Ranks Teams Records 1 AUBURN 5-0 2 MISS STATE 5-0 3 OLE MISS 5-0 4 OKLAHOMA 4-1 5 ALABAMA 4-1 6 UCLA 4-1 7 TCU 4-0 8 TEXAS A&M 5-1 9 GEORGIA 4-1 10 LOUISVILLE 5-1 11 FLORIDA STATE 5-0 12 NOTRE DAME 5-0 13 ARIZONA 5-0 14 BAYLOR 5-0 15 KANSAS STATE 4-1…

Total (weeks 1-4) –  SU: 51-25-0  ATS: 38-36-2  O/U: 45-31-0  Week 1 – SU: 9-7-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0 Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0 Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0 Week 5 – SU: 14-2-0 ATS: 6-9-0  O/U: 9-6-0 Minnesota at Green…

2014 NCAA Football Standings Updated September 29, 2014   Teams records 1 AUBURN 4-0 2 ALABAMA 4-0 3 TEXAS A&M 5-0 4 OKLAHOMA 4-0 5 UCLA 4-0 6 OLE MISS 4-0 7 MISS STATE 4-0 8 BYU 4-0 9 NEBRASKA 5-0 10 OREGON 4-0 11 TCU 3-0 12 FLORIDA STATE 4-0 13 NOTRE DAME 4-0 14…

Originally posted on God plays dice: Language Log on “specificity” and “sensitivity” as (poorly chosen words for) properties of medical tests. Mark Liberman asks: why not just call them true positive rate and true negative rate. With the classic “what’s the probability that you got the disease, given that you tested positive?” problem thrown in;…

Total (weeks 1-3) –  SU: 39-22-0 ATS: 32-27-2  O/U: 36-25-0  Week 1 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 13-3-0 Week 2 – SU: 10-6-0 ATS: 10-6-0 O/U: 10-6-0 Week 3 – SU: 12-4-0 ATS: 9-6-1  O/U: 8-8-0 Week 4 – SU: 7-6-0 ATS: 5-7-1  O/U: 5-8-0 NY Giants at Washington Prediction: Washington Football Team 23-21 (55.4%) Pick: Giants…

Originally posted on God plays dice: Here’s a explanation by Nate Silver of how his Senate prediction model works. 10,000 words, and denser than the typical FiveThirtyEight post, but it’s food for thought if you’ve been curious about what’s going on under the hood of FiveThirtyEight’s flagship product. Make sure to click through to the…

  In the graphic below (from this article), the orange represent Scotland and the gray represents the United Kingdom.  So in the result bar this make sense: 55% voted for Scotland to be independent and 45% voted to stay in the United Kingdom. For population and GDP, I think this also makes sense.  For instance,…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: This fall, the Westgate Las Vegas Hotel Casino is hosting the prestigious SuperContest, in which entrants pony up $1500 to pick 5 games a week against the spread. At season’s end, standings are judged by which entrants have the highest number of correctly picked games. Last year’s winner was David Frohardt-Lane, who took…

Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: Wednesday marks the six-month anniversary of Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight launch with ESPN. As the site mixes statistics, sports, data visualization, and academic research, it’s been a must-read on nearly a daily basis for me. Here’s my unsolicited and slightly ambiguous view of where things stand: It’s really, really hard to do what…