Stats in the Wild

recent posts

about

Category: Uncategorized

  • Sending data from client to server and back using shiny

    Originally posted on "R" you ready?: After some time of using shiny I got to the point where I needed to send some arbitrary data from the client to the server, process it with R and return some other data to the client. As a client/server programming newbie this was a challenge for me as…

  • Week 11 NFL Playoff Probabilities

    So, big moves in the NFC- Carolina’s win was huge, as they’re in the driver’s seat now. The NFC East and North are where the races are in the Senior Circuit (that’s a thing in football, right?) In the NFC North, the Lions and Packers took a page right out of the AFC second WC…

  • Here’s the real reason that officials in the Panthers Patriots game picked up the flag

    Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: What do the following plays have in common? The interference that wasn’t, 2013 regular season, Patriots vs. Panthers Obstruction, Game 3 of the 2013 World Series, Red Sox vs. Cardinals Pushgate, 2013 regular season, Patriots vs. Jets Replacement Refs debacle, 2012 regular season, Packers vs. Seahawks Hand of Frog, 2009 World…

  • StatsInTheWild NCAA Football Top 25

        Rank Team Record 1 STANFORD 8-1 2 ARIZONA STATE 7-2 3 MISSOURI 9-1 4 FLORIDA STATE 9-0 5 OREGON 8-1 6 ALABAMA 9-0 7 BYU 6-3 8 SO CAROLINA 7-2 9 GEORGIA 6-3 10 MICHIGAN STATE 8-1 11 OHIO STATE 9-0 12 AUBURN 9-1 13 GEORGIA TECH 6-4 14 CLEMSON 9-1 15 VIRGINIA…

  • Week 10 NFL Probabilities

    Well, that was an interesting week. The Cowboys loss to the Saints paired with the Eagles win over the Packers shook up the playoff races a bit. The Cowboys and Eagles are now almost tied in playoff probability, while the Packers now are behind the Lions. Meanwhile, the Saints win keeps them ahead of the…

  • Week 9 NFL Playoff Probabilities

    So the Browns beating the Ravens flipped them behind the Browns, but the big moves came in the AFC East where the saw-tooth Jets have almost caught up with Dolphins (the Dolphins, by dint of the remaining schedule, hold the edge, despite trailing by a half-game… I think half-games are a thing in football. I…

  • An analytic look at the 2013-2014 NBA season

    Originally posted on StatsbyLopez: The 2013-2014 NBA season is here. Is your team ready to outperform its expectation? In this post, I aggregated several statistical or simulation-based predictions of each team’s regular season wins. The prediction sites or methods used included Team Rankings, Schoene (ESPN), Prediction Machine, and Box Score Geeks, and I compared these predictions against…

  • College Football and Money

    How can this be a serious statement? Iowa State football coach Paul Rhoads received about $2 million, which included a performance bonus for taking his 6-7 team to the AutoZone Liberty Bowl and additional retention pay. http://collegefootball.ap.org/article/coaches-academics-top-list-state-salaries He got a bonus for going 6-7! Cheers.

  • Against the Spread Woes: Part 2

    This post was written jointly by Michael Lopez (@StatsByLopez) and Gregory J. Matthews (@StatsInTheWild). In last week’s post, we showed that several of the larger statistically-inclined websites which offer NFL picks have  had a rough go of it to start the season, at least as far as their picks against the spread. More surprisingly, these…

  • Week 8 NFL Playoff Probabilities

    Unless something nutty happens in the next eight weeks, we’re looking at exactly the NFC North and MAYBE if Carolina puts together some big games (that’s with games against the Saints and Pats, who both are in but are also tough teams…). But wait!  Count those AFC teams that are hovering near 1.00 and you…