Posted by statsinthewild
Anything that is not “conventional” wisdom gets mocked in the NFL. Until it becomes conventional wisdom and you get mocked for not doing it.
Posted on January 20, 2016, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.
So apparently historical late-game lead preservation rates are predictive on a per-QB basis? That’s news to me.
Also, expected onside kicks are nowhere near the 20% success rate he quotes from 2009. Major rule change since then…
“Asinine” remains the correct description of how the Chiefs handled the situation.
It’s probably some what predictive, though I wouldn’t imagine it is a very strong predictive relationship. Do you have evidence that this is, in fact, not true?
What is the success rate for onside’s kicks since the rule change? Do you know where I can find that?
Thanks for reading!
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