Some interesting stupid facts: In years when Punxatawny Phil predicts early spring the average Super Bowl total is 51.67 whereas when long winter is predicted the average total is 44.03. I assume this is because it’s easier to score points in warm weather. The NFC team averages 30.42 points when Phil predicts early spring as…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: Each January and February, hundreds of future statistics and biostatistics PhD students are pawns in what can be a nasty game of application roulette, which roughly consists of the following steps 1) Apply to a dozen schools, and shell out close to $1000 to do so. You don’t get this money…

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction: Seahawks 26-24 Win Probability: Seahawks 54.72% SU: Seahawks +2.5 Pick: Seahawks +115 OU: Over 46.5

6:30 pm.  On FOX. Cheers.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Prediction: Seahawks 20-17 Win Probability: Seahawks 54.96% SU: 49ers +155 Pick: 49ers +3.5 OU: Under 39.5 New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Prediction: Broncos 31-30 Win Probability: Broncos 54.91% ML: Patriots +205 Pick: Patriots +5.5 OU: Over 56.5

I’m three chapters into this book, and I can’t stop reading it.  I wanted to share some of my favorite quotes from the book so far. I watch the 49ers on TV all year with a new appreciation of the machine.  For the first time I’m seeing the big picture through the small screen.  …

Last weeks wild card games were, on the whole, a very entertaining group of football games.  Most of the lines from the games reflected this (1.5, 3, 3, 7) with an average underdog getting 3.625 points .  But this week the lines are on the whole much larger.  According sports betting online, the average underdog…

The underdogs were 3-0-1 against the spread in the Wild Card round, which left me 2-1-1 ATS.  In fact, not only did all of the underdogs cover (or tie) last week, 3 out of 4 of the underdogs won their games outright.  Once again, I’m going to be all over the underdogs this week (as…

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks Prediction: Seahawks 22-19 Win Probability: Seahawks 56.85% SU: Saints +270 Pick: Saints +7.5 OU: Under 46.5 Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Prediction: Patriots 27-25 Win Probability: Patriots 54.8% ML: Colts +250 Pick: Colts +7 OU: Under 53.5 San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers Prediction: Panthers 19-17 Win Probability:…

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts Prediction: Chiefs  24-20 Win Probability: Chiefs 57.93% SU: Chiefs -125 Pick: Chiefs -1.5 OU: Under 46.5 New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction: Saints 27-24 Win Probability: Saints 56.92% ML: Saints  +140 Pick: Saints +3 (Even) OU: Under 53.5 San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals Prediction: Bengals 24-22 Win Probability: Chargers…