2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-6) –SU: 55-36 ATS: 51-38-4 O/U: 43-46-2 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Week 5 – SU: 10-4…

   Rank Team Prosp Retro PredMargin Change W L 1 SEA 72 49 4.401  –  3  1 2 CAR 68 53 2.037  +1  1  4 3 DEN 66 49 3.222  -1  4  1 4 NE 63 53 3.439  +1  4  1 5 GB 61 52 3.082  +2  3  1 6 PIT 60 54 1.869  –…

Since the end of the first debate, it’s been all Clinton up and Trump down.  Cheers.

Projected Standings AFC AFC East  New England: 10-6 (3-1) 10.150 Buffalo: 8-8 (1-2) 8.051 NY Jets: 7-9 (1-2) 6.934 Miami: 6-10 (1-2) 5.979 AFC North Pittsburgh: 10-6 (2-1) 9.790 Cincinnati: 9-7 (1-2) 8.908 Baltimore: 8-8 (3-0) 7.697 Cleveland: 4-12 (0-3) 3.652 AFC South Houston: 8-8 (2-1) 7.968 Indianapolis: 7-9 (1-2) 7.159 Tennessee: 5-11 (1-2) 4.756 Jacksonville: 4-12 (0-3) 4.213 AFC West…

  Team Prosp PredMargin Change W L 1 SEA 72 4.26  –  3  1 2 DEN 68 3.29  +1  4  0 3 CAR 68 2.23  -1  1  3 4 PHI 63 1.12  +1  3  0 5 NE 62 3.02  -1  3  1 6 PIT 60 1.83  +4  3  1 7 GB 57 2.86  -1  2…

  Team WinDivison MakePlayoffs MakeSuperBowl WinSuperBowl ARI 11.9 42.6 4.0 1.7 ATL 27.9 44.0 6.6 2.5 BAL 12.3 30.0 4.5 2.1 BUF 15.8 40.1 4.6 2.1 CAR 60.7 73.1 9.8 5.1 CHI 1.8 7.4 0.5 0.0 CIN 29.8 60.8 8.7 3.9 CLE 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 DAL 48.2 65.9 8.2 4.0 DEN 93.4 99.2 31.7…

2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-5) –SU: 45-31 ATS: 44-31-3 O/U: 36-38-2 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Week 5 – SU: 10-4…

Did the VP debate tonight change anything?  Below is a plot of estimated win probabilities for the two presidential candidates during the VP debate.  There was almost no change at all.  For comparison, the plot below that shows the win probability changing dramatically during the presidential debate. So do the VP debates matter?   According…

2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-4) –SU: 35-27 ATS: 38-24-2 O/U: 29-31-2 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Miami at Cincinnati Prediction: Bengals…

Three days after the first presidential debate, it’s fairly evident that Clinton won.  And that it wasn’t even close.  You can see below that Clinton has gotten a substantial boost in win probability based on the state electoral college markets on predictit.org.  Clinton has also gained in the RealClearPolitics 2 and 4 way poll aggregations…