Category: Baseball
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Update: They swept the Marlins and are now on a 3 game winning streak and sit at 12-50. They are 25 games out of first place with 100 games to play. Update: They won last night and are now 10-50 as of noon on June 3. The Rockies are 9-50. That’s 50 losses in 59…
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Over the past year, I’ve been involved in a project with Ben Baumer (buy his book!) and Shane Jensen in developing an open source, completely transparent version of the (rather opaque) baseball statistic Wins Above Replacement that we’re calling openWAR. We presented our preliminary results this past summer in a talk at JSM and this…
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The Red Sox and Cardinals meeting in the Fall Classic represents the top run differentials in each league squaring off. Baseball statheads should feel the warm glow of empiricism peeking through, especially after last year when we had to hear from some about the overrating of run differential. Why is it at all controversial to…
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ESPN’s Jim Caple just posted an article about the win statistic. This seems to be a response to Brian Kenny’s all-out assault on the win. Kenny is attacking the old stat as a grossly misleading, if not useless, statistic in measuring how good a pitcher is. I don’t really care if Kenny’s “kill the win” campaign gains steam…
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StatsInTheWild MLB rankings as of August 30, 2013 at 2pm. SOS=strength of schedule Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Run Diff Detroit 1 – 78-56 2 3 14 +159 Boston 2 – 80-56 6 2 10 +133 St. Louis 3 – 78-56 4 5 25 +146 Atlanta 4 ↑1 81-52 3 1 19 +131…
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Updated August 30, 2013 at 12:34am Total Prevention is a measure of runs prevented weighted by the number of batters they have faced (Higher is better). Yearly Expected ER is approximately the expected number of runs that a team would allow is that pitcher pitched every inning of every game for a team (Lower is…
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Wins Above Replacement (WAR) Wins Above Replacement (WAR) is meant to be a comprehensive way to evaluate the total value of a baseball player. The concept is to compute the added or extra wins that a player provides to a team over that of a “replacement” player. If a baseball team will win X games…
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Updated June 27, 2013 at 12:34am Total Prevention is a measure of runs prevented weighted by the number of batters they have faced (Higher is better). Yearly Expected ER is approximately the expected number of runs that a team would allow is that pitcher pitched every inning of every game for a team (Lower is…
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At the close of baseball on Thursday, June 27, the Pittsburgh Pirates are in a crazy situation. No, they didn’t accidentally agree to go to their girlfriend’s sweet sixteen at the SAME TIME as going to their friend’s dad chance to become the WWF number one contender (that was Cory Matthews*). Even crazier, the Bucs…
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This is part 3 of a series about Nick Cafardo written by guest poster Tim. You may also want to read Part 1 and Part 2 . So, I’m back with another Ask Nick. I took some time off because Nick Cafardo made me want to have part of face surgically removed (THAT’S AN IN-JOKE… kinda). This column, from…
Stats in the Wild 