RIPPEN for week 14

Rank Player Team RIPPEN QB_Rating 1 Robert Griffin III WAS 36.11 102.4 2 Colin Kaepernick SF 35.34 100.2 3 Peyton Manning DEN 29.32 95.8 4 Cam Newton CAR 26.71 110.1 5 Brandon Weeden CLE 25.67 79.4 6 Nick Foles PHI 25.26 98.6 7 Jason Campbell CHI 25.14 124.3 8 Joe Flacco BAL 23.92 121.4 9 Matt Ryan ATL 23.69 94.1 10 Russell Wilson SEA 21.77 88.0 11 Tom Brady NE 21.59 125.4 12 Aaron Rodgers GB 20.23 80.7 13 Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 18.01 93.9 14 Matt Schaub HOU 17.00 68.8 15 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 16.04 87.9 16 Matthew Stafford DET 15.72 74.7 17 Tony Romo DAL 15.22 74.6 18 Eli Manning NYG 14.67 99.6 19 Jake Locker TEN 13.50 71.4 20 Drew Brees NO 12.37 75.1 21 Mark Sanchez NYJ 11.70 79.1 22 Andy Dalton CIN 11.14 76.1 23 Carson Palmer OAK 10.49 101.1 24 Brady Quinn KC 9.06 53.5 25 Jay Cutler CHI 9.00 57.0 26 Sam Bradford STL 8.80 62.9 27 Philip Rivers SD 8.74 89.5 28 Josh Freeman TB 7.64 79.2 29 Ryan Tannehill MIA 6.70 74.1 30 Christian Ponder MIN 6.65 53.8 31 Andrew Luck IND 5.87 50.6 32 Chad Henne JAX 4.02 41.3 33 Ryan Lindley ARI 3.08 55.8 34 John Skelton ARI 0.34 18.2

RIPPEN for the year

Rank Player Team RIPPEN QB_Rating 1 Robert Griffin III WAS 24.3 104.2 2 Tom Brady NE 24.0 104.2 3 Peyton Manning DEN 22.9 104.0 4 Alex Smith SF 22.5 104.1 5 Aaron Rodgers GB 22.4 103.7 6 Colin Kaepernick SF 21.9 97.5 7 Matt Ryan ATL 20.9 94.8 8 Matt Schaub HOU 20.8 92.7 9 Cam Newton CAR 20.2 88.0 10 Tony Romo DAL 19.4 88.5 11 Russell Wilson SEA 19.3 94.9 12 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 19.0 98.6 13 Joe Flacco BAL 18.1 87.1 14 Drew Brees NO 17.7 90.8 15 Josh Freeman TB 17.6 91.1 16 Matthew Stafford DET 16.7 82.4 17 Eli Manning NYG 16.6 86.4 18 Sam Bradford STL 15.7 81.9 19 Nick Foles PHI 15.5 80.3 20 Andrew Luck IND 14.8 74.5 21 Ryan Tannehill MIA 14.8 72.5 22 Jake Locker TEN 14.3 76.2 23 Michael Vick PHI 13.9 79.2 24 Jay Cutler CHI 13.8 80.9 25 Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 13.5 85.8 26 Philip Rivers SD 13.4 85.5 27 Brandon Weeden CLE 13.3 72.8 28 Andy Dalton CIN 13.0 90.3 29 Christian Ponder MIN 12.3 78.3 30 Mark Sanchez NYJ 11.3 71.8 31 Matt Cassel KC 10.9 66.7 32 Carson Palmer OAK 10.7 85.3 33 Brady Quinn KC 10.5 67.5 34 Kevin Kolb ARI 9.8 86.1 35 Blaine Gabbert JAX 9.6 77.4 36 Chad Henne JAX 8.0 76.2 37 Matt Hasselbeck TEN 7.6 81.0 38 Jason Campbell CHI 7.3 72.8 39 Charlie Batch PIT 6.6 64.9 40 John Skelton ARI 6.5 55.4 41 Byron Leftwich PIT 6.5 54.9 42 Ryan Lindley ARI 3.3 42.6

Rank Team Record Strength 1 MICHIGAN 9-0 77.85 2 DUKE 9-0 77.34 3 INDIANA 9-0 76.8 4 ILLINOIS 10-0 76.56 5 MINNESOTA 10-1 75.63 6 SYRACUSE 8-0 75.33 7 LOUISVILLE 8-1 75.04 8 KANSAS 7-1 74.46 9 PITTSBURGH 9-1 74.44 10 ARIZONA 7-0 73.89 11 FLORIDA 7-0 73.82 12 OHIO STATE 6-1 73.18 13 CREIGHTON 9-1 73.14 14 CINCINNATI 9-0 73.03 15 NEW MEXICO 10-0 72.75 16 WICHITA STATE 9-0 72.19 17 VIRGINIA TECH 8-1 72.02 18 MIAMI-FLORIDA 5-1 71.69 19 GONZAGA 9-1 71.66 20 MICHIGAN STATE 8-2 71.58 21 NOTRE DAME 8-1 71.57 22 OKLAHOMA STATE 7-1 71.25 23 WYOMING 10-0 71.24 24 GEORGETOWN 8-1 70.88 25 NORTH CAROLINA 7-2 70.72

Full Rankings

 

 

StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of December 6, 2012 at 12:34pm.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team	Rank	Change	Record	Projected Record	ESPN	TeamRankings.com	SOS	Prob Make Playoffs
New England	1	–	10-3	12-4		1	17	100%
San Francisco	2	↑1	9-3-1	11-4-1		4	4	96.85%
Houston	3	↓1	11-2	13-3		3	21	100%
Denver	4	↑1	10-3	12-4		2	29	100%
Green Bay	5	↑1	9-4	11-5		5	7	100%
NY Giants	6	↑3	8-5	10-6		7	16	86.86%
Seattle	7	↑3	8-5	10-6		6	5	56.63%
Atlanta	8	↓4	11-2	13-3		11	31	100%
Chicago	9	↓2	8-5	10-6		15	9	72.95%
Baltimore	10	↓2	9-4	10-6		12	22	96.65%
Minnesota	11	↑3	7-6	8-8		17	6	10.04%
Washington	12	↑4	7-6	9-7		9	18	43.38%
St. Louis	13	↑2	6-6-1	8-7-1		10	2	3.19%
Dallas	14	↑3	7-6	9-7		13	14	33.59%
Cincinnati	15	↓3	7-6	9-7		16	30	43.47%
Tampa Bay	16	↓3	6-7	7-9		23	26	0.49%
Indianapolis	17	↑1	9-4	10-6		8	24	96.43%
Pittsburgh	18	↓7	7-6	8-8		18	27	41.22%
NY Jets	19	↑1	6-7	8-8		14	8	20.77%
Detroit	20	↑1	4-9	5-11		26	3	0.0%
New Orleans	21	↓2	5-8	6-10		21	19	0.0%
Miami	22	–	5-8	6-10		19	11	0.56%
Buffalo	23	–	5-8	6-10		22	15	0.77%
San Diego	24	↑1	5-8	7-9		25	32	0.0%
Carolina	25	↑2	4-9	6-10		24	20	0.0%
Cleveland	26	–	5-8	6-10		20	23	0.13%
Arizona	27	↓3	4-9	5-11		29	1	0.0%
Tennessee	28	–	4-9	5-11		27	12	0.0%
Philadelphia	29	–	4-9	5-11		28	13	0.0%
Jacksonville	30	–	2-11	3-13		30	10	0.0%
Oakland	31	–	3-10	4-12		32	28	0.0%
Kansas City	32	–	2-11	3-13		31	25	0.0%

Biggest Movers

Up

4 Spots: Washington

3 Spots: NY Giants, Seattle, Minnesota, Dallas,

2 Spots: St. Louis, Carolina

Down

7 Spots: Pittsburgh

4 Spots: Atlanta

3 Spots: Cincinnati, Tampa Bay, Arizona

2 Spots: Chicago, Baltimore, New Orleans

Playoff Predictions

AFC seeds(Projected Record)

1. Houston (13-3)
2. New England (12-4)
3. Denver (12-4)
4. Baltimore (10-6)
5. Indianapolis (10-6)
6. Cincinnati (9-7)

NFC seeds (Projected Record)

1. Atlanta (13-3)
2. San Francisco (11-4-1) 
   
3. Green Bay (11-5)
4. NY Giants (10-6)
5. Chicago (10-6)
6. Seattle (9-7)

Playoff Games

Wild-Card Round

AFC: Denver beat Cincinnati; Baltimore beats Indianapolis

NFC: Green Bay beats Seattle; NY Giants beat Chicago

Divisional Round

AFC: Houston beats Baltimore; New England beats Denver

NFC: NY Giants beat Atlanta; San Francisco beats Green Bay

Conference Championship

AFC: New England beats Houston

NFC: San Francisco beats NY Giants

Super Bowl

New England beats San Francisco

Cheers.

 

Here are some NFL play-off probability plots from R that have been spruced up quite a bit thanks to a friend who dabbles in the visual arts.

Miami’s week 9 loss to the colts was very costly.  Of course the Dolphins didn’t help themselves very much with a week 10 loss to the Titans 37-3.  Their season basically went down the toilet in those two weeks.

No one has had a more up and down season than the Bengals.  They lost their first game, won three in a row, lost 4 in a row, and are currently in the midst of a 4 game winning streak.

The Texans’ playoff hopes have never really been in doubt thanks to their very fast start to the season.  The question here is can the Colts get in with the Texans.

In week 8 San Diego lost to Cleveland 7-6.  Not good.  Denver, on the other hand, has not stopped winning.

The Eagles were 3-1.  Then they decided to stop winning.

It’s pretty clear unless something crazy happens that the NFC north is getting 2 play-off teams.  At one point during the season it seemed possible they might get three teams, but Minnesota has taken a nose dive.

Falcons have been in control from the first day of the season in this division.

Wondering what an 8 game losing streak would like like in one of these graphs?  Look no further than Arizona.
Everyone is talking about Luck and RGIII this year, but don’t sleep on Russell Wilson.  San Francisco’s dip in week 6 was a lost to the New York Giants, which moved San Francisco close to Seattle.  Then in week 7 San Francisco beat Seattle to create quite a bit of separation.

Cheers.

Week 13

Rank Player Team RIPPEN QB_Rating 1 Brady Quinn KC 38.22 132.1 2 Tony Romo DAL 33.99 150.5 3 Aaron Rodgers GB 31.44 98.0 4 Eli Manning NYG 30.32 98.0 5 Brandon Weeden CLE 26.48 88.2 6 Nick Foles PHI 26.31 96.6 7 Jay Cutler CHI 24.78 119.6 8 Russell Wilson SEA 24.45 104.9 9 Robert Griffin III WAS 24.33 101.9 10 Cam Newton CAR 23.01 121.2 11 Sam Bradford STL 17.13 81.2 12 Charlie Batch PIT 16.90 89.6 13 Matthew Stafford DET 16.25 84.8 14 Ryan Tannehill MIA 15.77 66.2 15 Matt Schaub HOU 15.15 95.8 16 Tom Brady NE 14.97 74.8 17 Peyton Manning DEN 14.36 103.2 18 Andrew Luck IND 13.12 70.8 19 Josh Freeman TB 11.34 72.8 20 Jake Locker TEN 10.82 49.2 21 Joe Flacco BAL 10.30 61.9 22 Matt Ryan ATL 10.15 78.5 23 Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 9.94 88.4 24 Philip Rivers SD 9.66 62.8 25 Colin Kaepernick SF 9.27 83.9 26 Carson Palmer OAK 8.96 86.3 27 Drew Brees NO 8.54 37.6 28 Andy Dalton CIN 5.27 66.9 29 Chad Henne JAX 5.22 57.8 30 Christian Ponder MIN 4.01 41.9 31 Mark Sanchez NYJ 1.78 21.4 32 Ryan Lindley ARI 0.47 28.0

 

 Season

Rank Player Team RIPPEN QB_Rating 1 Tom Brady NE 24.4 102.6 2 Robert Griffin III WAS 23.3 104.4 3 Peyton Manning DEN 23.1 104.0 4 Aaron Rodgers GB 22.3 105.0 5 Alex Smith SF 22.2 104.1 6 Matt Ryan ATL 20.8 94.9 7 Matt Schaub HOU 20.5 94.5 8 Tony Romo DAL 20.0 89.7 9 Cam Newton CAR 19.6 85.8 10 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 19.4 100.0 11 Colin Kaepernick SF 19.3 96.7 12 Russell Wilson SEA 18.8 95.2 13 Drew Brees NO 18.6 92.1 14 Josh Freeman TB 18.3 92.1 15 Joe Flacco BAL 17.4 85.0 16 Matthew Stafford DET 16.8 83.1 17 Sam Bradford STL 16.6 83.8 18 Eli Manning NYG 16.5 85.3 19 Andrew Luck IND 16.1 76.1 20 Ryan Tannehill MIA 15.6 72.3 21 Jay Cutler CHI 14.8 84.3 22 Jake Locker TEN 14.6 77.0 23 Philip Rivers SD 14.5 85.1 24 Michael Vick PHI 13.9 79.2 25 Andy Dalton CIN 13.4 91.5 26 Ryan Fitzpatrick BUF 12.9 85.1 27 Christian Ponder MIN 12.5 79.4 28 Brandon Weeden CLE 12.4 72.3 29 Nick Foles PHI 11.4 73.3 30 Brady Quinn KC 11.4 70.3 31 Mark Sanchez NYJ 11.1 71.4 32 Chad Henne JAX 10.7 87.0 33 Carson Palmer OAK 10.7 85.3 34 Matt Cassel KC 10.7 66.7 35 Blaine Gabbert JAX 9.9 77.4 36 Kevin Kolb ARI 9.1 86.1 37 John Skelton ARI 8.8 64.4 38 Matt Hasselbeck TEN 7.6 81.0 39 Charlie Batch PIT 6.5 64.9 40 Byron Leftwich PIT 6.5 54.9 41 Jason Campbell WAS 3.8 61.7 42 Ryan Lindley ARI 3.3 40.4

Overall Records for 2012

SU: 130-77-1 (62.74% )

ATS: 115-92-1 (55.53%, +18.4 units, 17.04% ROI)

O/U: 107-96-2 (52.68%, +6.2 units, 3.02% ROI)

Week 14 (10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS, 5-11 O/U)

Week 13 (9-7 SU, 10-6 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 12 (9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS, 10-6 O/U)

Week 11 (12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS, 5-8-1 O/U)

Week 10 (6-7-1 SU, 7-7 ATS, 8-6 O/U)

Week 9 (11-3 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-7-1 O/U)

Week 8 (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS, 9-4 O/U)

Week 7 (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 6 (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U)

Week 5 (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U)

Week 4 (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS, 12-2 O/U)

Week 3 (5-11 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U)

Week 2 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 1 (11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-8 O/U)

Week 12

Thursday @8:20pm

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

Prediction: Broncos win 27-22

Pick: Raiders +10.5

O/U: Over 48

Sunday @1pm

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers

Prediction: Falcons win 26-21

Pick: Falcons -3.5

O/U: Under 47.5

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Prediction: Vikings win 25-24

Pick: Vikings +3.5

O/U: Over 39.5

Baltimore Ravens at Washington Redskins

Prediction: Redskins win 26-24

Pick: Redskins -0.5

O/U: Over 47.5

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction: Buccaneers win 27-24

Pick: Eagles +7.5

O/U: Over 47

San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers

Prediction: Steelers win 23-22

Pick: Chargers +7.5

O/U: Over 39.5

Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals

Prediction: Bengals win 25-23

Pick: Cowboys +3.5

O/U: Over 46

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Colts win 28-20

Pick: Colts -5.5

O/U: Under 48

New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction: Jets win 21-18

Pick: Jets -2.5

O/U: Over 38.5

St. Louis Rams at Buffalo Bills

Prediction: Bills win 26-20

Pick:  Bills -3

O/U: Over 42

Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns

Prediction: Browns win 21-18

Pick: Chiefs +5.5

O/U: Over 37.5

Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers

Prediction: 49ers win 27-19

Pick: Dolphins +10.5

O/U: Over 39

Sunday @4:05pm

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

Prediction: Saints win 27-25

Pick: Saints +6.5

O/U: Under 53

Sunday @4:25pm

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Prediction: Seahawks win 23-17

Pick:  Cardinals +10.5

O/U: Over 34.5

Sunday @8:20pm

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

Prediction: Packers win 29-26

Pick: Lions +6.5

O/U: Over 51.5

Monday @8:30pm

Houston Texans at New England Patriots

Prediction: Patriots win 35-24

Pick: Patriots -4.5

O/U: Over 52

Cheers.

StatsInTheWild NFL rankings as of December 6, 2012 at 12:34pm.  SOS=strength of schedule

Team	Rank	Change	Record	Projected Record	ESPN	TeamRankings.com	SOS	Prob Make Playoffs
New England	1	↑1	9-3	12-4	3	1	15	100%
Houston	2	↓1	11-1	14-2	1	2	20	100%
San Francisco	3	–	8-3-1	11-3-1	4	5	5	95.31%
Atlanta	4	↑1	11-1	14-2	2	4	32	100%
Denver	5	↑1	9-3	12-4	5	3	28	100%
Green Bay	6	↑3	8-4	11-5	7	6	7	94.24%
Chicago	7	↓3	8-4	11-5	8	13	13	93.45%
Baltimore	8	↓1	9-3	11-5	6	7	22	98.30%
NY Giants	9	↓1	7-5	9-7	10	12	18	82.32%
Seattle	10	–	7-5	9-7	12	9	6	49.79%
Pittsburgh	11	↑3	7-5	9-7	13	10	29	61.99%
Cincinnati	12	↑2	7-5	9-7	11	11	30	55.94%
Tampa Bay	13	↓2	6-6	8-8	15	17	26	13.46%
Minnesota	14	↓2	6-6	8-8	17	23	4	7.84%
St. Louis	15	↑4	5-6-1	7-8-1	19	15	2	3.72%
Washington	16	↓1	6-6	8-8	14	14	21	32.78%
Dallas	17	↓1	6-6	8-8	16	22	14	25.74%
Indianapolis	18	–	8-4	10-6	9	8	23	72.35%
New Orleans	19	↓2	5-7	7-9	18	18	19	1.35%
NY Jets	20	↑2	5-7	7-9	22	16	10	6.96%
Detroit	21	↓1	4-8	5-11	21	24	3	0.02%
Miami	22	↓1	5-7	7-9	20	19	12	1.63%
Buffalo	23	↑3	5-7	7-9	23	20	16	2.84%
Arizona	24	↓1	4-8	5-11	27	27	1	0.0%
San Diego	25	↓1	4-8	6-10	25	26	31	0.0%
Cleveland	26	↑2	4-8	6-10	24	21	24	0.05%
Carolina	27	↓2	3-9	4-12	28	28	17	0.0%
Tennessee	28	↓1	4-8	6-10	26	25	9	0.0%
Philadelphia	29	↑1	3-9	4-12	30	32	11	0.0%
Jacksonville	30	↓1	2-10	3-13	32	29	8	0.0%
Oakland	31	–	3-9	4-12	29	30	27	0.0%
Kansas City	32	–	2-10	3-13	31	31	25	0.0%

Biggest Movers

Up

4 Spots: St. Louis (defeated San Francisco 16-13 OT)

3 Spots: Green Bay (defeated Minnesota 23-14), Pittsburgh (defeated Baltimore 23-20), Buffalo (defeated Jacksonville 34-18)

2 Spots: Cincinnati (defeated San Diego 20-13), NY Jets (defeated Arizona 7-6), Cleveland (defeated Oakland 20-17)

Down

3 Spots: Chicago (lost to Seattle 23-17 OT)

2 Spots: Tampa Bay (lost to Denver 31-23), Minnesota (lost to Green Bay 23-14), New Orleans (lost to Atlanta 23-13), Carolina (lost to Kansas City 27-21)

Playoff Predictions

AFC seeds(Projected Record)

1. Houston (14-2)
2. Denver (12-4)
3. New England (12-4)
4. Baltimore (11-5)
5. Indianapolis (10-6)
6. Pittsburgh (9-7)

NFC seeds (Projected Record)

1. Atlanta (14-2)
2. San Francisco (11-4-1) 
   
3. Green Bay (11-5)
4. NY Giants (9-7)
5. Chicago (11-5)
6. Seattle (9-7)

Playoff Games

Wild-Card Round

AFC: New England beats Pittsburgh; Baltimore beats Indianapolis

NFC: Green Bay beats Seattle; Chicago beat NY Giants

Divisional Round

AFC: Houston beats Baltimore; New England beats Denver

NFC: Atlanta beats Chicago; San Francisco beats Green Bay

Conference Championship

AFC: New England beats Denver

NFC: San Francisco beats Atlanta

Super Bowl

New England beats San Francisco

Cheers.

 

From here:

Message to Congress: science isn’t easy, and autism is complicated.  Don’t criticize science when it doesn’t give you the answer you thought you knew.  That’s not how science works.  Thousands of scientists are now trying to identify the causes of autism, and they’ve made progress, especially on the genetic front.  The answer might not be simple, but we will find it.