Category: Uncategorized

  • 2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-9) –SU: 85-46 ATS: 56-61-2 O/U: 55-73-3 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Week 5 – SU: 10-4…

  • What will the electoral map look like according to PredictIt markets?

    Based on @predictit markets of each state right now (noon on November 5, 2016) Clinton has a 78.77% chance of winning assuming state vote outcomes are independent, which is not a reasonable assumption.  Accounting for correlation between the states in their voting patterns and using the derived prices from the market, Clinton has a 66.98% chance…

  •   Rank Team Prosp Retro PredMargin Change W L 1 SEA 72 51 3.9732  –  4.5  1.5 2 CAR 66 51 2.7213  –  1  5 3 DEN 66 49 2.8472  +1  5  2 4 NE 64 53 3.1194  -1  6  1 5 GB 61 56 2.9554  –  4  2 6 ARI 61 53 2.3392  –…

  •   Team WinDivison MakePlayoffs MakeSuperBowl WinSuperBowl ARI 21.5 61.3 8.4 3.5 ATL 55.0 65.7 8.5 4.0 BAL 6.7 14.3 1.8 0.5 BUF 17.7 63.3 10.7 4.2 CAR 28.7 40.8 3.2 2.1 CHI 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 CIN 25.6 47.2 4.7 2.1 CLE 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 DAL 85.5 90.1 24.1 11.2 DEN 74.8 91.8 20.0…

  • 2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-7) –SU: 66-40 ATS: 59-45-4 O/U: 48-55-3 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Week 5 – SU: 10-4…

  • Below is a plot of the two major presidential candidates probability of winning over the course of time.  Clinton has plummeted in the past few days thanks in part to, and you can’t make this up, the FBI investigating Mark Weiner.  Clinton is still a heavy favorite to win the election, however.  (In fact, I…

  • Back on September 15, I told you that I had a model that has accurately predicted 16 out of the last 17 presidential elections.  (That’s only 1 miss since 1948!!!! And 1948 was a long time ago!!!)  Anyway, as you know that model was based on three simple tests: 1.  The Phillies win less than…

  • 2014 Record 2015 Record My record 2016: Total (weeks 1-7) –SU: 66-40 ATS: 59-45-4 O/U: 48-55-3 Week 1 – SU: 12-4 ATS: 10-5-1 O/U: 5-10-1 Week 2 – SU: 9-7 ATS: 7-9 O/U: 9-6-1 Week 3 – SU: 8-8 ATS: 12-3-1 O/U 9-7 Week 4 – SU: 6-8 ATS: 9-5 O/U 6-8 Week 5 – SU: 10-4…

  •    Rank Team Prosp Retro PredMargin Change W L 1 SEA 74 50 4.21  –  4  1 2 CAR 67 51 2.73  –  1  5 3 NE 65 55 2.97  +1  5  1 4 DEN 64 47 2.70  -1  4  2 5 GB 59 55 2.79  –  3  2 6 ARI 59 52 2.14  +3…

  • Projected Standings AFC AFC East  New England: 10-6 (4-1) 10.074 Buffalo: 8-8 (3-2) 8.391 NY Jets: 7-9 (1-4) 6.941 Miami: 5-11 (1-4) 5.033 AFC North Pittsburgh: 10-6 (4-1) 10.316 Cincinnati: 8-8 (2-3) 8.394 Baltimore: 7-9 (3-2) 7.145 Cleveland: 3-13 (0-5) 2.936 AFC South Houston: 8-8 (3-2) 7.881 Indianapolis: 7-9 (2-3) 7.295 Tennessee: 6-10 (2-3) 5.996 Jacksonville: 4-12 (1-3) 4.211 AFC West Denver: 10-6 (4-1) 10.347 Kansas City: 8-8 (2-2) 8.140…