Category Archives: Sports

SITW Super Bowl Odds

As of 2:22pm on 12/18/2011.

Team SITW Odds WSEX.com Odds
 Green Bay 4-1 1.5-1
 New England  5-1 4.5-1
 Pittsburgh  7-1  11-1
 Baltimore  8-1  8-1
 New Orleans  9-1  6.5-1
 Atlanta  15-1  30-1
 Houston  22-1 16-1
 NY Jets  23-1 35-1
 San Francisco  24-1 18-1
 NY Giants  45-1 30-1
 Detroit  45-1 66-1
 Dallas  70-1 45-1
 Chicago  70-1 200-1
 Oakland  160-1 100-1
Denver  160-1 30-1
Cincinnati 500-1  250-1

Cheers.

NFL Playoff Projections After Week 14

Seed AFC NFC
1 New England Green Bay
2 Pittsburgh New Orleans
3 Houston San Francisco
4 Denver NY Giants
5 Baltimore Atlanta
 6 NY Jets Detroit

Cheers.

StatsInTheWild picks all 35 bowl games

I’ve picked all 35 bowl games based on my rankings.  I’ll post my running record as the games are played.  (Also, check out my final regular season rankings here.)

And which games am I looking forward to this year?  My number one pick for bowl entertainment is the Fight Hunger bowl.  This monstrosity of a “bowl game” will feature a UCLA team with a losing record who had to petition the NCAA to even be allowed to play in a bowl game and an Illinois team on a 6 game losing streak.  These are the kind of match-ups that I live for.

Record: 21-14
=Correct Pick; =Incorrect Pick

Bowl Predicted Winner Outcome
New Mexico Wyoming
Famous Idaho Potato Ohio
New Orleans San Diego State
St.Petersburg Marshall
Poinsetta TCU
Las Vegas Boise State
Hawaii Southern Miss ✓ 
Independence Missouri
Little Caesars Purdue  
Belk Louisville ✗ 
Military  Toledo ✓ 
Holiday Texas  
Champs Sports Notre Dame ✗ 
Alamo Baylor
Armed Forces Tulsa
Pinstripe Iowa State
Music City Miss State
Insight Oklahoma ✓ 
Texas Texas A&M
Sun Georgia Tech ✗ 
Liberty Cincy
Fight Hunger UCLA ✗  
Chick-fil-A Auburn  
Ticketcity Houston
Outback Georgia ✗ 
Capital One South Carolina ✓ 
Gator Florida ✓ 
Rose Oregon ✓  
Fiesta Oklahoma State ✓   
Sugar Virginia Tech ✗ 
Orange Clemson   
Cotton Kansas State
Compass  SMU ✓   
Godaddy.com Arkansas State ✗ 
BCS Championship LSU ✗ 

Cheers.

NFL Rankings After Week 14

No changes at the top.

 Team Rank – After Week 14
Green Bay 1
New England 2
Pittsburgh 3
Baltimore 4
 Atlanta 5
 NY Jets 6
New Orleans 7
Chicago 8
NY Giants 9
Detroit 10
San Francisco  11
Philadelphia 12
TampaBay 13
Houston 14
San Diego 15
Oakland 16
Kansas City 17
Miami 18
Tennessee 19
Cincinnati 20
Seattle 21
Dallas 22
Denver 23
Buffalo 24
Cleveland 25
Jacksonville 26
Minnesota 27
Indianapolis 28
Arizona 29
Washington  30
St Louis  31
Carolina  32

Cheers.

An arbitrary ranking of NCAA college basketball teams – 12/11/2011

Rankings as of noon on 12/11/2011 .

 Team Rank Change Record AP (12/12/11)
Indiana 1 0 9-0 18
Illinois 2 0 10-0 19
Syracuse 3 0 10-0 1
Minnesota 4 0 10-1
Marquette 5 0 9-0 11
Northwestern 6 0 7-1  40
Ohio State 7 0 8-1 2
Missouri 8 0 9-0 10
Duke 9 0 9-1 7
Louisville 10 0 9-0 4
Baylor 11 0 7-0 6
Northern Iowa 12 0 9-1 35
Purdue 13 0 9-2
Michigan State 14 0 8-2 21
Wisconsin 15 0 8-2 14
Pittsburgh 16 0 9-1 15
Seton Hall 17 0 8-1
Kansas 18 0 7-2 12
Xavier 19 0 8-0 8
San Diego State 20 0 9-2 28
Connecticut 21 0 8-1 9
Oklahoma 22 0 7-1
Ole Miss 23 0 8-1
Michigan 24 0 7-2 20
Saint Louis 25 0 9-1 32

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 12/4/2011

Rankings as of 12/04/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

The BCS explained:  It used to be that a national champion in college football was determined solely by human polls.  However, human polls are suspect because you are asking each voter to process the results of hundreds of college football games from teams all across the country and form a well thought out, reasoned ranking of the top 25 teams, which is clearly impossible; It’s too much data for a human to handle.  That’s why the BCS introduced the computer rankings which could, without personal bias, crunch the numbers and produce a ranking taking all games into account equally.  The computer rankings, on the average, do a very reasonable job of ranking the teams.   Ultimately, however, the non-human polls, a computational exercise in futility, are simply ignored, as they are overwhelmed by the human polls, and the BCS gets what it wants while it hides behind the computer polls to offer a whiff of legitimacy to the absolute garbage it spews out.

BCS Bowl Team

ACC Big East Big Ten Big 12 Pac 12 SEC Other

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 13-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 11-1 3
Kansas State 3 ↑↑ 10-2 8
Alabama 4 11-1
Oklahoma 5 ↓↓ 9-3 14 
Baylor 6 9-3 12
Stanford 7 11-1 4
Oregon 8 ↑↑↑ 11-2 5
Arkansas 9 10-2 6
South Carolina 10 10-2 9
USC 11 10-2
Georgia 12 10-3 16
Virginia Tech 13 11-2 11
Boise State 14 ↑↑↑ 11-1 7
Michigan 15 10-2 13
Wisconsin 16 ↑↑ 11-2 10
Texas 17 ↓↓↓ 7-5 24
Clemson 18 ↑↑↑↑ 10-3 15
Nebraska 19 9-3 20
Houston 20 ↓↓↓↓↓ 12-1 19
Missouri 21 7-5
TCU 22 ↑↑↑↑↑ 10-2 18
Michigan State 23 ↓↓↓ 10-3 17
Penn State 24 9-3 22
Texas A&M 25 6-6

And finally, representing the Big East/Big Least: West Virginia

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

One More Arbitrary NCAA Football Ranking Scheme for the BCS – 11/27/2011

Rankings as of 11/27/2011.  Previous weeks rankings here.

Some people were not thrilled about my rankings last week when I still had Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  For example, one guy critically criticized me by saying: “I’m impressed! You spell very well and your paragraph structure is spot in. That us amazing since it is apparent that you are fucking retarded.”  He will be happy to know that I now have LSU ranked number 1.

 Team Rank Change Record BCS Rank
LSU 1 1 12-0 1
Oklahoma State 2 -1 10-1
Oklahoma 3 1 9-2
Alabama 4 1 11-1
Kansas State 5 -2 9-2
Stanford 6 3 11-1
Baylor 7 0 8-3
Arkansas 8 -2 10-2
South Carolina 9 1 10-2
USC 10 2 10-2
Oregon 11 0 10-2
Georgia 12 2 10-2
Virginia Tech 13 -5 11-1
Texas 14 -1 7-4
Houston 15 0 12-0
Michigan 16 2 10-2
Boise State 17 4 10-1
Nebraska 18 5 9-3
Wisconsin 19 10-2
Michigan State 20 4 10-2
Missouri 21 1 7-5
Clemson 22 -6 9-3
Iowa State 23 -6 6-5
Texas A&M 24 -4 6-6
Penn State 25 -6 9-3

BCS: My offer still stands…….if you want to contact me you can send me a tweet @StatsInTheWild.

Cheers.

NFL Rankings After Week 11

 

 Team Rank – After Week 11
Green Bay  1
New England 2
Pittsburgh 3
Baltimore 4
 Atlanta 5
 NY Jets 6
 Chicago  7
New Orleans 8
Tampa Bay 9
NY Giants 10
Philadelphia  11
Detroit 12
San Diego 13
San Francisco 14
Kansas City 15
Oakland 16
Cincinnati 17
Tennessee 18
Buffalo 19
Dallas 20
Houston 21
Seattle 22
Miami 23
Jacksonville 24
Minnesota 25
Indianapolis 26
Cleveland 27
Washington 28
Denver 29
St. Louis  30
Arizona  31
Carolina  32

Cheers.

NFL Playoff Projections After Week 11

Seed AFC NFC
1 Pittsburgh Green Bay
2 New England San Francisco
3 Houston New Orleans
4 Oakland NY Giants
5 Cincinnati Chicago
 6 Baltimore Dallas

Cheers.

Defending my rankings

Ok.  So I’m not sure I can defend my rankings, but I am going to try.  Even after losing to Iowa State, I still have Oklahoma State ranked number 1.  Let me try to explain what I think it going on.

The Big 12 won a lot of their non-conference games at the beginning of the season, so I’ve had them ranked as the best conference for most of the way.  What this means is that since most of the teams are ranked so high in the Big 12, that a loss to one of those really good teams doesn’t hurt that much

Ok State won it’s first three games easily over Louisiana-Lafayette, Arizona, and Tulsa.  Then they had to play 9 straight conference games in the toughest conference in the country.  Their only real weak game in conference play is Kansas.  They’ve beat Texas A&M, Texas, Kansas State, Missouri, Texas Tech, and Baylor before falling to Iowa State.  That’s impressive.  According to my rankings, all 6 of these teams are top 25.  And their one loss is to a team that I had ranked at 22 before they beat Ok State (I have Iowa State at 17 now).  They also beat Tulsa, who I have ranked 29th.

LSU’s conference wins are against Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Alabama.  (Georgia and South Carolina are noticeably absent from LSU’s schedule.)  The first 6 teams have a combined record of 29-38.  Then they have that big win over Alabama.

Their non-conference games were against Oregon, West Virginia, Northwestern State, and Western Kentucky.  The Oregon win is impressive, but the other three games are jokes.  West Virginia is currently third in the Big “We still really get an automatic BCS berth?” East, and LSU shouldn’t even be allowed to schedule games against Northwestern State and Western Kentucky.  As I see it, LSU has three wins over top 25 teams (Alabama, Oregon, and Auburn).

In review, I have Ok State at 6-1 against top 25 teams and LSU at 3-0.  My ranking system rewards teams for playing tough games and Oklahoma State has had one of the toughest schedules in the country this season week in and week out, while LSU the occasional tough opponent.  From top to bottom the Big 12 is much deeper than the SEC.

So that’s my attempt at a defense.  I guess I’ll have to wait until the bowl game results to see if I am right.

Cheers.