Blog Archives

Rule for Variance Inflation Factors

A quote from here:
“Goldberger (1991) notes that while the number of pages in econometrics
texts devoted to the problem of multi-collinearity in multiple regression is
large the same books have little to say about sample size. Goldberger states:
“Perhaps that imbalance is attributable to the lack of an exotic polysyllabic
name for ‘small sample size.’ If so, we can remove that impediment by introducing the term micronumerosity” (Goldberger, 1991: 248–249).”

 

Cheers.

NFL Rankings Christmas Edition – 12/22/2011

Rankings updated as of 12/22/2011; Records updated as of 6:22pm 12/24/2011

AFC NFC

Clinched Playoff Berth

Divison Leader Division Champ

Eliminated from Playoffs

 Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank
New England 1 12-3 3
Green Bay 2 13-1 1
Pittsburgh 3 11-4 7
Baltimore 4 11-4 6
Atlanta 5 9-5 8
New Orleans 6 11-3 2
NY Jets 7 8-7 11
Chicago 8 7-7 23
San Francisco 9 ↑↑ 11-3 4
NY Giants 10 ↓↓ 8-7 14
Detroit 11 9-5 9
Philadelphia 12 6-8 17
San Diego 13 ↑↑ 7-7 13
Tampa Bay 14 4-11 29
Kansas City 15 ↑↑ 6-9 25
Houston 16 ↓↓ 10-5 5
Oakland 17 8-7 16
Seattle 18 ↑↑↑ 7-7 18
Miami 19 5-10 20
Dallas 20 ↑↑ 8-6 10
Cincinnati 21 9-6 12
Tennessee 22 ↓↓↓ 8-7 22
Denver 23 8-6 15
Buffalo 24 6-9 26
Arizona 25 ↑↑↑↑ 7-8 19
Cleveland 26 4-11 27
Jacksonville 27 4-11 28
Indianapolis 28 2-13 32
Washington 29 5-10 24
Minnesota 30 ↓↓↓ 3-12 30
St. Louis 31 2-13 31
Carolina 32 6-9 21

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

An arbitrary ranking of NCAA college basketball teams – 12/11/2011

Rankings as of noon on 12/11/2011 .

 Team Rank Change Record AP (12/12/11)
Indiana 1 0 9-0 18
Illinois 2 0 10-0 19
Syracuse 3 0 10-0 1
Minnesota 4 0 10-1
Marquette 5 0 9-0 11
Northwestern 6 0 7-1  40
Ohio State 7 0 8-1 2
Missouri 8 0 9-0 10
Duke 9 0 9-1 7
Louisville 10 0 9-0 4
Baylor 11 0 7-0 6
Northern Iowa 12 0 9-1 35
Purdue 13 0 9-2
Michigan State 14 0 8-2 21
Wisconsin 15 0 8-2 14
Pittsburgh 16 0 9-1 15
Seton Hall 17 0 8-1
Kansas 18 0 7-2 12
Xavier 19 0 8-0 8
San Diego State 20 0 9-2 28
Connecticut 21 0 8-1 9
Oklahoma 22 0 7-1
Ole Miss 23 0 8-1
Michigan 24 0 7-2 20
Saint Louis 25 0 9-1 32

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 12/4/2011

Rankings as of 12/04/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

The BCS explained:  It used to be that a national champion in college football was determined solely by human polls.  However, human polls are suspect because you are asking each voter to process the results of hundreds of college football games from teams all across the country and form a well thought out, reasoned ranking of the top 25 teams, which is clearly impossible; It’s too much data for a human to handle.  That’s why the BCS introduced the computer rankings which could, without personal bias, crunch the numbers and produce a ranking taking all games into account equally.  The computer rankings, on the average, do a very reasonable job of ranking the teams.   Ultimately, however, the non-human polls, a computational exercise in futility, are simply ignored, as they are overwhelmed by the human polls, and the BCS gets what it wants while it hides behind the computer polls to offer a whiff of legitimacy to the absolute garbage it spews out.

BCS Bowl Team

ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 13-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 11-1 3
Kansas State 3 ↑↑ 10-2 8
Alabama 4 11-1
Oklahoma 5 ↓↓ 9-3 14 
Baylor 6 9-3 12
Stanford 7 11-1 4
Oregon 8 ↑↑↑ 11-2 5
Arkansas 9 10-2 6
South Carolina 10 10-2 9
USC 11 10-2
Georgia 12 10-3 16
Virginia Tech 13 11-2 11
Boise State 14 ↑↑↑ 11-1 7
Michigan 15 10-2 13
Wisconsin 16 ↑↑ 11-2 10
Texas 17 ↓↓↓ 7-5 24
Clemson 18 ↑↑↑↑ 10-3 15
Nebraska 19 9-3 20
Houston 20 ↓↓↓↓↓ 12-1 19
Missouri 21 7-5
TCU 22 ↑↑↑↑↑ 10-2 18
Michigan State 23 ↓↓↓ 10-3 17
Penn State 24 9-3 22
Texas A&M 25 6-6

And finally, representing the Big East/Big Least: West Virginia

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/27/2011

Rankings as of 11/27/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

Some people were not thrilled about my rankings last week when I still had Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  For example, one guy critically criticized me by saying: “I’m impressed! You spell very well and your paragraph structure is spot in. That us amazing since it is apparent that you are fucking retarded.”  He will be happy to know that I now have LSU ranked number 1.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 1 12-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 -1 10-1
Oklahoma 3 1 9-2
Alabama 4 1 11-1
Kansas State 5 -2 9-2
Stanford 6 3 11-1
Baylor 7 0 8-3
Arkansas 8 -2 10-2
South Carolina 9 1 10-2
USC 10 2 10-2
Oregon 11 0 10-2
Georgia 12 2 10-2
Virginia Tech 13 -5 11-1
Texas 14 -1 7-4
Houston 15 0 12-0
Michigan 16 2 10-2
Boise State 17 4 10-1
Nebraska 18 5 9-3
Wisconsin 19 10-2
Michigan State 20 4 10-2
Missouri 21 1 7-5
Clemson 22 -6 9-3
Iowa State 23 -6 6-5
Texas A&M 24 -4 6-6
Penn State 25 -6 9-3

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/20/2011

Rankings as of 11/20/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

(I’ve made a few small corrections from my original post; I found a mistake in the data.  For instance, Michigan State is now in the top 25 at number 24.)

Ok.  I know.  This isn’t going to look good, but…….I still have Oklahoma State ranked 1 even after their loss to Iowa State.  (A defense of my rankings) They nearly survived the Big 12 gauntlet undefeated, which would have been a most impressive feat.  I’m not sure I can defend this, but since none of the BCS rankings have to defend their methodology then neither should I.

Big movers this week include Baylor, Virginia Tech, and Stanford who are all up 4 spots to 7, 8, and 9, respectively.  The biggest move up this week is Iowa State, who jumps 5 spots to 17.

Clemson falls 8 spots after its loss to North Carolina State and they end up 16. Likewise, Nebraska falls 7 spots to number 23 after losing to Michigan.

Cheers.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 10-1 4
LSU 2 0 11-0 1
Kansas State 3 1 9-2 11
Oklahoma 4 -1 8-2 9
Alabama 5 0 10-1 2
Arkansas 6 0 10-1 3
Baylor 7 4 7-3 18
Virginia Tech 8 4 10-1 5
Stanford 9 4 10-1 6
South Carolina 10 -1 9-2 12
Oregon 11 -4 9-2 10
USC 12 2 9-2 NR
Texas 13 -3 6-4 25
Georgia 14 1 9-2 13
Houston 15 2 11-0 8
Clemson 16 -8 9-2 17
Iowa State 17 5 6-4 NR
Michigan 18 0 9-2 15
Penn State 19 0 9-2 19
Texas A&M 20 0 6-5 NR
Boise State 21 2 9-1 7
Missouri 22 2 6-5 NR
Nebraska 23 -7 8-3 21
Michigan State 24 1 9-2 14
Auburn 25 -4 7-4 24

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/13/2011

Rankings as of 11/13/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

No changes at the top.  I’ve still got Oklahoma State number 1, as I have all season.  LSU comes in at number 2 and Oklahoma at number 3.  Texas falls 4 spots after failing to score a touchdown in their loss to Missouri.  Oregon jumps to 7 after it’s victory over previously undefeated Stanford, who falls to 13.

The two biggest movers upward were Nebraska and Michigan.  Nebraska defeated Penn State to climb 8 spots to 16 and Michigan beat a rapidly fading Illinois team to climb 7 spots to 18.

Texas A&M and Auburn both fell 6 spots to 20 and 21, respectively.  Texas A&M lost in 4 OT to Kansas State while Auburn fell to Georgia.  Missouri and Michigan State squeak their way into the top 25 at 24 and 25, respectively, as Texas Tech and Georgia Tech drop out.

By conference, I have 8 Big 12 teams in the top 25 and 6 SEC teams.  The Big 10 has 4 teams, the Pac 12 gets 3, and the ACC has 2.  Mountain West and Conference USA have one team each.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 10-0 2
LSU 2 0 10-0 1
Oklahoma 3 0 8-1 5
Kansas State 4 1 8-2 13
Alabama 5 -1 9-1 3
Arkansas 6 1 9-1 6
Oregon 7 2 9-1 4
Clemson 8 2 9-1 7
South Carolina 9 2 8-2 12
Texas 10 -4 6-3 23
Baylor 11 2 6-3 22
Virginia Tech 12 0 9-1 8
Stanford 13 -5 9-1 9
USC 14 4 8-2 NR
Georgia 15 2 8-2 14
Nebraska 16 8 8-2 16
Houston 17 2 10-0 11
Michigan 18 7 8-2 18
Penn State 19 -3 8-2 21
Texas A&M 20 -6 6-3 NR
Auburn 21 -6 6-4 24
Iowa State 22 -1 5-4 NR
Boise State 23 -3 8-1 10
Missouri 24 2 5-5 NR
Michigan State 25 3 8-2 15

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/6/2011

Rankings as of 11/6/2011.  Previous weeks rankings are here.

What a game last night between LSU and Alabama!  #FieldGoalsAreAwesome

I’ll update the BCS ranks when the new ones come out.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 9-0
LSU 2 1 9-0
Oklahoma 3 2 8-1
Alabama 4 0 8-1
Kansas St. 5 -3 7-2
Texas 6 6 6-2
Arkansas 7 3 8-1
Stanford 8 0 9-0
Oregon 9 4 8-1
Clemson 10 -4 8-1
South Carolina 11 -2 7-2
Virginia Tech 12 2 8-1
Baylor 13 3 5-3
Texas A&M 14 -7 5-4
Auburn 15 4 6-3
Penn State 16 1 8-1
Georgia 17 7 7-2
USC 18 -3 7-2
Houston 19 6 9-0
Boise State 20 1 8-0
Iowa State 21 11 5-4
Georgia Tech 22 0 7-2
Texas Tech 23 -12 5-4
Nebraska 24 -6 7-2
Michigan 25 -5 7-2

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/1/2011

Rankings as of 11/1/2011.  The previous week’s rankings are here.

I apologize for not getting these rankings out until today (Tuesday), but we’re likely without power until Friday or Saturday.  I’m currently in the Western New England College University Law School library, which has power and heat.  Anyway……

There are 5 teams in the SITW top 25 that are not in the BCS top 25 (SITW Ranking):  Texas A&M (15), Texas Tech (18), USC (19), Baylor (21), Missouri (25).

Likewise, the five teams in the BCS top 25 that are not in the SITW top 25 are: Arizona State (26), Wisconsin (30), Michigan State (31), West Virginia (32), and Southern Miss (39).

Based on the disparity between the SITW rankings and the BCS rankings, the most over-rated top 25 BCS team is Boise State, followed by Michigan State and Southern Miss.  The most under-rated team is Texas, followed by Kansas State, Auburn, Oklahoma, and Clemson.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 8-0 3
Oklahoma 2 3 7-1 8
LSU 3 0 8-0 1
Alabama 4 0 8-0 2
Kansas State 5 -3 7-1 9
Stanford 6 2 8-0 5
Clemson 7 -1 8-1 16
South Carolina 8 1 7-1 6
Arkansas 9 1 7-1 13
Virginia Tech 10 4 8-1 10
Texas 11 1 5-2 20
Oregon 12 1 7-1 24
Nebraska 13 5 7-1 7
Penn State 14 3 8-1 12
Texas A&M 15 -8 5-3 NR
Michigan 16 4 7-1 NR
Auburn 17 2 6-3 19
Texas Tech 18 -7 5-3 14
USC 19 -4 6-2 23
Georgia Tech 20 2 7-2 18
Baylor 21 -5 4-3 4
Boise State 22 -1 7-0 NR
Georgia 23 1 6-2 15
Houston 24 1 8-0 22
Missouri 25 5 4-4 17

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 10/23/2011

Rankings as of 10/23/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

There are 3 teams ranked in the BCS top 25 who aren’t in my top 25.  They are Michigan State, Arizona State, and West Virginia.

There are three teams in my top 25 who aren’t in the BCS top 25.  They are USC, Baylor, and Georgia Tech.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
Oklahoma State 1 0 7-0 3
Kansas State 2 1 7-0 8
LSU 3 1 8-0 1
Alabama 4 1 8-0 2
Oklahoma 5 -3 6-1 9
Clemson 6 0 8-0 5
Texas A&M 7 1 5-2 16
Stanford 8 2 7-0 6
South Carolina 9 0 6-1 13
Arkansas 10 2 6-1 10
Texas Tech 11 4 5-2 20
Texas 12 -5 4-2 24
Oregon 13 7 6-1 7
Virginia Tech 14 2 7-1 12
USC 15 4 6-1 NR
Baylor 16 -5 4-2 NR
Penn State 17 1 7-1 19
Nebraska 18 4 6-1 14
Auburn 19 -2 5-3 23
Michigan 20 1 6-1 18
Boise State 21 4 7-0 4
Georgia Tech 22 -9 6-2 NR
Wisconsin 23 -9 6-1 15
Georgia 24 4 5-2 22
Houston 25 10 7-0 17

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.