Category: Uncategorized
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Originally posted on Causal Sports Fan: There’s a new paper out this month by Casey Ichniowski and Anne Preston concerning the NCAA tournament and the NBA draft (thanks to my PhD buddies Chris and Felipe for passing it along). Their argument is that unexpectedly strong tournament performance (especially team performance) causes players to be selected…
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Originally posted on Lone Star Stats: While watching the ending to the Texas/Cincinnati NCAA tournament game, it felt like deja vu. Because it was. In other big games this season, Texas’ deficit followed a similar course. This is game-flow data (moving left to right) compared to the advantage/deficit in points at a particular time during…
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Originally posted on God plays dice: A classical problem in probability, which I learned about from Freedman, Pisani, and Purves’ book Statistics (pp. 238-240 in the fourth edition) is that of Galileo’s dice. Galileo was asked why, when rolling three fair dice, a sum of ten occurs more often than a sum of nine; he…
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Better than Brute Force: Big Data Analytics Tips Cheers.
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I received an email this morning from a friend: “Is there any sort of a statistical breakdown for which are the best numbers to have in a Super Bowl squares pool (for entertainment purposes only)?” Now, if my friend were going to use this information to gamble, it would be highly unethical. However, since he clearly stated…
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A quote from here: “Goldberger (1991) notes that while the number of pages in econometrics texts devoted to the problem of multi-collinearity in multiple regression is large the same books have little to say about sample size. Goldberger states: “Perhaps that imbalance is attributable to the lack of an exotic polysyllabic name for ‘small sample…
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Rankings updated as of 1/1/2012; Records updated as of 1/1/2012; CHFF rankings as of 12/28/2011 AFC NFC Playoff team Division Champ Eliminated from Playoffs Team Rank Change Record CHFF Rank New England 1 – 13-3 3 Pittsburgh 2 ↑ 12-4 1 Green Bay 3 ↓ 15-1 6 Baltimore 4 – 12-4 5 Atlanta 5 – 10-6…
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I was reading the newest issue of Significance Magazine last night, and I came across this quote in a letter that someone had written to the magazine: The emphasis given to formal tests of significance throughout [R.A. Fisher’s] Statistical Methods…has caused scientific research workers to pay undue attention to the results of the tests of significance…
