Super Bowl and Phil
Some interesting stupid facts:
- In years when Punxatawny Phil predicts early spring the average Super Bowl total is 51.67 whereas when long winter is predicted the average total is 44.03. I assume this is because it’s easier to score points in warm weather.
- The NFC team averages 30.42 points when Phil predicts early spring as opposed to an average of 23.23 points for a prediction of long winter. This means that the NFC team gains about 1 extra touchdown for a prediction of early spring.
- The average margin of victory with a prediction of early spring is 18.5; When long winter is predicted the average margin of victory is 12.6.
Update: Phil emerged this morning at 7:28am and predicted 6 more weeks of winter. This means we can expect a low scoring, close game with no advantage for the NFC. This is reflected in the current Super Bowl line of Denver -2.5