MLB Playoff Probabilities – 9/25/2012

The big move from last week is Detroit who jumps from a 23.3% to a 55.3% chance to make the playoffs.  Moving in the opposite direction you have the White Sox who lost five game in a row at the end of last week including being swept by the Angels.  This have dropped them from 88.2%, where they were on September 18, to 45.5% today.  They also fell 4 spots in the rankings to number 11.

Philadelphia, after climbing to 6.1% last week, appears to be done with their hot streak as they drop back to 1.7% and are all but done.

Baltimore has more or less locked up a spot in the playoffs getting to 99.6%, which is made even more impressive since their run differential is currently -7 (Update: -11).  How can you not root for these guys?

StatsInTheWild MLB rankings as of September 25, 2012 at 8:15am.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team Rank Change Record Projected Record Prob make playoffs SOS Run Diff
NYY 1 ↑1 89-64 94-68 100% 5 +107
Texas 2 ↓1 91-62 95-67 100% 11 +119
Tampa Bay 3 ↑3 83-70 87-75 11.8% 7 +102
Washington 4 ↓1 93-60 98-64 100% 24 +142
LA Angels 5 84-69 87-75 5.7% 6 +81
Oakland 6 ↓2 86-67 89-73 73.2% 8 +72
Baltimore 7 ↑1 88-66 92-70 99.6% 4 -7
Atlanta 8 ↑2 88-65 92-70 100% 19 +89
Detroit 9 81-72 86-76 55.3% 13 +49
Cincinnati 10 ↑1 92-61 96-66 100% 30 +85
Chi WSox 11 ↓4 82-72 86-76 45.5% 14 +65
SF 12 89-64 93-69 100% 26 +68
St. Louis 13 83-71 85-77 81.9% 29 +100
Seattle 14 ↑2 72-81 75-87 0% 2 -36
Arizona 15 ↑3 77-76 80-82 0.1% 25 +46
Boston 16 ↓1 69-85 72-90 0% 3 -34
Toronto 17 ↓3 67-86 71-91 0% 1 -62
LA Dodgers 18 ↓1 79-74 83-79 5.7% 23 +10
Milwaukee 19 79-74 82-80 10.6% 28 +41
Philadelphia 20 77-76 81-81 1.7% 21 +7
Kansas City 21
70-83 74-88 0% 12 -50
NY Mets 22 ↑2 70-83 74-88 0% 15 -58
Pittsburgh 23 ↓1 75-78 78-84 0% 27 -20
San Diego 24 ↓1 73-80 76-86 0% 22 -48
Minnesota 25 ↑1 64-90 68-94 0% 10 -122
Miami 26 ↓1 66-87 69-93 0% 16 -101
Cleveland 27 64-91 66-96 0% 9 -176
Colorado 28 59-94 63-99 0% 17 -129
Chi Cubs 29 59-94 62-100 0% 20 -122
Houston 30 50-104 52-110 0% 18 -218

Past Rankings:

9/18/2012

8/20/2012

8/14/2012

8/6/2012

7/23/2012

7/9/2012

7/2/2012

6/25/2012

6/19/2012

6/9/2012

5/28/2012

5/23/2012

5/14/2012

5/7/2012

4/30/2012

4/23/2012

4/16/2012

4/13/2012

Cheers.

Advertisements

Posted on September 26, 2012, in Baseball, Sports and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: