Super Bowl and Phil

Some interesting stupid facts:

  • In years when Punxatawny Phil predicts early spring the average Super Bowl total is 51.67 whereas when long winter is predicted the average total is 44.03. I assume this is because it’s easier to score points in warm weather.
  • The NFC team averages 30.42 points when Phil predicts early spring as opposed to an average of 23.23 points for a prediction of long winter.  This means that the NFC team gains about 1 extra touchdown for a prediction of early spring.
  • The average margin of victory with a prediction of early spring is 18.5; When long winter is predicted the average margin of victory is 12.6.

Update: Phil emerged this morning at 7:28am and predicted 6 more weeks of winter.  This means we can expect a low scoring, close game with no advantage for the NFC.  This is reflected in the current Super Bowl line of Denver -2.5

Cheers.

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Posted on February 2, 2014, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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