• 2015 Record
    My record 2016:
    Total (weeks 1-7) –SU: 66-40 ATS: 59-45-4 O/U: 48-55-3
    Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1
    Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1
    Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7
    Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8
    Week 5 – SU: 10-4 ATS: 6-7-1 O/U 7-7
    Week 6 – SU: 10-5 ATS: 7-7-1 O/U 7-8
    Week 7 – SU: 11-4 ATS: 8-7 O/U 5-9-1

    Seattle at Arizona

    Prediction: Seahawks 22-20 (57.7%)

    Pick: Seattle +1

    Total: Under 43.5 

    San Diego at Atlanta 

    Prediction: Falcons 25-23 (53.7%)

    Pick: Chargers +5.5

    Total: Under 53

    Cleveland at Cincinnati 

    Prediction: Bengals 25-18 (68.1%) 

    Pick: Browns +11

    Total: Under 46.5 

    Houston at Denver 

    Prediction: Broncos 24-19 (64.9%)

    Pick: Texans +8.5

    Total: Over 40.5 

    Washington at Detroit

    Prediction: Lions 25-20 (61.6%)

    Pick: Lions +1

    Total: Under 50

    Chicago at Green Bay 

    Prediction: Packers 26-20 (67.8%)

    Pick: Bears +9.5 

    Total: Under 47

    Oakland at Jacksonville

    Prediction: Raiders 21-20 (50.1%)

    Pick: Raiders +2

    Total: Under 47.5

    New Orleans at Kansas City

    Prediction: Chiefs 26-23 (57.8%) 

    Pick: Saints +6.5

    Total: Under 51.5 

    Buffalo at Miami

    Prediction: Dolphins 22-21 (52.8%)

    Pick: Dolphins +2.5

    Total: Under 45.5 

    Baltimore at New York Jets

    Prediction: Jets 21-20 (54.0%) 

    Pick: Ravens +2

    Total: Over 40 PUSH

    Minnesota at Philadelphia

    Prediction: Eagles 24-23 (53.8%)

    Pick: Eagles +3

    Total: Over 39

    New England at Pittsburgh

    Prediction: Patriots 25-24 (50.7%)

    Pick: Steelers +7.5

    Total: Over 48.5

    Tampa Bay at San Francisco 

    Prediction: 49ers 22-19 (60.4%) 

    Pick: 49ers -1

    Total: Under 45.5

    New York Giants at Los Angeles (nee St. Louis)

    Prediction: Rams 22-21 (54.0%)

    Pick: Rams +3

    Total: Under 45.5 

    Indianapolis at Tennessee

    Prediction: Colts 23-21 (54.1%)

    Pick: Colts +4

    Total: Under 48.5

     

  •  
     Rank Team Prosp Retro PredMargin Change W L
    1 SEA 74 50 4.21  –  4  1
    2 CAR 67 51 2.73  –  1  5
    3 NE 65 55 2.97  +1  5  1
    4 DEN 64 47 2.70  -1  4  2
    5 GB 59 55 2.79  –  3  2
    6 ARI 59 52 2.14  +3  3  3
    7 DAL 56 50 0.25  +6  5  1
    8 HOU 56 51 0.32  +2  4  2
    9 BAL 56 49 0.28  +3  3  3
    10 CIN 55 48 1.77  -2  2  4
    11 BUF 55 51 -0.17  +7  4  2
    12 KC 55 45 1.11  +3  3  2
    13 PIT 55 50 1.89  -7  4  2
    14 PHI 53 49 0.27  -7  3  2
    15 NO 53 51 0.24  +2  2  3
    16 MIN 52 55 0.16  -2  5  0
    17 ATL 52 46 -0.16  -6  4  2
    18 DET 50 51 -0.12  -2  3  3
    19 WAS 49 53 -1.36  +4  4  2
    20 NYJ 48 44 -0.45  -1  1  5
    21 CHI 48 51 -1.41  -1  1  5
    22 SD 46 51 -0.75  –  2  4
    23 SF 45 48 -1.88  -2  1  5
    24 IND 41 49 -0.38  –  2  4
    25 TB 40 49 -1.90  +2  2  3
    26 NYG 40 51 -0.65  –  3  3
    27 TEN 38 49 -2.48  +1  3  3
    28 OAK 37 51 -1.88  -3  4  2
    29 CLE 36 49 -3.31  –  0  6
    30 LA 34 49 -1.88  –  3  3
    31 MIA 34 51 -1.61 +1  2  4
    32 JAC 28 50 -3.43  -1  2 3

     

  • Projected Standings

    AFC

    AFC East 

    New England: 10-6 (4-1) 10.074

    Buffalo: 8-8 (3-2) 8.391

    NY Jets: 7-9 (1-4) 6.941

    Miami: 5-11 (1-4) 5.033

    AFC North

    Pittsburgh: 10-6 (4-1) 10.316

    Cincinnati: 8-8 (2-3) 8.394

    Baltimore: 7-9 (3-2) 7.145

    Cleveland: 3-13 (0-5) 2.936

    AFC South

    Houston: 8-8 (3-2) 7.881

    Indianapolis: 7-9 (2-3) 7.295

    Tennessee: 6-10 (2-3) 5.996

    Jacksonville: 4-12 (1-3) 4.211

    AFC West

    Denver: 10-6 (4-1) 10.347

    Kansas City: 8-8 (2-2) 8.140

    Oakland: 7-9 (4-1) 7.012

    San Diego: 7-9 (2-4) 6.923

    NFC

    NFC East

    Dallas: 9-7 (4-1) 9.426

    Philadelphia: 8-8 (3-1) 8.183

    Washington: 6-10 (3-2) 6.421

    NY Giants: 6-10 (2-3) 6.267

    NFC North

    Green Bay: 11-5 (3-1) 10.787

    Minnesota: 10-6 (5-0) 9.893

    Detroit: 7-9 (2-3) 6.982

    Chicago: 6-10 (1-4) 5.910

    NFC South

    Atlanta: 9-7 (4-1) 9.059

    Carolina: 9-7 (1-4) 8.512

    New Orleans: 7-9 (1-3) 6.596

    Tampa Bay: 5-11 (2-3) 4.813

    NFC West

    Seattle: 11-5 (3-1) 11.037

    Arizona: 8-8 (2-3) 8.355

    Los Angeles (nee St. Louis): 7-9 (3-2) 6.758

    San Francisco: 4-12 (1-4) 3.966

    Team – Median Predicted Record (Actual Record) Expected Wins
    Italics: Projected playoff team 

    Projected Playoffs

    AFC

    1. Denver
    2. Pittsburgh
    3. New England
    4. Houston
    5. Cincinnati
    6. Buffalo

    NFC

    1. Seattle
    2. Green Bay
    3. Dallas
    4. Atlanta
    5. Minnesota
    6. Carolina3
  • 2015 Record
    My record 2016:
    Total (weeks 1-6) –SU: 55-36 ATS: 51-38-4 O/U: 43-46-2
    Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1
    Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1
    Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7
    Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8
    Week 5 – SU: 10-4 ATS: 6-7-1 O/U 7-7
    Week 6 – SU: 10-5 ATS: 7-7-1 O/U 7-8

    Denver at San Diego

    Prediction: Broncos 24-22 (67.8%)

    Pick: Chargers +3

    Total: Over 45.5 

    San Francisco at Buffalo

    Prediction: Bills 21-19 (68.4%)

    Pick: 49ers +8

    Total: Under 44.5 

    Jacksonville at Chicago

    Prediction: Bears 24-20 (81.4%)

    Pick: Bears -2

    Total: Under 44.5 

    Los Angeles at Detroit

    Prediction: Lions 23-20 (77.2%)

    Pick: Rams +3.5

    Total: Under 43.5

    Indianapolis at Houston

    Prediction: Texans 23-21 (62.8%)

    Pick: Colts +3 PUSH

    Total: Under 46

    Pittsburgh at Miami

    Prediction: Steelers 24-22 (66.1%)

    Pick: Dolphins +7.5 

    Total: Under 47.5

    Cincinnati at New England

    Prediction: Patriots 25-22 (74.6%)

    Pick: Bengals +8.5

    Total: Under 47

    Carolina at New Orleans

    Prediction: Saints 25-24 (51.8%)

    Pick: Saints +3.5 

    Total: Under 53

    Dallas at Green Bay

    Prediction: Packets 25-21

    Pick: Packers -4

    Total: Under 47

    Baltimore at NY Giants

    Prediction: Giants 22-21 (56.4%)

    Pick: Ravens +3

    Total: Under 44.5 

    Kansas City at Oakland

    Prediction: Chiefs 22-21 (62.0%)

    Pick: Chiefs +1

    Total: Under 47

    Atlanta at Seattle

    Prediction: Seahawks 26-20 (88.7%)

    Pick: Seahawks -6

    Total: Under 46

    Cleveland at Tennessee

    Prediction: Titans 22-21 (62.4%)

    Pick: Browns +7

    Total: Under 45.5 

    Philadelphia at Washington

    Prediction: Eagles 24-23 (60.6%)

    Pick: Washington Football Team +2

    Total: Over 45

    NY Jets at Arizona

    Prediction: Cardinals 23-20 (77.7%)

    Pick: Jets +7.5

    Total: Under 47

     

  •  
     Rank Team Prosp Retro PredMargin Change W L
    1 SEA 72 49 4.401  –  3  1
    2 CAR 68 53 2.037  +1  1  4
    3 DEN 66 49 3.222  -1  4  1
    4 NE 63 53 3.439  +1  4  1
    5 GB 61 52 3.082  +2  3  1
    6 PIT 60 54 1.869  –  4  1
    7 PHI 60 51 1.109  -3  3  1
    8 CIN 55 51 1.849  – 2  3
    9 ARI 54 50 1.637  +4  2  3
    10 HOU 54 49 -0.432  –  3  2
    11 ATL 54 47 0.126  +4  4  1
    12 BAL 54 51 0.116  -3  3 2
    13 DAL 54 52 0.257  -2  4  1
    14 MIN 53 54 0.149  +5  5  0
    15 KC 53 48 1.098  -3  2  2
    16 DET 52 49 0.074  +2  2  3
    17 NO 52 49 0.650  -3  1  3
    18 BUF 52 49 -0.511  -1  3  2
    19 NYJ 50 46 -0.450  -3  1  4
    20 CHI 48 50 -1.178  +1 1  4
    21 SF 46 50 -1.210  +1  1  4
    22 SD 46 49 -0.687  -2  1  4
    23 WAS 45 52 -1.867  –  3  2
    24 IND 41 50 -0.378  +1  2 3
    25 OAK 41 49 -2.062  +2  4  1
    26 NYG 40 50 -0.767  -2  2  3
    27 TB 40 49 -2.347  +1  2  3
    28 TEN 37 47 -2.880  +3  2 3
    29 CLE 36 51 -2.765  -3  0  5
    30 LA 34 49 -1.887  –  3  2
    31 JAC 30 50 -3.863  +1  1  3
    32 MIA 29 49 -1.833 -3  1  4

     

  • Since the end of the first debate, it’s been all Clinton up and Trump down.  Cheers.

    predictitpresident_timepredictitpresident_20161009_dc_corrpredictitpresident_20161009_dc

  • Projected Standings

    AFC

    AFC East 

    New England: 10-6 (3-1) 10.150

    Buffalo: 8-8 (1-2) 8.051

    NY Jets: 7-9 (1-2) 6.934

    Miami: 6-10 (1-2) 5.979

    AFC North

    Pittsburgh: 10-6 (2-1) 9.790

    Cincinnati: 9-7 (1-2) 8.908

    Baltimore: 8-8 (3-0) 7.697

    Cleveland: 4-12 (0-3) 3.652

    AFC South

    Houston: 8-8 (2-1) 7.968

    Indianapolis: 7-9 (1-2) 7.159

    Tennessee: 5-11 (1-2) 4.756

    Jacksonville: 4-12 (0-3) 4.213

    AFC West

    Denver: 12-4 (3-0) 12.179

    Kansas City: 8-8 (2-1) 8.297

    San Diego: 7-9 (1-2) 7.169

    Oakland: 6-10 (2-1) 6.132

    NFC

    NFC East

    Dallas: 9-7 (2-1) 9.144

    Philadelphia: 9-7 (3-0) 9.027

    NY Giants: 6-10 (2-1) 6.152

    Washington: 5-11 (1-2) 5.616

    NFC North

    Green Bay: 11-5 (2-1) 10.519

    Minnesota: 9-7 (3-0) 9.085

    Detroit: 7-9 (1-2) 6.825

    Chicago: 6-10 (0-3) 6.374

    NFC South

    Carolina: 9-7 (1-2) 9.219

    Atlanta: 8-8 (2-1) 8.181

    New Orleans: 7-9 (0-3) 6.947

    Tampa Bay: 3-13 (1-2) 3.353

    NFC West

    Seattle: 11-5 (2-1) 11.022

    Arizona: 8-8 (1-2) 8.347

    Los Angeles (nee St. Louis): 7-9 (2-1) 6.977

    San Francisco: 4-12 (1-2) 4.178

    Team – Median Predicted Record (Actual Record) Expected Wins
    Italics: Projected playoff team 

    Projected Playoffs

    AFC

    1. Denver
    2. New England
    3. Pittsburgh
    4. Houston
    5. Cincinnati
    6. Kansas City

    NFC

    1. Seattle
    2. Green Bay
    3. Carolina
    4. Dallas
    5. Minnesota
    6. Philadelphia
  •  
    Team Prosp PredMargin Change W L
    1 SEA 72 4.26  –  3  1
    2 DEN 68 3.29  +1  4  0
    3 CAR 68 2.23  -1  1  3
    4 PHI 63 1.12  +1  3  0
    5 NE 62 3.02  -1  3  1
    6 PIT 60 1.83  +4  3  1
    7 GB 57 2.86  -1  2  1
    8 CIN 56 1.97  +3  2  2
    9 BAL 55 0.22  +7  3  1
    10 HOU 55 -0.34  -3  3  1
    11 DAL 54 0.33  +4  3  1
    12 KC 54 1.18  -3  2  2
    13 ARI 53 1.58  +5  2  3
    14 NO 52 0.52  -1  1  3
    15 ATL 52 -0.14  +6  3  1
    16 NYJ 52 -0.14  -4  1  3
    17 BUF 52 -0.27  +3  2  2
    18 DET 50 0.24  -10  1  3
    19 MIN 49 -0.12  – 4  0
    20 SD 49 -0.21  -6  1  3
    21 CHI 47 -1.34  +2  1  3
    22 SF 47 -1.25  -5  1  4
    23 WAS 46 -1.73  -1 2  2
    24 NYG 42 -0.77  +3  2  2
    25 IND 41 -0.43  -1  1  3
    26 CLE 41 -2.49  -1  0  4
    27 OAK 39 -2.22  -1  3  1
    28 TB 37 -2.57  –  1 3
    29 MIA 33 -1.48  –  1 3
    30 LA 32 -2.18  –  3  1
    31 TEN 32 -3.23  –  1  3
    32 JAC 30 -3.76  –  1  3

     

  •  
    Team WinDivison MakePlayoffs MakeSuperBowl WinSuperBowl
    ARI 11.9 42.6 4.0 1.7
    ATL 27.9 44.0 6.6 2.5
    BAL 12.3 30.0 4.5 2.1
    BUF 15.8 40.1 4.6 2.1
    CAR 60.7 73.1 9.8 5.1
    CHI 1.8 7.4 0.5 0.0
    CIN 29.8 60.8 8.7 3.9
    CLE 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
    DAL 48.2 65.9 8.2 4.0
    DEN 93.4 99.2 31.7 20.0
    DET 3.5 12.7 2.3 1.0
    GB 70.0 90.2 18.3 7.5
    HOU 60.1 62.1 7.8 3.1
    IND 34.4 38.2 3.3 0.9
    JAC 2.3 2.6 0.4 0.0
    KC 5.4 44.1 3.8 1.6
    MIA 2.2 7.6 0.7 0.3
    MIN 24.7 59.6 8.2 2.8
    NE 75.0 86.6 15.2 7.7
    NO 11.4 19.2 2.7 0.8
    NYG 3.7 7.1 0.8 0.1
    NYJ 7.0 17.9 2.8 1.3
    OAK 0.2 7.1 0.8 0.1
    PHI 45.7 62.9 8.5 4.7
    PIT 57.7 80.5 13.2 7.3
    SD 1.0 18.8 2.2 0.9
    SEA 86.1 95.0 27.7 17.7
    SF 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
    STL 1.9 14.7 1.7 0.3
    TB 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
    TEN 3.2 3.7 0.2 0.2
    WAS 2.4 5.0 0.6 0.2

     

     

  • 2015 Record
    My record 2016:
    Total (weeks 1-5) –SU: 45-31 ATS: 44-31-3 O/U: 36-38-2
    Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1
    Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1
    Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7
    Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8
    Week 5 – SU: 10-4 ATS: 6-7-1 O/U 7-7

    Arizona at San Francisco

    Prediction: Cardinals 22-20 (53.2%) 

    Pick: 49ers +3

    Total: Under 42.5

    Washington at Baltimore

    Prediction: Ravens 24-20 (60.3%)

    Pick: Washington Football Team +4

    Total: Under 45.5

    Tampa Bay at Carolina

    Prediction: Panthers 25-18 (67.8%) 

    Pick: Panthers -4.5 

    Total: Under 45

    New England at Cleveland

    Prediction: Patriots 26-22 (60.7%)

    Pick: Browns +11

    Total: Over 47

    Cincinnati at Dallas

    Prediction: Cowboys 22-21 (50.1%)

    Pick: Cowboys +2

    Total:Under 45.5 

    Atlanta at Denver 

    Prediction: Broncos 27-22 (64.4%)

    Pick: Broncos -4.5 

    Total: Over 46.5 

    Philadelphia at Detroit

    Prediction: Lions 24-23 (52.3%)

    Pick: Lions +3.5 

    Total: Over 46

    NY Giants at Green Bay

    Prediction: Packers 26-20 (64.8%) 

    Pick: Giants +7 PUSH

    Total: Under 48

    Chicago at Indianapolis

    Prediction: Colts 24-22 (57.4%) 

    Pick: Bears +4.5 

    Total: Under 48

    Tennessee at Miami 

    Prediction: Dolphins 23-20 (59.8%) 

    Pick: Titans +3.5 

    Total: Under 43

    Houston at Minnesota 

    Prediction: Vikings 21-19 (55.4%)

    Pick: Texans +7

    Total: Under 40.5  

    San Diego at Oakland 

    Prediction: Chargers 23-22 (50.9%)

    Pick: Chargers +3.5 

    Total: Under 51. 5

    NY Jets at Pittsburgh 

    Prediction: Steelers 24-21 (60.3%) 

    Pick: Jets +7.5 

    Total: Under 48  

    Buffalo at Los Angeles (nee St. Louis) 

    Prediction: Bills 21-20 (50.5%) 

    Pick: Bills +1.5 

    Total: Over 39