Blog Archives

NFL Predictions – Week 10

Week 9 was my worst week of the year against the spread and my best week of the year picking winners straight-up.

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 90-55-1 (61.99%)

ATS: 79-67 (54.11%) (ROI: 5.92%)

O/U: 79-63-1 (55.59%) (ROI: 8.99%)

Week 10 (6-7-1 SU, 7-7 ATS, 8-6 O/U)

Week 9 (11-3 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-7-1 O/U)

Week 8 (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS, 9-4 O/U)

Week 7 (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 10

Thursday @8:20pm

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction: Colts win 23-14

Pick: Colts +3

O/U: Under 42.5

Sunday @1pm

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Prediction: Patriots win 35-21

Pick: Patriots -11

O/U: Over 51

New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Giants win 27-24

Pick: Bengals +4

O/U: Over 48.5

San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction: Chargers win 27-26

Pick: Chargers +3

O/U: Over 48

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Prediction: Broncos win 24-23

Pick: Panthers +4.5

O/U: Under 48

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins

Prediction: Dolphins win 22-21

Pick: Titans +6

O/U: Under 44.5

Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens

Prediction: Ravens win 27-23

Pick:  Raiders +7.5

O/U: Over 46

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

Prediction: Falcons win 26-25

Pick: Saints +2.5

O/U: Under 53.5

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Lions win 28-25

Pick: Lions -2

O/U: Over 47

Sunday @4:05pm

New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks

Prediction: Seahawks win 23-22

Pick: Jets +6.5

O/U: Over 38.5

Sunday @4:25pm

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Prediction: Eagles win 26-24

Pick: Eagles -1.5

O/U: Over 45

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers win 28-16 (TIE?)

Pick: Rams +11.5

O/U: Over 38.5

Sunday @8:20pm

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears

Prediction: Bears win 26-25

Pick: Texans +1

O/U: Over 42

Monday @8:30pm

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers

Prediction: Steelers win 25-18

Pick: Chiefs +12.5

O/U: Over 43

Cheers.

NFL Predictions – Week 9

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 84-48

ATS: 72-60

O/U: 71-57-1

Week 9 (11-3 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-7-1 O/U)

Week 8 (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS, 9-4 O/U)

Week 7 (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 9

Thursday @8:25pm

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers

Prediction: Chargers win 25-19

Pick: Chiefs +8.5

O/U: Over 42.5

Sunday @1pm

Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Broncos win 24-23

Pick: Bengals +3

O/U: Over 47

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers

Prediction: Packers win 27-21

Pick: Cardinals +11

O/U: Over 44.5

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Colts win 25-21

Pick: Colts +2

O/U: Over 43 PUSH

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Prediction: Ravens 24-18

Pick: Ravens -3.5

O/U: Under 42.5

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

Prediction: Texans win 27-24

Pick: Bills +10.5

O/U: Over 47

Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins

Prediction: Redskins 27-24

Pick:  Panthers +3.5

O/U: Over 46

Detroit Lions at Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction: Lions win 28-15

Pick: Lions -4

O/U: Under 44

Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans

Prediction: Bears win 24-22

Pick: Titans +3.5

O/U: Over 43.5

Sunday @4:05pm

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks

Prediction: Vikings win 24-23

Pick: Vikings +5

O/U: Over 39.5

Sunday @4:25pm

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Oakland Raiders

Prediction: Buccaneers win 22-21

Pick: Buccaneers +1.5

O/U: Under 45

Sunday @8:30pm

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants

Prediction: Giants win 27-25

Pick: Steelers +3.5

O/U: Over 47

Sunday @8:30pm

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

Prediction: Falcons win 26-22

Pick: Cowboys +5

O/U: Over 47.5

Monday @8:40pm

Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints

Prediction: Saints win 27-26

Pick: Eagles +3.5

O/U: Over 52.5

Cheers.

NFL Rankings – 10/31/2012

StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of October 31, 2012 at 12:34pm.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team Rank Change Record ESPN TeamRankings.com SOS Points Diff
Houston 1 ↑1 6-1 1 2 17 +88
Chicago 2 ↓1 6-1 5 3 9 +85
San Francisco 3 6-2 4 5 6 +86
New England 4 ↑4 5-3 8 8 12 +92
Atlanta 5 ↑1 7-0 1 1 29 +71
Green Bay 6 ↓2 5-3 6 6 7 +38
NY Giants 7 6-2 2 4 22 +73
Minnesota 8 ↓3 5-3 11 16 5 +17
Denver 9 ↑6 4-3 9 7 28 +52
Miami 10 ↑4 4-3 12 9 15 +24
Baltimore 11 ↑1 5-2 7 10 24 +13
Seattle 12 ↓3 4-4 13 12 4 +6
Arizona 13 ↓3 4-4 16 22 1 -15
Detroit 14 ↓1 3-4 17 13 2 -13
Pittsburgh 15 ↑4 4-3 10 11 31 +23
Tampa Bay 16 ↑5 3-4 21 23 23 +31
St. Louis 17 ↓6 3-5 23 20 3 -49
Dallas 18 ↓1 3-4 14 15 16 -25
NY Jets 19 ↓1 3-5 25 17 11 -32
Indianapolis 20 ↑2 4-3 15 14 19 -35
Washington 21 ↓5 3-5 19 19 21 -14
San Diego 22 ↑1 3-4 20 28 32 +10
Buffalo 23 ↑2 3-4 28 25 13 -56
Philadelphia 24 ↓4 3-4 18 18 20 -35
Cincinnati 25 ↑1 3-4 22 26 27 -21
New Orleans 26 ↓2 2-5 26 27 14 -26
Carolina 27 ↑1 1-6 30 30 18 -39
Oakland 28 ↑3 3-4 24 21 30 -48
Tennessee 29 ↓2 3-5 27 24 8 -95
Cleveland 30 2-6 29 29 25 -32
Jacksonville 31 ↓2 1-6 31 31 10 -85
Kansas City 32 1-6 32 32 26 -89

Best

Best team in the league: Houston

Best undefeated team: Atlanta

Best 6 win team: Houston

Best 5 win team: New England

Best 4 win team: Denver

Best 3 win team: Detroit

Best 2 win team: New Orleans

Best 1 win team: Carolina

Worst

Worst 6 win team: NY Giants

Worst 5 win team: Baltimore

Worst 4 win team: Indianapolis

Worst 3 win team: Tennessee

Worst 2 win team: Cleveland

Worst 1 win team: Kansas City

Worst team in the league: Kansas City

Most

Most under-rated team: (#17) St. Louis (ESPN has them 23) and (#19) NY Jets (ESPN has them at 25)

Most over-rated team: (#24) Philadelphia (ESPN has them 18)

Cheers.

 

NFL Predictions – Week 8

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 73-45 (61.86%)

ATS: 66-52 (55.93%)

O/U: 65-50 (56.52%)

Week 8 (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS, 9-4 O/U)

Week 7 (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 8

Thursday @8:25pm

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Vikings win 25-22

Pick: Buccaneers +6.5

O/U: Over 42.5

Sunday @1pm

New England Patriots at St. Louis Rams (London)

Prediction: Patriots win 32-17

Pick: Patriots -7

O/U: Over 47

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Prediction: Titans win 21-20

Pick: Colts +3.5

O/U: Under 46.5

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers

Prediction: Packers win 29-14

Pick: Packers -13.5

O/U: Off the Board

San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns

Prediction: Chargers win 27-19

Pick: Chargers -3.5

O/U: Over 44.5

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles

Prediction: Falcons win 27-25

Pick: Falcons +2.5

O/U: Over 46.5

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions

Prediction: Lions win 28-21

Pick:  Lions -2.5

O/U: Over 43.5

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Prediction: Dolphins win 22-21

Pick: Dolphins +2.5

O/U: Over 40.5

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

Prediction: Bears win 27-24

Pick: Panthers +8

O/U: Over 43

Sunday @4:05pm

Washington Redskins at Pittsburgh Steelers

Prediction: Steelers win 24-21

Pick: Redskins +5.5

O/U: Under 47.5

Sunday @4:25pm

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction: Raiders win 24-23

Pick: Raiders +2

O/U: Over 41

Sunday @8:30pm

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Prediction: Giants win 26-24

Pick: Giants -1.5

O/U: Over 47

Sunday @8:30pm

New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos

Prediction: Saints win 33-24

Pick: Saints +6.5

O/U: Over 54.5

Monday @8:40pm

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Prediction: 49ers win 24-20

Pick: Cardinals +7.5

O/U: Over 36.5

Cheers.

NFL Predictions – Week 7

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 64-40

ATS: 57-47

O/U: 56-46

Week 7 (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 7

Thursday @8:05pm

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers win 28-20

Pick: 49ers -7.5

O/U: Over 37.5

Sunday @1pm

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills

Prediction: Bills win 23-22

Pick: Titans +3.5

O/U: Under 45.5

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Vikings win 25-23

Pick: Cardinals +5.5

O/U:  Over 40.5

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Colts win 23-17

Pick: Colts -3

O/U: Under 44.5

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans

Prediction: Ravens win 26-24

Pick: Ravens +6.5

O/U: Over 48

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams

Prediction: Packers win 30-17

Pick: Packers -5.5

O/U: Over 45

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

Prediction: Cowboys win 25-21

Pick:  Cowboys -2

O/U: Over 45.5

Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Prediction: Giants win 28-22

Pick: Redskins +6.5

O/U: Over 49.5

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction: Saints win 32-20

Pick: Saints -2.5

O/U: Over 49

Sunday @4:25pm

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Prediction: Patriots win 35-20

Pick: Patriots -10.5

O/U: Over 47

Sunday @4:25pm

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders

Prediction: Raiders win 21-16

Pick: Raiders -4

O/U: Under 43

Sunday @8:30pm

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Steelers win 24-23

Pick: Bengals +2.5

O/U: Over 46

Monday @8:40pm

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Prediction: Bears win 28-26

Pick: Lions +5.5

O/U: Over 47.5

Cheers.

NFL Predictions – Week 6

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 53-38 (58.24%)

ATS: 51-40 (56.04%)

O/U: 50-39 (56.18%)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 6

Thursday @8:25pm

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans

Prediction: Steelers win 23-20

Pick: Titans +5.5

O/U: Over 42.5

Sunday @1pm

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction: Buccaneers win 20-19

Pick: Chiefs +3.5

O/U: Under 41.5

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens

Prediction: Ravens win 25-22

Pick: Cowboys +3.5

O/U:  Over 44

St. Louis Rams at Miami Dolphins

Prediction: Dolphins win 22-16

Pick: Dolphins -3.5

O/U: Over 37.5

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons

Prediction: Falcons win 27-22

Pick: Raiders +9

O/U: Over 48.5

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

Prediction: Eagles win 28-27

Pick: Lions +5.5

O/U: Over 47.5

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Prediction: Bengals win 21-17

Pick:  Bengals -2

O/U: Under 44

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets

Prediction: Colts win 21-20

Pick: Colts +3.5

O/U: Under 42.5

Sunday @4:05pm

Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals

Prediction: Cardinals win 23-22

Pick: Bills +5.5

O/U: Over 43

Sunday @4:25pm

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

Prediction: Patriots win 32-19

Pick: Patriots -3.5

O/U: Over 44

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: Giants 26-25

Pick: Giants +5.5

O/U: Over 44.5

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins

Prediction: Vikings win 24-22

Pick: Vikings +2.5

O/U: Off the board

Sunday @8:30pm

Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans

Prediction: Packers win 29-24

Pick: Packers +5.5

O/U: Over 48

Monday @8:35pm

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers

Prediction: Chargers win 29-22

Pick: Chargers -2.5

O/U: Over 49.5

Cheers.