TL;DR I’m really annoyed with Eric Adelson’s recent article. Warren Sharp’s analysis was wrong then. The Patriots are probably cheaters, but Warren Sharp’s analysis is still wrong now. People like simple narratives. Comparing aggregated rates without controlling for other factors can be problematic. I’m still really annoyed with Eric Adelson’s recent article. Summary Last year during the AFC Championship…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: I told myself I was done with with Deflategate – and really, I was – that is, until I read this. “Now I actually have some validation in the field,” Sharp said. “‘Hey, this guy was right all along.’” Wait, what? Forget the data twisting and statistical errors of the original analysis.…

I like the below quote form this article: Michele Pellizzari, an economics professor at the University of Geneva in Switzerland, has a more serious claim: that course evaluations may in fact measure, and thus motivate, the opposite of good teaching. His experiment took place with students at the Bocconi University Department of Economics in Milan,…

Until we acknowledge that the most common reason a method is chosen is because, “I saw it in a widely-cited paper in journal XX from my field” it is likely that little progress will be made on resolving the statistical problems in science. From article by Jeff Leek.

On April 17th, the NY Times published an article entitled: “At a Long Island Beach, Human Tempers Flare Over Claws and Feathers”.  In this article, they state: The fight comes amid growing concern nationwide about the impact of feral or stray cats on wildlife in general and birds in particular. Federal researchers have estimated that cats,…

So I was trying to find an article with statistics in it that I could have my intro stats students reproduce as an assignment.  So I went to PloS Medicine and randomly chose a recent paper.  I can across this one: http://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001807#pmed-1001807-t001 I was going to have my student reproduce the numbers in this paragraph in…

Final Four: Kentucky, Wisconsin, Duke, Michigan State Kentucky beats Duke: Yosarian, ZachB, 7 Duke beats Kentucky: Pookie, Juho, 4 Kentucky beats Michigan St: Yosarian, ZachB, 13 Michigan State beats Kentucky: Juho, One Shining MGF, 2 Wisconsin beats Duke: Monte, ZachB, 6 Duke beats Wisconsin: ZachB, Monte, 4 Wisconsin beats Michigan State: ZachB, Wally, 15 Michigan State beats Wisconsin: Wally, ZachB, 3

We. Are. Still. Alive. Disclaimer: I’m not guaranteeing that everything here is correct.  Please verify everything for yourself if you plan on using this information to hedge. Scenarios where we finish first There are only 32 possible scenarios left for the rest of the NCAA tournament.  There are two scenarios that would make us repeat champions.…

Arizona -1.5 Kentucky -11 Gonzaga +2.5 Louisville +2.5 Cheers.