Blog Archives
NCAA Football Rankings – 11/4/2012
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BCS: Why bother with the computers?
The BCS is either unbelievably brilliant or completely idiotic. They use computer rankings to legitimize themselves, while at the same time, completely ignoring the computer rankings.
Louisiana Tech is a perfect example of this. Currently, Louisiana Tech is 25th in the BCS standings in spite of the fact that exactly ZERO computer polls have them in the top 25. They crack the BCS standings by coming in at 23 and 24 in the USA Today and Harris polls, respectively. The polls outweigh the computers in such a way that they practically don’t matter.
Another good example of this is Florida State who currently sits at 9 in the BCS rankings. Five of the six rankings have the Seminoles in the top 25 with ranks of 12, 18, 21, 22, and 25, while Sagarin leaves them out entirely. Their average computer rank is 21. In both polls, however, they are currently ranked 7th. And thanks to the way the BCS performs the weighting the average of 7, 7, and 21 is 9. That’s BCS math for you.
The weighting for the BCS is one-third each for the two polls and one-third for the computer rankings. However, if you look at the top 13 in both BCS polls, they are exactly the same. This has the effect of essentially using only one poll but giving it two-thirds weight and giving the computers only one-third. Voters can simply get together and vote in such a way that renders the computers meaningless. Only one of the six computer rankings, Richard Billingsley, has Alabama ranked number 1, and yet they are nearly a unanimous number one in the voting. Some more solid BCS math for you.
Whoever set up the BCS either had no idea what they were doing, tried to set-up a fair, rational system of ranking incorporating human voters and computers, and failed spectacularly, or knew exactly what they were doing, incorporated computers to make themselves look legitimate, and was wildly successful in maintaining the status quo. Sometimes it’s hard to tell the difference between genius and insanity.
Cheers.
RIPPEN after week 8
Alex Smith’s performance on Monday night was the best performance by a quarterback in any game this season with a RIPPEN of 57.977. The next closest performance was Aaron Rodgers in week 7 with a RIPPEN of 43.235.
Smith’s incredible performance on Monday night wasn’t perfect though according to passer rating. He only charted a 157.1, which is, of course, absolutely ridiculous. Take a look at the list of games where the QB has ended with a perfect rating and try to tell me with a straight face that Alex Smith’s Monday night performance was worse than all of these. For instance, in 2005 Roethlisberger finished a game 9 for 11 with 232 passing yards and 2 TD and a perfect passer rating. How in the world can that be better than Alex Smith’s 18 for 19 performance for 232 yards and three touchdowns? It’s because passer rating is terrible.
RIPPEN rankings for week 8 performances:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Smith, A. | SF | 57.977 | 157.1 |
Manning, P. | DEN | 32.232 | 138.9 |
Ryan, M. | ATL | 30.023 | 137.4 |
Brady, T. | NE | 26.385 | 131.1 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 24.045 | 121.0 |
Stafford, M. | DET | 23.692 | 101.7 |
Luck, A. | IND | 21.747 | 89.5 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 19.716 | 96.8 |
Cutler, J. | CHI | 18.324 | 83.3 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 17.853 | 104.2 |
Newton, C. | CAR | 17.054 | 57.0 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 16.026 | 74.8 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 16.004 | 88.9 |
Cassel, M. | KC | 14.130 | 85.1 |
Gabbert, B. | JAX | 13.057 | 80.6 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 12.378 | 58.4 |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 12.331 | 95.7 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 12.222 | 58.3 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 10.750 | 83.8 |
Vick, M. | PHI | 10.046 | 84.3 |
Griffin, III, R. | WAS | 9.623 | 72.8 |
Sanchez, M | NYJ | 8.801 | 65.6 |
Skelton, J. | ARI | 8.159 | 68.6 |
Brees, D. | NO | 8.158 | 72.8 |
Weeden, B. | CLE | 7.906 | 55.9 |
Tannehill, R. | MIA | 3.299 | 50.4 |
Rivers, P. | SD | 2.015 | 65.1 |
Season RIPPEN rankings through 8 weeks of games:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Manning, P. | DEN | 30.093 | 109.0 |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 24.579 | 107.9 |
Brady, T. | NE | 23.768 | 100.6 |
Griffin, III, R. | WAS | 23.374 | 97.3 |
Smith, A. | SF | 22.617 | 102.1 |
Ryan, M. | ATL | 22.566 | 103.0 |
Schaub, M. | HOU | 22.415 | 93.1 |
Newton, C. | CAR | 21.982 | 75.2 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 20.834 | 101.4 |
Brees, D. | NO | 18.954 | 93.0 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 18.242 | 93.3 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 17.580 | 89.1 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 17.485 | 82.4 |
Locker, J. | TEN | 17.147 | 90.2 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 16.548 | 78.8 |
Stafford, M. | DET | 16.317 | 82.1 |
Tannehill, R. | MIA | 16.205 | 75.8 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 16.113 | 85.8 |
Cutler, J. | DEN | 15.904 | 78.9 |
Dalton, A. | CIN | 15.372 | 87.7 |
Luck, A. | IND | 14.992 | 74.6 |
Vick, M. | PHI | 14.703 | 78.6 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 14.229 | 82.4 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 14.062 | 85.7 |
Flacco, J. | BAL | 13.770 | 84.0 |
Rivers, P. | SD | 13.328 | 82.4 |
Fitzpatrick, R. | BUF | 12.039 | 86.1 |
Weeden, B. | CLE | 11.485 | 70.8 |
Sanchez, M. | NYJ | 11.484 | 72.8 |
Cassel, M. | KC | 10.430 | 69.0 |
Kolb, K. | ARI | 9.662 | 86.1 |
Gabbert, B. | JAX | 8.943 | 77.9 |
Skelton, J. | ARI | 8.363 | 64.5 |
Hasselbeck, M. | TEN | 8.039 | 83.3 |
Cheers.
NCAA Football Rankings – 10/28/2012
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Full Rankings
Week 7 QB performances reviewed via RIPPEN
RIPPEN rankings for week 7 performances:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 43.235 | 106.9 |
Brees, D. | NO | 36.220 | 129.0 |
Gabbert, B. | JAX | 34.483 | 133.8 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 25.252 | 124.7 |
Schaub, M. | HOU | 22.707 | 102.2 |
Griffin, III, R. | WAS | 21.789 | 133.7 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 21.277 | 97.2 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 20.522 | 91.3 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 20.269 | 87.8 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 19.503 | 112.0 |
Fitzpatrick, R. | BUF | 19.106 | 97.1 |
Brady, T. | NE | 17.217 | 87.4 |
Sanchez, M. | NYJ | 16.431 | 92.7 |
Luck, A. | IND | 16.258 | 79.3 |
Skelton, J. | ARI | 13.082 | 83.2 |
Smith, A. | SF | 12.449 | 56.6 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 7.166 | 87.3 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 6.411 | 69.8 |
Henne, C. | JAX | 2.510 | 75.0 |
Dalton, A. | CIN | 2.503 | 77.4 |
Flacco, J | BAL | 1.790 | 59.4 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 0.705 | 68.9 |
Season RIPPEN rankings through 7 weeks of games:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Manning, P. | DEN | 28.886 | 105.0 |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 26.970 | 109.6 |
Griffen, III, R. | WAS | 26.915 | 101.8 |
Newton, C. | CAR | 24.975 | 79.3 |
Brady, T. | NE | 23.842 | 96.9 |
Ryan. M. | ATL | 21.828 | 98.8 |
Schaub, M. | HOU | 21.496 | 93.1 |
Brees, D. | NO | 21.221 | 96.1 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 21.141 | 98.6 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 18.409 | 91.2 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 18.197 | 84.6 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 18.150 | 92.5 |
Smith, A. | SF | 17.786 | 93.9 |
Locker, J. | TEN | 17.197 | 90.2 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 17.192 | 81.5 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 16.677 | 87.5 |
Cutler, J. | CHI | 16.631 | 78.3 |
Tannehill, R. | MIA | 16.344 | 76.5 |
Dalton, A. | CIN | 15.387 | 87.7 |
Rivers, P. | SD | 15.290 | 85.3 |
Stafford, M. | DET | 15.259 | 78.4 |
Vick, M. | PHI | 14.984 | 77.7 |
Luck, A. | IND | 14.880 | 72.3 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 14.846 | 86.0 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 13.782 | 79.5 |
Flacco, J. | BAL | 13.018 | 84.0 |
Sanchez, M. | NYJ | 11.985 | 74.6 |
Fitzpatrick, R. | BUF | 11.984 | 86.1 |
Weeden, B. | CLE | 11.671 | 72.3 |
Kolb, K. | ARI | 9.443 | 86.1 |
Skelton, J. | ARI | 8.876 | 68.9 |
Cassel, M. | KC | 8.209 | 66.2 |
Gabbert, B. | JAX | 8.194 | 77.1 |
Hasselbeck, M. | TEN | 7.748 | 78.2 |
Cheers.
NFL Rankings – 10/23/2012
StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of October 23, 2012 at 12:34pm. SOS=strength of schedule
Team | Rank | Change | Record | ESPN | TeamRankings.com | SOS | Points Diff |
Chicago | 1 | – | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | +84 |
Houston | 2 | ↑2 | 6-1 | 2 (tie) | 3 | 17 | +88 |
San Francisco | 3 | ↓1 | 5-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +65 |
Green Bay | 4 | ↑6 | 4-3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +29 |
Minnesota | 5 | ↑3 | 5-2 | 9 | 8 | 7 | +36 |
Atlanta | 6 | ↓3 | 6-0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | +58 |
NY Giants | 7 | ↓2 | 5-2 | 2 (tie) | 6 | 22 | +68 |
New England | 8 | ↑1 | 4-3 | 8 | 7 | 12 | +54 |
Seattle | 9 | ↓2 | 4-3 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +10 |
Arizona | 10 | ↓4 | 4-3 | 14 | 20 | 2 | +6 |
St. Louis | 11 | ↑1 | 3-4 | 21 | 15 | 3 | -11 |
Baltimore | 12 | ↓1 | 5-2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | +13 |
Detroit | 13 | ↑1 | 2-4 | 19 | 12 | 1 | -17 |
Miami | 14 | ↑1 | 3-3 | 16 | 17 | 14 | +3 |
Denver | 15 | ↑1 | 3-3 | 12 | 9 | 30 | +32 |
Washington | 16 | ↓3 | 3-4 | 18 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
Dallas | 17 | ↑1 | 3-3 | 15 | 13 | 15 | -20 |
NY Jets | 18 | ↓1 | 3-4 | 24 | 14 | 11 | -11 |
Pittsburgh | 19 | ↑5 | 3-3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | +8 |
Philadelphia | 20 | – | 3-3 | 13 | 22 | 19 | -22 |
Tampa Bay | 21 | ↓2 | 2-4 | 26 | 31 | 23 | +12 |
Indianapolis | 22 | ↑5 | 3-3 | 23 | 21 | 16 | -41 |
San Diego | 23 | – | 3-3 | 17 | 23 | 32 | +11 |
New Orleans | 24 | ↑2 | 2-4 | 20 | 26 | 21 | -6 |
Buffalo | 25 | ↓2 | 3-4 | 27 | 24 | 13 | -56 |
Cincinnati | 26 | ↓5 | 3-4 | 22 | 27 | 27 | -21 |
Tennessee | 27 | ↑3 | 3-4 | 25 | 19 | 9 | -89 |
Carolina | 28 | ↓3 | 1-5 | 29 | 29 | 20 | -38 |
Jacksonville | 29 | ↓1 | 1-5 | 31 | 30 | 10 | -76 |
Cleveland | 30 | ↓1 | 1-6 | 30 | 28 | 25 | -33 |
Oakland | 31 | – | 2-4 | 28 | 25 | 31 | -58 |
Kansas City | 32 | – | 1-5 | 32 | 32 | 28 | -79 |
Best
Best team in the league: Chicago
Best undefeated team: Atlanta
Best 5 win team: Chicago
Best 4 win team: Green Bay
Best 3 win team: St. Louis
Best 2 win team: Detroit
Best 1 win team: Carolina
Worst
Worst 5 win team: Baltimore
Worst 4 win team: Arizona
Worst 3 win team: Tennessee
Worst 2 win team: Oakland
Worst 1 win team: Kansas City
Worst team in the league: Kansas City
Most
Most under-rated team: (#11) St. Louis (ESPN has them 21)
Most over-rated team: (#19) Pittsburgh (ESPN has them 10)
Cheers.
↓3
NCAA Football Rankings – 10/21/2012
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Week 6 QB performances reviewed via RIPPEN
RIPPEN rankings for week 6 performances:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Flacco, J. | BAL | 38.201 | 106.9 |
Manning, P. | DEN | 34.475 | 129.0 |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 33.463 | 133.8 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 33.324 | 124.7 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 33.153 | 102.2 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 30.824 | 133.7 |
Griffin, III, R. | WAS | 26.015 | 97.2 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 25.218 | 91.3 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 24.023 | 87.8 |
Tannehill, R. | MIA | 21.243 | 112.0 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 20.028 | 97.1 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 20.927 | 87.4 |
Weeden, B. | CLE | 18.161 | 92.7 |
Brady, T. | NE | 16.272 | 79.3 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 15.649 | 83.2 |
Schaub, M. | HOU | 14.815 | 56.6 |
Dalton, A. | CIN | 14.458 | 87.3 |
Stafford, M. | DET | 13.478 | 69.8 |
Vick, M. | PHI | 13.471 | 77.4 |
Ryan, M. | ATL | 11.480 | 59.4 |
Fitzpatrick, R. | BUF | 11.166 | 68.9 |
Hasselbeck, M. | TEN | 10.428 | 75.0 |
Luck, A. | IND | 9.097 | 51.3 |
Sanchez, M. | NYJ | 9.089 | 109.0 |
Smith, A. | SF | 9.038 | 43.1 |
Rivers, P. | SD | 5.959 | 54.2 |
Kolb, K. | ARI | 5.757 | 64.3 |
Quinn, B. | KC | 5.571 | 48.1 |
Skelton, J. | ARI | 3.812 | 6.2 |
Season RIPPEN rankings through six weeks of games:
Player | Team | RIPPEN | QB rating |
Manning, P. | DEN | 27.304 | 105.0 |
Griffin, III, R. | WAS | 27.279 | 100.5 |
Brady, T. | NE | 26.905 | 97.2 |
Newton, C. | CAR | 25.630 | 80.9 |
Rodgers, A. | GB | 24.263 | 105.4 |
Schaub, M. | HOU | 23.978 | 91.6 |
Ryan, M. | ATL | 23.689 | 98.8 |
Roethlisberger, B. | PIT | 20.393 | 99.9 |
Rivers, P. | SD | 19.697 | 85.3 |
Flacco, J. | BAL | 19.654 | 92.0 |
Smith, A. | SF | 19.131 | 96.6 |
Ponder, C. | MIN | 19.091 | 92.4 |
Cutler, J. | CHI | 18.720 | 78.7 |
Brees, D. | NO | 18.243 | 90.7 |
Manning, E. | NYG | 17.664 | 94.9 |
Palmer, C. | OAK | 16.843 | 88.7 |
Dalton, A. | CIN | 16.770 | 91.7 |
Romo, T. | DAL | 16.380 | 82.1 |
Locker, J. | TEN | 16.245 | 90.2 |
Stafford, M. | DET | 15.928 | 79.2 |
Freeman, J. | TB | 15.780 | 84.2 |
Tannehill, R. | MIA | 14.544 | 76.5 |
Bradford, S. | STL | 13.065 | 81.3 |
Vick, M. | PHI | 12.533 | 77.7 |
Wilson, R. | SEA | 11.917 | 85.6 |
Luck, A. | IND | 10.782 | 72.0 |
Sanchez, M. | NYJ | 10.761 | 70.9 |
Fitzpatrick, R. | BUF | 10.465 | 81.5 |
Weeden, B. | CLE | 10.417 | 68.1 |
Kolb, K. | ARI | 8.357 | 86.1 |
Cassel, M. | KC | 6.678 | 66.2 |
Hasselbeck, M. | TEN | 6.678 | 74.1 |
Gabbert, B. | JAX | 6.678 | 73.3 |
Cheers.
NFL Rankings – 10/17/2012
StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of October 17, 2012 at 12:34pm. SOS=strength of schedule
Team | Rank | Change | Record | ESPN | TeamRankings.com | SOS | Points Diff |
Chicago | 1 | ↑1 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | +78 |
San Francisco | 2 | ↓1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +58 |
Atlanta | 3 | ↑4 | 6-0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | +58 |
Houston | 4 | ↓1 | 5-1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | +58 |
NY Giants | 5 | ↑7 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | +64 |
Arizona | 6 | ↓1 | 4-2 | 11 | 12 | 1 | +13 |
Seattle | 7 | ↑2 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +17 |
Minnesota | 8 | ↓4 | 4-2 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +29 |
New England | 9 | ↓3 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | 10 | +51 |
Green Bay | 10 | ↑1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +19 |
Baltimore | 11 | ↓1 | 5-1 | 4 | 9 | 26 | +43 |
St. Louis | 12 | ↓4 | 3-3 | 20 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Washington | 13 | ↑9 | 3-3 | 15 | 17 | 13 | +5 |
Detroit | 14 | ↓1 | 2-3 | 19 | 19 | 4 | -11 |
Miami | 15 | ↓1 | 3-3 | 17 | 14 | 16 | +3 |
Denver | 16 | ↑2 | 3-3 | 12 | 13 | 31 | +32 |
NY Jets | 17 | – | 3-3 | 23 | 18 | 12 | -8 |
Dallas | 18 | ↓2 | 2-3 | 18 | 15 | 9 | -25 |
Tampa Bay | 19 | ↑6 | 2-3 | 22 | 24 | 23 | +19 |
Philadelphia | 20 | – | 3-3 | 13 | 20 | 11 | -22 |
Cincinnati | 21 | ↓2 | 3-3 | 21 | 21 | 28 | -14 |
Buffalo | 22 | ↑2 | 3-3 | 25 | 16 | 15 | -55 |
San Diego | 23 | ↓2 | 3-3 | 16 | 27 | 32 | +11 |
Pittsburgh | 24 | ↓1 | 2-3 | 14 | 23 | 27 | +1 |
Carolina | 25 | ↑3 | 1-4 | 28 | 28 | 19 | -33 |
New Orleans | 26 | ↑1 | 1-4 | 24 | 31 | 20 | -13 |
Indianapolis | 27 | ↓12 | 2-3 | 26 | 22 | 22 | -45 |
Jacksonville | 28 | ↓2 | 1-4 | 31 | 29 | 18 | -73 |
Cleveland | 29 | ↑3 | 1-5 | 30 | 26 | 24 | -29 |
Tennessee | 30 | ↓1 | 2-4 | 27 | 25 | 14 | -90 |
Oakland | 31 | ↓1 | 1-4 | 29 | 30 | 30 | -61 |
Kansas City | 32 | ↓1 | 1-5 | 32 | 32 | 29 | -79 |
Best
Best undefeated team: Atlanta
Best 5 win team: Houston
Best 4 win team: Chicago
Best 3 win team: New England
Best 2 win team: Detroit
Best 1 win team: Carolina
Worst
Worst 5 win team: Baltimore
Worst 4 win team: Minnesota
Worst 3 win team: San Diego
Worst 2 win team: Tennessee
Worst 1 win team: Kansas City
Worst team in the league: Kansas City
Most
Most under-rated team: (#12) St. Louis (ESPN has them 20)
Most over-rated team: (#24) Pittsburgh (ESPN has them 14)
Cheers.
NCAAB Rankings – 1/2/2012
Rankings as of 2:31pm on 1/2/2012. Sagarin ratings as of 1/1/2012. AP rankings as of 1/2/2012.
Previous rankings are here.
Pittsburgh, Oklahoma, and Miss St. fall out of the top 25 and New Mexico, North Carolina, and Purdue are in the top 25 this week. The Mountain West conference has 3 teams in my top 25. That is the same number as the ACC, Pac-12 and SEC COMBINED. I’ve even given the MWC there own color (purple). I considered giving them red since the Pac-12 wasn’t using it at all, but I think purple is a more fitting color for the MWC (think purple mountains majesty).
Breakdown by conference: 2, 6, 9, 4, 0, 1, 3
ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC MWC Other
Team | Rank | Change | Record | AP | Sagarin |
Syracuse | 1 | ↑1 | 15-0 | 1 | 1 |
Baylor | 2 | ↑2 | 13-0 | 4 | 6 |
Indiana | 3 | ↓2 | 13-1 | 12 | 4 |
Michigan St. | 4 | ↑5 | 13-2 | 10 | 8 |
Duke | 5 | ↑7 | 12-1 | 5 | 5 |
Ohio St. | 6 | ↓3 | 13-2 | 6 | 3 |
UConn | 7 | ↑10 | 12-1 | 8 | 26 |
Michigan | 8 | ↑8 | 12-2 | 16 | 41 |
Missouri | 9 | ↑4 | 13-0 | 7 | 11 |
Illinois | 10 | ↓3 | 12-3 | 11 | 47 |
Northwestern | 11 | ↓3 | 11-3 | – | 51 |
Marquette | 12 | ↓1 | 12-2 | 20 | 19 |
Wisconsin | 13 | ↓3 | 12-3 | 18 | 15 |
Georgetown | 14 | ↑11 | 12-1 | 9 | 10 |
Seton Hall | 15 | ↓1 | 12-2 | 38 | 28 |
UNLV | 16 | ↑3 | 15-2 | 17 | 12 |
Kansas State | 17 | ↓2 | 11-1 | 23 | 18 |
Purdue | 18 | NR | 12-3 | 33 | 27 |
Kentucky | 19 | ↑4 | 13-1 | 2 | 2 |
North Carolina | 20 | NR | 13-2 | 3 | 7 |
Minnesota | 21 | ↓16 | 12-3 | – | 50 |
Louisville | 22 | ↓16 | 12-2 | 11 | 13 |
San Diego St. | 23 | ↓5 | 12-2 | 24 | 38 |
Kansas | 24 | – | 10-3 | 14 | 9 |
New Mexico | 25 | NR | 12-2 | 34 | 31 |
BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.
Cheers.