England 1 ↑ 12-3 3
    Green Bay 2 ↓ 13-1 1
    Pittsburgh 3 – 11-4 7
    Baltimore 4 – 11-4 6
    Atlanta 5 – 9-5 8
    New Orleans 6 ↑ 11-3 2
    NY Jets 7 ↓ 8-7 11
    Chicago 8 – 7-7 23
    San Francisco 9 ↑↑ 11-3 4
    NY Giants 10 ↓↓ 8-7 14
    Detroit 11 ↓ 9-5 9
    Philadelphia 12 – 6-8 17
    San Diego 13 ↑↑ 7-7 13
    Tampa Bay 14 ↓ 4-11 29
    Kansas City 15 ↑↑ 6-9 25
    Houston 16 ↓↓ 10-5 5
    Oakland 17 ↓ 8-7 16
    Seattle 18 ↑↑↑ 7-7 18
    Miami 19 ↓ 5-10 20
    Dallas 20 ↑↑ 8-6 10
    Cincinnati 21 ↓ 9-6 12
    Tennessee 22 ↓↓↓ 8-7 22
    Denver 23 – 8-6 15
    Buffalo 24 – 6-9 26
    Arizona 25 ↑↑↑↑ 7-8 19
    Cleveland 26 ↓ 4-11 27
    Jacksonville 27 ↓ 4-11 28
    Indianapolis 28 – 2-13 32
    Washington 29 ↑ 5-10 24
    Minnesota 30 ↓↓↓ 3-12 30
    St. Louis 31 – 2-13 31
    Carolina 32 – 6-9 21

    BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

    Cheers.

  • NCAAB Rankings – 12/19/2011

    Rankings as of 8:38am on 12/19/2011 .

    Saint Louis, Ole Miss and Xavier fall out of my top 25, while they are replaced by Kansas St., Miss St. and UNLV.

    ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

    Team Rank Change Record AP
    Indiana 1 – 10-0 17
    Minnesota 2 ↑2 11-1
    Syracuse 3 – 11-0 1
    Northwestern 4 ↑2 10-1 39 
    Illinois 5 ↓3 10-1 25
    Marquette 6 ↓1 10-0 10
    Ohio St. 7 – 10-1 2
    Wisconsin 8 ↑7 10-2 13
    Baylor 9 ↑2 9-0 6
    Missouri 10 ↓2 11-0 9
    Louisville 11 ↓1 10-0 4
    Duke 12 ↓3 9-1 7
    Michigan St. 13 ↑1 9-2 19
    Seton Hall 14 ↑3 9-1
    Michigan 15 ↑9 9-2 20
    Oklahoma 16 ↑6 8-1
    Pittsburgh 17 ↓1 10-1 15
    Kansas 18 – 7-2 12
    Kansas St. 19 NR 7-1 30
    Northern Iowa 20 ↓8 9-1 34 
    Miss St. 21 NR 11-1 18
    Purdue 22 ↓9 9-3
    UConn 23 ↓2 9-1 8
    UNLV 24 NR 11-2 21
    San Diego St. 25 ↓5 9-2 27

    ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

    BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

     

     

    Cheers.

  • SITW Super Bowl Odds

    As of 2:22pm on 12/18/2011.

    Team SITW Odds WSEX.com Odds
     Green Bay 4-1 1.5-1
     New England  5-1 4.5-1
     Pittsburgh  7-1  11-1
     Baltimore  8-1  8-1
     New Orleans  9-1  6.5-1
     Atlanta  15-1  30-1
     Houston  22-1 16-1
     NY Jets  23-1 35-1
     San Francisco  24-1 18-1
     NY Giants  45-1 30-1
     Detroit  45-1 66-1
     Dallas  70-1 45-1
     Chicago  70-1 200-1
     Oakland  160-1 100-1
    Denver  160-1 30-1
    Cincinnati 500-1  250-1

    Cheers.

  • NFL Playoff Projections After Week 14

    Seed AFC NFC
    1 New England Green Bay
    2 Pittsburgh New Orleans
    3 Houston San Francisco
    4 Denver NY Giants
    5 Baltimore Atlanta
     6 NY Jets Detroit

    Cheers.

  • StatsInTheWild picks all 35 bowl games

    I’ve picked all 35 bowl games based on my rankings.  I’ll post my running record as the games are played.  (Also, check out my final regular season rankings here.)

    And which games am I looking forward to this year?  My number one pick for bowl entertainment is the Fight Hunger bowl.  This monstrosity of a “bowl game” will feature a UCLA team with a losing record who had to petition the NCAA to even be allowed to play in a bowl game and an Illinois team on a 6 game losing streak.  These are the kind of match-ups that I live for.

    Record: 21-14
    ✓=Correct Pick; ✗=Incorrect Pick

    Bowl Predicted Winner Outcome
    New Mexico Wyoming ✗
    Famous Idaho Potato Ohio ✓
    New Orleans San Diego State ✗
    St.Petersburg Marshall ✓
    Poinsetta TCU ✓
    Las Vegas Boise State ✓
    Hawaii Southern Miss ✓ 
    Independence Missouri ✓
    Little Caesars Purdue ✓ 
    Belk Louisville ✗ 
    Military  Toledo ✓ 
    Holiday Texas ✓ 
    Champs Sports Notre Dame ✗ 
    Alamo Baylor ✓
    Armed Forces Tulsa ✗
    Pinstripe Iowa State ✗
    Music City Miss State ✓
    Insight Oklahoma ✓ 
    Texas Texas A&M ✓
    Sun Georgia Tech ✗ 
    Liberty Cincy ✓
    Fight Hunger UCLA ✗  
    Chick-fil-A Auburn ✓ 
    Ticketcity Houston ✓
    Outback Georgia ✗ 
    Capital One South Carolina ✓ 
    Gator Florida ✓ 
    Rose Oregon ✓  
    Fiesta Oklahoma State ✓   
    Sugar Virginia Tech ✗ 
    Orange Clemson ✗  
    Cotton Kansas State ✗
    Compass  SMU ✓   
    Godaddy.com Arkansas State ✗ 
    BCS Championship LSU ✗ 

    Cheers.

  • Preventing gerrymandering with convexity

    I was just reading this from slate.com about gerrymandering, and it struck me that you could, in some sense, prevent egregious gerrymandering by measuring the convexity of the shape of the district and not allowing districts that are extremely non-convex.  Apparently,  others have also thought of this there are several papers on the topic including “Gerrymandering and Convexity” and “Can Compactness constrain the Gerrymander?“.

    Cheers.

  • NFL Rankings After Week 14

    No changes at the top.

     Team Rank – After Week 14
    Green Bay 1
    New England 2
    Pittsburgh 3
    Baltimore 4
     Atlanta 5
     NY Jets 6
    New Orleans 7
    Chicago 8
    NY Giants 9
    Detroit 10
    San Francisco  11
    Philadelphia 12
    TampaBay 13
    Houston 14
    San Diego 15
    Oakland 16
    Kansas City 17
    Miami 18
    Tennessee 19
    Cincinnati 20
    Seattle 21
    Dallas 22
    Denver 23
    Buffalo 24
    Cleveland 25
    Jacksonville 26
    Minnesota 27
    Indianapolis 28
    Arizona 29
    Washington  30
    St Louis  31
    Carolina  32

    Cheers.